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Football London
Football London
Sport
Greg Johnson & Nathan Bliss

Supercomputer predicts Arsenal's hardest fixtures of the Premier League 2019/20 season

Another season in the Premier League approaches and Arsenal will be gunning for a top four spot and a return to the Champions League.

Last year, Unai Emery steered his team to a fifth-placed finish and an appearance in the Europa League final.

He will seeking to go at least one better this campaign, and the boffins behind Fantasy Premier League have flagged up when the Spaniard's biggest tests will come.

Arsenal fans have come to believe that November tends to be the start of their team's difficulties over a season, with the winters months often dealing out harsh treatment and results to the Gunners.

The Fantasy Premier League Fixture Difficulty Ranking, or FDR, suggests that December could be the crunch month for the club this season with four of their most difficult games coming in the space of five fixtures.

However, their two trickiest challenges - away to Liverpool and Manchester City - should come in the middle of what are rated as relatively easy runs.

According to Fantasy Premier League, their FDR method is based on a complex algorithm developed by their team of experts.

It uses a set of formulas that process key Opta data variables, along with each team's home and away form for the past six meetings, to generate a rank for the perceived difficulty of each Gameweek opponent.

The FDR is designed to help FPL managers plan their transfer and team selection strategy. It is reviewed on a weekly basis and updated as the season progresses.

The Fixture Difficulty Ranking key is based from one to five, with one being the easiest and five being the hardest.

Arsenal's most difficult fixtures rated five out of five are, unsurprisingly, Liverpool (away) and Manchester City (away).

Their next most difficult fixtures, scored four of five are Tottenham (Home), Manchester United (away), Manchester City (home), Everton (away), Chelsea (home), Manchester United (Home), Chelsea (away), Tottenham (Away) and Liverpool (Home).

In the above chart, Arsenal's home match against City on December 14 is the start of five matches that score high for difficulty, making it their hardest sequence of matches of the season, according to FDR.

Arsenal's hardest run of the season

December 14: Manchester City (home) - 4 rating

December 21: Everton (away) - 4 rating

December 26: Bournemouth (away) - 3 rating

December 28: Chelsea (home) - 4 ratings

January 1: Manchester United (home) - 4 rating

Arsenal's easiest run of the season

By contrast, what should be Arsenal's simplest sequence of fixtures to navigate is set to come in March and April immediately after their tough test away against Manchester City.

March 7: West Ham (home) - rating 2

March 14: Brighton (away) - rating 2

March 21: Southampton (away) - rating 2

April 4: Norwich City (home) - rating

April 11: Wolverhampton Wanderers (away) - rating 3

April 18: Leicester City (home) - rating 3

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