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The Guardian - US
The Guardian - US
World
Jonathan Yerushalmy (now); Maanvi Singh ,Chris Stein, Joanna Walters, Léonie Chao-Fong and Martin Belam (earlier)

Trump and Biden pick up easy victories across the US in Super Tuesday primaries – as it happened

Donald Trump Joe Biden Nikki Haley Super Tuesday United States Republican North Dakota

Super Tuesday recap

Joe Biden and Donald Trump picked up easy victories across the US this Super Tuesday, racking up delegates as the prepare to face off in the November elections.

  • Biden and Trump won their respective primaries in California, Virginia, North Carolina, Maine, Massachusetts, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Arkansas, Alabama, Colorado and Minnesota.

  • The two candidates sparred in statements and speeches after polls closed. While Biden warned that Trump was “determined to destroy democracy”, Trump leaned heavily into nativist rhetoric about migrants, falsely claiming US cities are “being overrun by migrant crime”.

  • Biden also saw an unusual loss – in American Samoa. In the US territory, little known candidate Jason Palmer garnered 51 votes to Biden’s 40.

  • Nikki Haley won the Republican primary in Vermont – her second victory of 2024. Her campaign declined to signal next steps amid mounting pressure from within her own party to step out of the race.

  • A Hitler-quoting candidate, Mark Robinson, won the North Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary. He’ll will face Democrat Josh Stein in what is expected to be a heavily contested race in November.

  • In California, centrist Democrat Adam Schiff and Republican ex-baseball player Steve Garvey advanced in the open primary for US Senate. Garvey, who was initially seen as a long-shot candidate, was boosted by Schiff, whose ads focused on the Republican rather than fellow Democratic challengers Katie Porter and Barbara Lee.

We’re still waiting for results from Utah’s Republican caucuses.

Results are delayed due to technical difficulties with registration. The caucuses, which started at 9pm ET, were meant to conclude by about 11pm ET. But poor internet connection at some locations and other technical issues led to chaos and long lines, according to the Salt Lake Tribune.

Fox13 reported from one precinct site:

At Brighton High School in Cottonwood Heights, the meeting was supposed to start at 7 p.m. But the phone registration process to get the ballot became a fiasco — so much so that members of the party were yelling back at the chairman.

There was nothing distinguishing the volunteers from normal voters — not even a lanyard or neon vest.

Updated

In California, there are still a few key down-ballot races we’re watching:

  • Prop 1, the only statewide ballot measure today, would reallocate mental health funds toward housing and treatment programs for severe mental illness and substance abuse. But disability rights activists have come out against the measure, touted by California governor Gavin Newsom, because it could fund “locked door” facilities and efforts to force people into mental health treatment and institutions.

  • The Los Angeles district attorney race. George Gascón, the current district attorney is facing 11 challengers – most of have promised to reverse much of his progressive agenda.

  • California’s 22nd district. Republican incumbent David Valadao and Democrat Rudy Salas are leading in early returns. But Salas faced a threat from fellow democrat Melissa Hurtado. In an open primary race where the top two vote getters advance, Democrats worried that a splintered vote would send two Republicans to advance.

Updated

In Alabama, rightwing hardliner Barry Moore has beat representative Jerry Carl in a newly redrawn congressional district.

The state’s districts were reconfigured after the US supreme court declared the state’s congressional map a racial gerrymander that diminished the power of Black voters. Moore choose to run in the new first congressional district after his district was redrawn to include more Black voters.

Updated

Republican Steve Garvey has, indeed, advanced in California’s senate race, the AP projects – after raking in free publicity from Democrat Adam Schiff.

Here’s a more in-depth look at the race:

Updated

After a string of Super Tuesday defeats across the country, Nikki Haley is facing mounting pressure to cede the election to Donald Trump. But her campaign on Tuesday declined to signal her immediate next steps.

In a statement, Haley campaign spokesperson Olivia Perez-Cubas thanked the millions of people who cast their ballots for the former South Carolina governor, and highlighted her victory in Vermont, which made Haley the first Republican woman to win two presidential primary contests.

But despite Haley’s losses, Perez-Cubas said the result demonstrated deep fractures in the Republican party.

“Unity is not achieved by simply claiming ‘we’re united,’” she said. “Today, in state after state, there remains a large block of Republican primary voters who are expressing deep concerns about Donald Trump. That is not the unity our party needs for success. Addressing those voters’ concerns will make the Republican party and America better.”

Haley had no public events scheduled for Tuesday night. Earlier on Tuesday, Haley vowed to stay in the race as long as she remained “competitive”.

Updated

In November, voters will choose between Democrats and “Maga extremism”, says Democratic National Committee chair Jaime Harrison as the party digests this evening’s primary results.

Here’s more from his statement:

“Tonight, voters from all across the country made their voices heard and joined Democrats in the battle to defend our democracy and protect our fundamental freedoms. This November will be a choice between Democrats who are focused on delivering for the American people and MAGA extremism led by Donald Trump, who is running a campaign of revenge and retribution. Time and again, the American people choose unity over hate, democracy over authoritarianism, and hope over fear – and they are ready to do it again this November.”

In California’s “jungle” primary, but we’re still watching to see if Republican Steve Garvey will break through to snag second place.

The top two candidates will advance to the ballot in November.

Garvey has barely campaigned in the race, and until recently was considered a long shot. Notably, he did not pay for a single television ad in the campaign so far. And yet, in large part due to ads that Schiff has run, characterizing the race as one between him and the Republican, Garvey has surged in recent polls.

It behooves Schiff to elevate Garvey over fellow Democratic representatives Katie Porter and Barbara Lee – in this blue state, a Republican would be much easier to beat in November. But Porter and other Democrats have called Schiff’s move a cynical ploy. Though Garvey is unlikely to win in November, analysts agree that his name on the ballot could boost other Republicans in tight congressional races that could determine control of the US House.

Garvey has never held public office, but he has some name recognition thanks to his two-decade career in baseball, playing for the Dodgers and the San Diego Padres.

Democrat Adam Schiff advances in California Senate primary

Democratic congressman Adam Schiff has advanced in California’s Senate race, the Associated Press reports.

It’s not clear who he will run against in November’s general election, but the Los Angeles-area representative spent funds to boost Republican Steve Garvey’s candidacy. Should he make the general election, that would likely guarantee Schiff’s victory in the strongly Democratic state.

Trailing Schiff are fellow two Democratic congresswomen, Barbara Lee and Katie Porter.

Updated

Republican House speaker Johnson calls Trump 'my nominee', congratulates him on Super Tuesday wins

Mike Johnson, the Republican speaker of the House, has congratulated Donald Trump on his string of victories in the Super Tuesday primaries today.

Johnson has endorsed Trump’s bid to return to the White House, and referred to him as “our nominee” in a just-released statement. Have a read:

President Trump is our nominee and the American people are ready to return to secure borders, economic prosperity, and peace through strength we experienced under his leadership. I look forward to working together to retake the White House and grow our majority in Congress.

Donald Trump has reportedly met with Elon Musk as he seeks to raise campaign cash, the New York Times reports.

The former president met Musk, one of the world’s richest men, as well as a few wealthy Republican donors in Palm Beach, the Times reports, based on anonymous sources.

It is unclear whether Musk will back Trump, but the billionaire tech CEO’s takeover of Twitter marked the platform’s shift to the right (as well as its name change). After Trump was banned from the platform for spreading misinformation, Musk welcomed him back to X last year.

Updated

Thousands in a newly formed Alabama congressional district designed to boost Black voting power received incorrect voting information.

From the Associated Press:

James Snipes, chair of the Montgomery county board of registrars, said 6,593 county voters received postcards listing the incorrect congressional district after the county’s election software misidentified some people living in Alabama’s second congressional district as living in the seventh.

Snipes said voters arriving at the polls were still able to vote for the correct candidates. The county had sent about 2,000 notices to affected voters as of Tuesday evening and will send out an additional 4,000 on Wednesday, he said.

“Everyone who came to their precinct was able to vote for the correct candidates,” Snipes said, attributing the incorrect information to a “software glitch” made when adjusting to the recent shift in state congressional districts. “This was a good-faith effort.”

Montgomery county, home to about 159,000 registered voters, now falls in Alabama’s second congressional district after a federal court drew new congressional lines in November. That was in response to a US supreme court ruling that the state had diluted the voting power of Black residents, violating the Voting Rights Act.

The three-judge panel decided that Alabama, which is 27% Black, should have a second district where Black voters comprise a large share of the population. The move has sparked a congested and competitive primary contest as Democrats hope to flip the congressional seat in the fall.

Joe Biden, Donald Trump claim California

Joe Biden and Donald Trump have won their primaries in the biggest prize of the night: California.

The Associated Press reports that Biden won the Democratic primary and Trump the Republican primary. California, the most-populous state in the country, also has the most delegates up for grabs of any state.

In Texas, Democratic US representative Colin Allred has won the senate primary, the AP projected.

He is set to face off against Republican Ted Cruz this November.

Democrats, who currently hold a very slim lead in the Senate, are hoping to flip Texas in what will be one of the most closely watched and most expensive races this year.

Updated

On CNN, Lindsey Graham – the Republican Senator from South Carolina and Trump loyalist – said Nikki Haley should drop out.

“I’m pretty confident that – I‘ve known her for, you know, most of my political life – that she’ll be a team player” Graham said of Haley, the former governor of his state. “There will come a time, and I hope sooner rather than later, she’ll realize is this is not her moment.” Graham also suggested that Trump could win over Haley supporters by focusing on policy.

Haley has been facing lots of pressure from within her party to drop out, by Republicans who worry that her continued candidacy could divide the party.

Updated

In victory speech, Trump doubles down on nativist message

“We have millions of people invading our country” through the southern border, Donald Trump said in his victory speech from Mar-a-Lago in Florida this evening. “This is an invasion. This is the worst invasion probably.”

As he did at his recent speech from the US-Mexico border, Trump began pulling numbers out of the air to build up his anti-immigrant message. “The number today could be 15 million people. And they’re coming from rough places and dangerous places,” he said.

As border security increasingly becomes a top issues for voters, Trump has doubled down on this message – just as he did in his 2016 campaign. Border crossings have been at or close to record highs since Joe Biden took office. Biden, who has been on the defensive on this issue, has tried to point out that Republicans tanked efforts to pass bipartisan immigration reform in congress – after Trump told them not to give the president a policy win.

Trump, meanwhile, echoed Adolf Hitler by saying that immigrants entering the US illegally were “poisoning the blood of our country”, and has amped up baseless messaging that the migrants are dangerous.

“We have people coming in from such, such bad places and we’re going to have to get them out. We have murderers that are being deposited into our country. We have drug dealers at the biggest highest levels that coming into our country,” he said.

Trump also brought back his xenophobic name for Covid-19. “I call it affectionally the Chinese virus,” he said.

Updated

Nikki Haley wins Vermont Republican primary, notching first state victory against Trump

Nikki Haley has finally won a state: Vermont, where the Associated Press reports she beat out Donald Trump.

The former president has won every other state that has voted in the Republican nomination process thus far, though Haley did manage to win Sunday’s primary in Washington DC.

Haley nonetheless will be under immense pressure to drop out if she cannot repeat her victory in the states whose Republican primaries have not been called tonight, namely California, Utah and Alaska.

Updated

The uncommitted vote in Minnesota, the state after Michigan with the most concerted organizing around the protest vote, has gotten about 14% support so far, though only about one-fourth of ballots have been counted.

More than 100,000 people voted uncommitted in Michigan about a week ago, and in Minnesota, activists worked to call, text, door-knock, post online and rally around the movement that seeks to pressure Joe Biden for a permanent ceasefire.

During the heavily contested Democratic primary in 2020, the uncommitted option received 2,612 votes, or 0.35% of that year’s ballots. However, the state switched from a caucus model to a presidential primary in 2020, making comparisons to previous years difficult.

Other Super Tuesday states quickly spread the word to vote for options similar to uncommitted. In Massachusetts, about 9% of votes went to “no preference” so far. In North Carolina, about 12% of votes counted so far went toward no preference. Colorado had a “noncommitted delegate” option that could get traction, too.

After the Michigan vote, Kamala Harris came out in support of a six-week temporary ceasefire, which organizers saw as a response to the uncommitted showing. Minnesota organizers say they want a permanent ceasefire and that the pressure campaign is clearly working to move the White House on the issue.

“I saw that as an encouragement to keep going and that it is a successful tactic in order to achieve the goals that we’ve been pushing for since the beginning, since October,” said Ruth Schultz, a Minneapolis voter who organized with MN Families for Palestine around the uncommitted vote.

Biden’s campaign acknowledged the movement, with campaign spokesperson Lauren Hitt telling the New York Times on Tuesday that “the president hears the voters participating in the uncommitted campaigns. He shares their goal for an end to the violence and a just, lasting peace – and he’s working tirelessly to that end.”

Updated

Biden slams Trump as focused on 'revenge and retribution' as Super Tuesday results propel both men towards rematch

Joe Biden assailed Donald Trump in a statement released by his campaign, saying the former president would “take us backwards” if he returns to the White House.

The president’s comments came as both men appear on track for a rematch in November’s general election, after winning almost every single state that has voted in the nominating process thus far.

“Tonight’s results leave the American people with a clear choice: are we going to keep moving forward or will we allow Donald Trump to drag us backwards into the chaos, division, and darkness that defined his term in office?” Biden said.

He continued:

“If Donald Trump returns to the White House, all of this progress is at risk. He is driven by grievance and grift, focused on his own revenge and retribution, not the American people. He is determined to destroy our democracy, rip away fundamental freedoms like the ability for women to make their own health care decisions, and pass another round of billions of dollars in tax cuts for the wealthy – and he’ll do or say anything to put himself in power.

“Today, millions of voters across the country made their voices heard – showing that they are ready to fight back against Donald Trump’s extreme plan to take us backwards.

Updated

Trump bashes Biden on border in victory speech

Donald Trump is speaking at a watch party at his private club, Mar-a-Lago.

“Our cities are being overrun by migrant crime,” Trump said, repeating nativist lines that have become a refrain of his campaign. He celebrated his wins in the Super Tuesday primaries today, saying there has “never been anything like this”.

Updated

Joe Biden is projected to lose a race … in American Samoa.

The president has swept every race today, except the Democratic caucus in this US territory. A little known candidate called Jason Palmer has snagged the lead, according to the local Democratic party.

Palmer, an educational technology entrepreneur, won 51 of the territory’s 91 delegates, while Biden won 40.

His win will have little bearing on the general election, in which American Samoa residents are also not eligible to vote. Still, Biden’s loss in the territory marks the first time an incumbent president has lost a primary contest in a good long while.

Updated

Joe Biden wins Utah's Democratic primary

Joe Biden has won the Democratic primary in Utah, the Associated Press reports. Polls closed there about 15 minutes ago.

Donald Trump expected to deliver remarks as he routs Nikki Haley in Super Tuesday states

Donald Trump is expected to in a few minutes speak from his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida, as voters in Super Tuesday states hand him win after win.

The former president has won every state whose race has been called tonight so far, including Texas, which has the second-biggest number of delegates up for grabs after California.

Only in Vermont is Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor who is the last major challenger remaining for the Republican presidential nomination, putting up much of a fight. Polls closed in that state three hours ago, but the race still has not been called.

The Minnesota congressman running against Joe Biden in the Democratic primary lost his home state on Tuesday, capping off a stretch of poor showings.

Dean Phillips, who represents a wealthier suburban area outside Minneapolis, entered the Democratic race seemingly against his will and against the advice of most of his Democratic colleagues. The congressman, who first took office in 2019, first tried to recruit more prominent Democrats to challenge Biden, publicly saying the president needed to let the next generation lead the party.

Phillips alluded to potentially dropping out of the race on Tuesday, saying on X (formerly Twitter) that he would be “making decisions over the coming days” on how he could best fulfill his mission to ensure Trump loses the election.

He also allowed that he could drop out if asked nicely, saying his wife “has always found I respond better to honey than vinegar when she asks me to drop something. Just sayin … ”

He then congratulated all the people – or the lack of a person, in the case of the uncommitted vote – who had beaten him at the polls.

Updated

Election workers across the country are working to make sure people cast their ballots and that their votes get counted. Here are the latest images of polling places today:

Ted Cruz has easily won Texas’s Republican Senate primary.

The big question is who will face off against Cruz in November. Democrats are seeking to flip the seat, which Cruz has held since 2013.

Currently, US representative Colin Allred, a former NFL player and three-term congressman, is leading in the Democratic primary over state senator Roland Gutierrez. Either of them will have an uphill battle in November. No Democrat has won a statewide office in Texas in 30 years, but after Cruz won with a narrow margin in 2018, Democrats believe he could be vulnerable. A victory in Texas would be a boon in their quest to maintain their narrow majority in the Senate.

Donald Trump wins Minnesota Republican primary

Minnesota Republicans have made Donald Trump the winner of their primary, the Associated Press reports.

Minnesotans vote 'uncommitted' to send anti-war message

Voters in Minneapolis turned out on Tuesday to send an anti-war protest message to Joe Biden, voting “uncommitted” on the state’s Democratic ballot instead of bubbling in Biden’s name.

Imam Hassan Jama voted for, campaigned for and endorsed Biden in 2020, but didn’t vote for him on Tuesday because he is disappointed at Biden’s inaction on a ceasefire in Gaza.

“Hopefully we’ll send a strong message from Minnesota to White House,” he said. “And if they don’t listen, November is coming.”

Jama said he wouldn’t vote for Trump in November, but wouldn’t vote for Biden without a ceasefire. There are more than two choices for president, including not voting for either major party candidate, he said.

Khalid Omar is a Minneapolis voter who has been spreading the word to the community to vote uncommitted by calling, texting, knocking on doors, going on social media. He said the uncommitted vote was the “best way to practice democracy” to get the Biden administration to listen to Democratic voters who want a permanent ceasefire.

Morally, he said, sitting at home and watching the atrocities committed in Gaza was not an option. Voting uncommitted gave him a way to further drive the message for a ceasefire.

“I’m not going to be sitting out this November, I’m going to vote,” Omar said. “And I’m going to vote (for) the person that is going to make sure to create a path for a permanent ceasefire in Gaza.”

Ruth Schultz, a Minneapolis voter, was inspired by Michigan’s uncommitted vote and started reaching out to people she organized within a group called MN Families for Palestine. She saw the vote as a way to show the Biden administration how many registered Democrats want a ceasefire, pressuring him to be accountable to that base of people.

She said she probably would not have voted in the Minnesota presidential primary if there wasn’t an uncommitted campaign. In November, it’s a “given” that she won’t vote for Trump, but she wants to see Biden move on a ceasefire.

“I want to see President Biden take a stronger stance for peace and how to get a ceasefire and to use all the tools at his disposal in order to do that,” she said. “I am watching that as a voter in the general election. I believe that there is the ability and time for him to be a stronger leader in this arena.”

Joe Biden wins Minnesota Democratic primary

Joe Biden has won Minnesota’s Democratic primary, the Associated Press reports.

The president’s victory is no surprise, but it’s worth noting that Minnesota is one of the states where supporters of the campaign to vote “uncommitted”, in protest of his support for Israel’s invasion of Gaza, were hoping to rack up big numbers. We’ll tell you more about that in a second.

In California, homelessness is a central issue in 2024 elections.

A Public Policy Institute of California survey finding four in ten Californians say economic conditions and homelessness are the top issues for governor Gavin Newsom and the legislature to work on in the coming year.

One measure on the ballot Tuesday seeks to address the homelessness crisis by redirecting some mental health funding toward supportive housing and mental health treatment beds. Proposition 1, backed by Newsom, is opposed by disability rights groups because it helps fund “locked door facilities” for mental health treatment, and works with other measures to force people experiencing mental crises into treatment and institutions.

Despite what the polls say, experts say that the low turnout makes results difficult to predict, and “strange” outcomes more likely, according to the San Francisco Chronicle.

“Unexpected things are more likely to happen when you have these lower turnout elections,” political analyst Paul Mitchell told the Chronicle. “It’s really easy to predict what’s going to happen when it’s 100% turnout, because you can just look at the numbers and say, ‘OK, this is what’s gonna happen, but when it’s a quarter of that turnout, small changes in turnout for different populations can really distort outcomes.”

Here’s more on Prop 1:

While they couldn’t cast a ballot, these furry friends helped pup up the vote. Here are some photos of the very good dogs who showed up with their owners at polls nationwide:

Colorado Republicans pick Donald Trump

Donald Trump has won Colorado’s Republican primary, the Associated Press reports.

Trump bags Arkansas, Biden takes Colorado

More predictable results from a Super Tuesday that has gone mostly as expected: the Associated Press reports that Donald Trump has won the presidential primary in Arkansas, and Joe Biden the Democratic primary in Colorado.

Haley has tiny lead over Trump in Vermont with third of votes counted

If Nikki Haley has any chance of winning a state tonight, it’s in Vermont.

The former governor of South Carolina, who has notched loss after loss in the primaries so far, is currently locked in a tight race in Vermont. With just over a third of votes counted, Haley has a tiny lead over Donald Trump, who has won every other state that is voting tonight.

In Vermont, Haley may benefit from its open primary and high numbers of independent voters in her long-shot quest to undermine Trump.

Vermont Public Radio also interviewed Democrats who were voting for Haley:

Haley’s chances Tuesday hinge on turnout by Democrats such as Brandon resident Wyatt Waterman. Waterman, who held a Nikki Haley sign he made himself before the rally, said he’s willing to support a candidate whose ideology veers substantially from his in a primary, so long as that vote has the potential to undermine Trump’s electoral success.

“I’ve never seen democracy threatened by fascism so much in my entire life,” Waterman said. “This is not how I want to leave it for the generations following us, so I’m taking what time and resources I have to stand up to this tyranny.”

Trump, Biden triumph in Texas

Donald Trump has won Texas’s Republican primary, the Associated Press reports, giving him a crucial victory in the state with the second-highest number of delegates up for grabs tonight.

Joe Biden was the pick of the state’s Democrats, according to the AP.

After Texas, the state with the most delegates is California, where polls close at 11pm ET.

Polls close in Colorado, Minnesota, far west Texas

It’s 9pm ET, which means polls have closed in Colorado and Minnesota, as well as Texas’s far west counties, which are on mountain time.

We’ll see if Joe Biden and Donald Trump continue their romp of the respective Democratic and Republican primaries in these states. We’ll also be keeping an eye out for signs that the “uncommitted” campaign has sapped support for Biden, particularly in Minnesota, where its organizers are making a stand.

On a rainy Super Tuesday in Oakland, California, voters trickled sparingly into polling stations throughout the afternoon.

Analysts have projected California may have the weakest primary turnout in the state’s history, with one estimate as low as 29%. Polling stations in the East Oakland, Fruitvale, and Rockridge neighborhoods saw slow foot traffic throughout the day.

One Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) survey found that fewer than four in ten California voters identified as “enthusiastic” about voting for president or Congress members this election year, a sentiment echoed by those at the polls Tuesday.

“I’m not excited about any of the issues, I just needed to take a walk today so I decided to drop off my ballot,” said Daniel, a 50-year-old voter who declined to share his last name. “Just doing my civic duty, I guess.”

The low turnout comes even as dramatic headlines claim Oakland is at a breaking point regarding crime and public safety, with California governor Gavin Newsom deploying California Highway Patrol officers into Oakland in February to crack down on rising rates of property crime.

Chris Moore, a candidate for the Alameda county board of supervisors, said such issues caused him to run for office for the first time this year. He said his background in auditing positions him well to examine how the city’s budget is being used to address crime and homelessness.

“I’m a non-career politician, I got into this race because everybody is tired of a lot of the chaos going on in Oakland,” he said, standing outside a polling station in Oakland’s neighborhood of Rockridge. “We don’t feel safe in this community anymore, small businesses are being chased out. People are afraid to come to Oakland.”

Updated

Donald Trump wins Massachusetts's GOP primary

Donald Trump has won Massachusetts’s Republican primary, the Associated Press reports.

Alabama voters choose Trump, Biden

The Associated Press has called the presidential primaries in Alabama, and no surprises are to be had: Joe Biden is the choice of the state’s Democrats, and Donald Trump the pick of Republicans.

Joe Biden wins Arkansas Democratic primary

Joe Biden has won Arkansas’s Democratic primary, the Associated Press reports, as the incumbent president piles up the wins on this Super Tuesday.

Donald Trump supporters are gathering at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida ahead of the former president’s appearance later this evening. Here are some images from the scene:

Joe Biden wins Democratic primary in Maine

Joe Biden has triumphed in Maine’s Democratic primary, the Associated Press reports.

Polls close in Arkansas

It’s just past 7.30pm in Arkansas, which means voting has finished in the state.

We’ll let you know who wins the Republican and Democratic primaries. Don’t expect any surprises.

Updated

Joe Biden triumphs in Massachusetts Democratic primary

Democrats in Massachusetts have voted Joe Biden the winner of their primary, the Associated Press reports.

Donald Trump wins Maine Republican primary

Donald Trump has won the Republican primary in Maine, the Associated Press reports.

Democrat Josh Stein and Republican Mark Robinson win gubernatorial primaries in North Carolina

The AP has projected both races.

Josh Stein, the North Carolina attorney general, was endorsed by the state’s governor Roy Cooper. Meanwhile, Mark Robinson, the lieutenant governor, won handily over his opponents. The two will face off in what is expected to be one of the most expensive gubernatorial races in recent times.

Stein has already been drawing contrasts between himself and Robinson, whom he has portrayed as a Trump-style extremist. Robinson has vowed to arrest trans women who use the women’s restroom, and has called the civil rights movement a socialist plot, saying that “so many freedoms were lost during the civil rights movement”.

The Guardian’s Adam Gabbatt wrote about Robinson last year:

Updated

Biden, Trump sweep Oklahoma primaries

Voters in the Sooner state were not in the mood to surprise this evening: Joe Biden has won the Democratic primary in Oklahoma, and Donald Trump has won the Republican primary, the Associated Press reports.

The current president and the former president have so far won every contest in their parties that has been called.

Updated

Trump, Biden win Tennessee primaries

Joe Biden has won Tennessee’s Democratic primary, while Donald Trump was the choice of the state’s Republicans in their primary, the Associated Press reports.

Donald Trump wins North Carolina Republican primary

Donald Trump has won North Carolina’s Republican primary, the Associated Press reports.

That’s the second state of the night he’s won, thwarting the hopes of his last remaining challenger, former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley.

Polls close in Maine, Massachusetts, Alabama, Oklahoma, Tennessee, most of Texas

Voting just wrapped up in Maine, Massachusetts, Alabama, Oklahoma, Tennessee and most of Texas.

Expect race calls soon.

No surprises thus far as Biden wins Virginia, Vermont and North Carolina and Trump wins Virginia and North Carolina

Super Tuesday has so far gone on exactly as expected, with Joe Biden sweeping the Democratic primaries and Donald Trump on course for a strong showing.

Biden’s success is no surprise – incumbent presidents rarely face serious primary challenges when they stand for a second term. Despite low approval ratings and two challengers with some name recognition, the president has so far won the Democratic primaries in Iowa, Virginia, Vermont and North Carolina.

Trump still has one main challenger remaining: Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor who did a stint as his United Nations ambassador. Virginia went for Trump, despite it having decent shares of the sorts of educated voters that Haley could have benefited from.

Trump has also won North Carolina, the second state of the night he’s won.

If the former president continues to win states tonight, Haley will have fewer and fewer reasons to stay in the race.

Updated

Joe Biden wins North Carolina Democratic primary

Joe Biden has won North Carolina’s Democratic primary, the Associated Press reports.

They called the race nine minutes after polls closed.

Polls close in North Carolina

Again, we’re not expecting any major surprises here in terms of who will win. But as results are tallied, we’ll look at how many voted for the “no preference” option to protest Biden’s policies toward Israel.

Voters here are not only voting for president, but also governor, lieutenant governor, attorney general and a number of congressional and state races.

Trump wins Virginia

The AP called the race 25 minutes after polls closed.

Updated

Joe Biden wins Vermont

The AP called the race 20 minutes after polls closed.

Virginia generally tends to back the Democrat in presidential elections.

There’s no real “uncommitted” option in this state, so Democrats wishing to protest Biden’s handling of the war in Gaza are either voting for Marianne Williamson, or forgoing a vote altogether.

Joe Biden wins Virginia primary

The AP called the race nine minutes after polls closed.

We’re still watching for results in the Republican primary. Today’s election is just for the presidential primaries. The state primary, for state and congressional offices, will be held on 18 June.

Updated

At a middle school turned polling center in Central Los Angeles, a steady stream of voters poured in to drop their ballots, register on-site, and vote in-person. The first face many of them see upon entry is that of Joshua Goldman, county worker and volunteer election worker.

Goldman, who cast his ballot prior to Tuesday, admits that he didn’t have time to look up each candidate on the ballot so he abstained from voting on everything except for president. He went for Joe Biden but says he is disappointed in the lack of exciting viable options for the highest office in the US. Still, if a vote for Biden will stave off a second Donald Trump win, he’s willing to vote along party lines.

“My concern in general when it comes it he primaries is making sure we have someone who can win the November election,” Goldman said “It’s a shame this election didn’t have Bernie or anyone interesting to bring ballot and shake things up.

Tova S, a Los Angeles native said she was voting “as libertarian as possible” in all of the races on her ballot. At the national level, she’s most interested in Vivek Ramaswamy as a presidential candidate because of his stance on ending financial aid to other countries and locally she’s voting for Gail Lightfoot, a libertarian running for a US Senate seat.

“They’re very out there, I look at them as the middle ground,” Tova said. “They give out-of-the-box thinking. I just don’t want the same old same old. I really want someone to make changes.”

She also made it a point to research each candidate’s background, upbringing, and prior decisions to weed out those within whom she could have hope from those who were all about one-liners and photo ops. To her disappointment, she found that most candidates, whether they were running for a judgeship, senate seat, or position on the county school board, did not have a website or any other way to learn about their stances and histories.

“I had to go on Ballotopedia for most people,” she said. “If they’re not doing anything to market and show why someone should want them to represent their area what’s the point of voting for them?” she said.

Polls have closed in Virginia and Vermont

These are the first polls to close today, and we’ll be keeping a close eye on how quickly the Associated Press will call races here.

How California voters are showing support for a Gaza ceasefire

One thing we’re keeping an eye on today is the popularity of the “uncommitted” ballot option in state’s like Minnesota and Colorado, which pro-Palestinian groups are encouraging as a way to protest Joe Biden’s support of Israel amid the war in Gaza.

But in California, where an uncommitted vote is not an option in the Democratic primaries, voters looking to mark their protest have been unsure what to do. In the Democratic presidential primary, only votes for Biden, the seven official candidates or six certified write-ins will be counted. Write-in votes for “uncommitted” or “ceasefire” will not count, the secretary of state’s office has said.

Activists are asking supporters to instead cleave the presidential question blank and focus on down-ballot races, including the senate race.

“We are asking all of our voters to vote down-ballot, and many of them are looking for candidates who are asking or calling for a ceasefire,” Al Jabbar, secretary of the Council on American-Islamic Relations, told CalMatters. “We don’t want to take the risk of affecting other down-ballots, especially with tight Senate and congressional races.”

In the senate race, for example, activists have rallied behind Barbara Lee as the candidate with the strongest stance toward a ceasefire. “Even if she comes in third, or she comes in fourth, then I’m very happy to have voted for the only candidate who is actually working to stop a genocide,” said Jonah Gottlieb, a Democratic party delegate based in Berkeley, said of Lee.

Updated

First Super Tuesday polls closing soon

We’re minutes away from the first polls closing in east coast states, and voting will continue wrap up in states further west in the hours to come.

Virginia and Vermont are the first states where polls close, at 7pm eastern time.

Here’s a list of when polls are scheduled to close in the state’s voting on this Super Tuesday. All times eastern:

  • Alabama: 7pm local, 8pm ET

  • Alaska: 8pm local, 12am ET

  • Arkansas: 7.30pm local, 8.30pm ET

  • California: 8pm local, 11pm ET

  • Colorado: 7pm local, 9pm ET

  • Maine: 8pm local

  • Massachusetts: 8pm local

  • Minnesota: 8pm local, 9pm ET

  • North Carolina: 7.30pm local

  • Oklahoma: 7pm local, 8pm ET

  • Tennessee: 7pm local, 8pm ET

  • Texas: 7pm local, 8pm ET, except in the state’s far west, which is on mountain time and where polls will close at 9pm ET

  • Utah: 8pm local, 10pm ET

  • Vermont: 7pm ET

  • Virginia: 7pm ET

With Joe Biden a shoo-in for the Democratic nomination, and Donald Trump leading all state-level polls, don’t be surprised if the Associated Press calls the winner of many of these states shortly after polls close.

Updated

Millions of voters have cast ballots today in primaries across the United States. Here are some of the latest images from the newswires:

Updated

Joe Biden won overwhelmingly in Iowa, with 11,083 votes, according to unofficial results from the state Democratic party.

Minnesota congressman Dean Phillips was his closest runner-up, with 362 votes, followed by author Marianne Williamson, who received 268.

“Uncommitted”, the category favored by protest groups unhappy with Biden’s policy towards Israel’s invasion of Gaza, received 480 votes.

Iowa’s Democrats in previous years held their caucuses on the same date as the Republicans, but this year, conducted the election by mail.

Updated

Joe Biden wins Iowa Democratic caucus

Joe Biden has won Iowa’s Democratic caucus, the Associated Press reports.

The president has triumphed in every state that has voted so far in the Democratic nomination process, as incumbent presidents typically do. For Republicans, Iowa was the first state to vote, with Donald Trump sweeping their caucuses held in January.

California officials concerned over signs of low turnout

With about six hours left until polls close in California, officials are growing increasingly concerned that turnout in the state’s primary will end up being abysmal.

Most registered residents in the state expressed lukewarm feelings about voting, according to a survey published in late February by the Public Policy Institute of California. Even though 84% of responders said they believed casting a vote was “very important”, just 14% said they were enthusiastic about participating.

Only about 8% of California’s 22 million voters had returned their mail-in ballots a week before voting day, Politico reported. The numbers fall even more for younger voters between the ages of 18 and 34, a subset that typically boosts progressive candidates and priorities. Only 2% in that age group had turned in their ballots during that same time period.

Analysts said the widespread voter apathy could benefit Republicans, especially in the Senate race where the GOP candidate, Steve Garvey, is vying for second place behind Democratic frontrunner Adam Schiff.

“Looking at the returns thus far, we can see the beginnings of a low-turnout election, potentially with a relatively higher Republican turnout,” Paul Mitchell wrote on Capitol Weekly in February.

He continued:

The electorate is also incredibly old, with seniors being only 25% of the electorate, but 57% of returns. Voters 18-34, also 25% of the electorate, are only 8% of returns. White voters are also outperforming – while they are 55% of registrants, they are 70% of returns, and while Latinos are at a record high 28% of voters, they are at just 15% of ballots returned.

The impacts of these turnout numbers on campaigns can be massive. Lower turnout is correlated with more volatile election outcomes. Will this have an impact on a big race like the US Senate contest? Maybe. A higher Republican turnout would point to a race in which Steve Garvey makes it to the General election, closing out the election for two of the three main Democratic challengers.

A low turnout election, especially with relatively higher Republican participation, could also cause many legislative and congressional races in heavily Democratic districts to be decided in the primary when a Republican makes the runoff.

Updated

All eyes on 'uncommitted' votes as Alabama, Iowa, North Carolina, Tennessee and Minnesota offer option on ballot

The quickly organized push for a protest vote against Joe Biden over his handling of the Israel-Gaza war faces a test of its momentum this evening, with multiple Super Tuesday states having a ballot option to vote for nobody.

The effort first ran in Michigan, where Democratic voters delivered more than 100,000 votes for “uncommitted” to send a message to the US president that they want a permanent ceasefire. Other states saw the results there and started working on the ground, standing up voter outreach to spread the word.

Though there are a few Democrats running against Biden depending on the state, his strongest opposition yet this primary could come from the uncommitted campaign. Supporters want to keep the pressure on Biden via the ballot box to make him move on Gaza.

Minnesota’s uncommitted campaign is seen as the most likely to bring in a good number of protest votes, given the state’s large Muslim community, high voter turnout and progressive history. Massachusetts and Colorado have also organized around the idea, so we’re keeping an eye on their numbers in Tuesday’s results.

Other Super Tuesday states have a version of uncommitted as well: Alabama, Iowa, North Carolina and Tennessee.

Organizers in Minnesota went to mosques to let people know of the uncommitted option and ran an ad in the state’s largest newspaper, all while working the phones and social media to share the idea.

After Super Tuesday, the movement’s next big bet is Washington state, where already the state’s largest labor union endorsed uncommitted. Washington votes on 12 March.

Updated

Greetings from Donald Trump’s election watch party (or maybe that should be coronation), as the Republican frontrunner is expected to sweep the board on Super Tuesday.

Media are gathering beneath the Corinthian-style columns, crystal chandeliers and gold leaf decor of the ballroom at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida. Rows of gold chairs and some white cloth tables are arranged on the marble floor. Big TV screens proclaim: “Make America great again!” There are 13 American flags on stage behind a “Trump: Make America great again 2024” lectern.

The mood is likely to be very different from the night here in November 2022 when Trump announced he was running for president again. On that occasion the mood was subdued after a disappointing showing by Republicans in the midterm elections. Trump’s victory in a Republican presidential primary against Florida governor Ron DeSantis looked far from assured. He came over as an ageing comic whose punchlines no longer land.

Expect a different Trump tonight – triumphant, braggadocious, claiming vindication. It remains to be seen if we’ll get Trump the Magnanimous, congratulating Nikki Haley on a race well run, or Trump the Gloater, punching down at his opponent and full of petty gripes and grievances. Either way, the bejewelled crowd will lap it up.

Updated

Kyrsten Sinema enraged progressives during the first two years of Joe Biden’s presidency by blocking priorities such as higher taxes on billionaires that had the support of much of the Democratic party.

Leah Greenberg, co-founder of progressive group Indivisible had this to say after Sinema announced she will not seek re-election to the Senate:

Updated

Only in the past few years have Democrats known success in Arizona’s Senate races, and Republicans are hoping to undo that in November.

In a statement, Montana senator and head of the National Republican Senatorial Committee Steve Daines said Kyrsten Sinema’s decision to bow out will boost the prospects of Kari Lake, who the party is backing for the seat.

“An open seat in Arizona creates a unique opportunity for Republicans to build a lasting Senate majority this November. With recent polling showing Kyrsten Sinema pulling far more Republican voters than Democrat voters, her decision to retire improves Kari Lake’s opportunity to flip this seat,” Daines said.

Turnout lags in Minnesota, early indications suggest

Turnout has lagged in Minnesota’s primary compared to previous years, at least so far.

About 88,000 people had returned early ballots as of Tuesday morning, out of 200,000 who had received them, the state’s secretary of state, Steve Simon, told reporters.

Nationally, many states have seen lower turnout this presidential primary season as Trump and Biden have dominated the nominating contests, leaving voters feeling like their vote won’t play much of a role at this point.

“There are at least a couple of factors that explain turnout,” Simon said. “One is candidates that inspire strong feelings, and the other is perceptions of competitiveness. I think it’s safe to say, I don’t think I’m breaking any new ground here, that we have a lot of number one, and not so much of number two.”

But the lower turnout in the presidential primaries doesn’t tell us anything about what could happen in November’s general election. Presidential general elections bring the highest turnout of any US elections.

“Over the last many years, there has been virtually no connection, virtually none, between early in the year primary turnout and general election turnout,” Simon said.

Nationally, many states have seen lower turnout this presidential primary season as Trump and Biden have dominated the nominating contests, leaving voters feeling like their vote won’t play much of a role at this point.

“There are at least a couple of factors that explain turnout,” Simon said. “One is candidates that inspire strong feelings, and the other is perceptions of competitiveness. I think it’s safe to say, I don’t think I’m breaking any new ground here, that we have a lot of number one, and not so much of number two.”

But the lower turnout in the presidential primaries doesn’t tell us anything about what could happen in November’s general election. Presidential general elections bring the highest turnout of any US elections.

“Over the last many years, there has been virtually no connection, virtually none, between early in the year primary turnout and general election turnout,” Simon said.

Updated

Interim summary

Hello US politics live blog readers, Super Tuesday is all go at the voting booths and the results will start coming in this evening. We’ll be here to bring you all the news and the context, as it happens.

Here’s where things stand:

  • Senator Bob Menendez, Democrat of New Jersey, and his wife, Nadine Menendez, have been charged with obstruction of justice in a new, 18-count indictment unsealed on Tuesday related to a years-long bribery scheme linked to Egypt and Qatar.

  • Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, ex-Democratic Party and now independent US Senator, has announced she will retire at the end of her term this year. Her exit clears the way for a likely matchup between Republican Kari Lake and Democratic Ruben Gallego in one of the most closely watched 2024 Senate races.

  • Nikki Haley, the last rival to Donald Trump for the Republican nomination, once again rejected a third-party presidential bid, as she insisted she would stay in the Republican race “as long as we’re competitive.” She told Fox News on Super Tuesday: “All of these people deserve to vote. Sixteen states want to have their voices heard.”

  • Senator John Barrasso of Wyoming has decided not to run for Senate Republican leader to succeed Mitch McConnell, and instead will run for the No. 2 position of whip, according to multiple reports. Barrasso, 71, is relatively popular with the Republican right. He endorsed Donald Trump in January and has the closes relationship with the former president of the “three Johns”.

  • Barasso’s decision not to run means the race is now effectively between senators John Thune of South Dakota and John Cornyn of Texas, although Barrasso’s departure could pave the way for another Trump ally to throw their hat in the ring, such as Senator Rick Scott of Florida, who met with Trump on Monday night amid speculation that he could launch a bid for Senate leader.

  • Polls are open and voting is under way in some states as millions head to the ballot box on this Super Tuesday, the largest day for voting for both Democrats and Republicans before the November presidential election. Voters involved today are in Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Iowa, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia. The territory of American Samoa will be caucusing.

The Guardian US Super Tuesday live blogging team’s Léonie Chao-Fong is now handing over for the rest of the day and evening to Chris Stein and Maanvi Singh.

Updated

Senator Bob Menendez charged with obstruction of justice in new indictment

Senator Bob Menendez and his wife, Nadine Menendez, have been charged with obstruction of justice in a new, 18-count indictment unsealed on Tuesday related to a years-long bribery scheme linked to Egypt and Qatar.

Menendez has pleaded not guilty to earlier charges of accepting hundreds of thousands of dollars from businessmen to impede law enforcement probes they faced, and illegally acting as an agent of the Egyptian government.

In the new indictment, federal prosecutors in Manhattan said Menendez’s former lawyers had told them in meetings last year that Menendez had not been aware of mortgage or car payments that two businessmen had made for his wife, and that he thought the payments were loans, Reuters reported.

In countless campaign appearances during his futile pursuit of the Republican presidential nomination, Florida’s rightwing governor, Ron DeSantis, celebrated his state as “the place woke goes to die”.

Now, by virtue of a federal appeals court ruling that skewers a centerpiece of his anti-diversity and inclusion agenda, Florida resembles a place where anti-woke legislation goes to die.

In a scathing ruling released late on Monday, a three-judge panel of the 11th circuit appeals court in Atlanta blasted DeSantis’s 2022 Stop Woke Act – which banned employers from providing mandatory workplace diversity training, or from teaching that any person is inherently racist or sexist – as “the greatest first amendment sin”.

The judges upheld a lower court’s ruling that the law violated employers’ constitutional rights to freedom of speech and expression. They were also critical of DeSantis for “exceeding the bounds” of the US constitution by imposing political ideology through legislation.

The panel said the state could not be selective by only banning discussion of particular concepts it found “offensive” while allowing others.

Donald Trump is seeking a new trial in the defamation case brought by E Jean Carroll, claiming that the judge in the case improperly restricted his testimony.

In January, Trump was ordered to pay $83.3m in damages to Carroll for defaming her in 2019 when he denied her allegation that he raped her in the dressing room of a Manhattan department store in the 1990s.

Trump’s testimony lasted less than five minutes as the judge in this case, Lewis Kaplan, significantly limited what the ex-president could say in court.

In a court filing on Tuesday, Trump’s defense attorneys Alina Habba and John Sauer argued “the Court’s restrictions on President Trump’s testimony were erroneous and prejudicial” because Trump was not allowed to explain “his own mental state” when he made the defamatory statements about Carroll. They continued:

This Court’s erroneous decision to dramatically limit the scope of President Trump’s testimony almost certainly influenced the jury’s verdict, and thus a new trial is warranted.

Arizona senator Kyrsten Sinema says she won’t seek reelection

Senator Kyrsten Sinema, an Arizona independent, has announced she will retire at the end of her term this year.

“I love Arizona and I am so proud of what we’ve delivered,” she said in a video posted to social media.

Because I choose civility, understanding, listening, working together to get stuff done, I will leave the Senate at the end of this year.

The now independent senator won her seat in 2018 as a Democrat. She was the first non-Republican to win a Senate seat for Arizona since 1994. She’d go on in December 2022 to announce her leave from the Democratic party to become an independent.

Her exit clears the way for a likely matchup between Republican Kari Lake and Democratic Ruben Gallego in one of the most closely watched 2024 Senate races.

Updated

Joe Biden claimed he has been leading in recent public opinion polls not noticed by the media.

The president was asked about his message for Democrats who are concerned about his poll numbers as he boarded Air Force One in Hagerstown, Maryland. Biden replied:

The last five polls I’m winning. Five in a row, five. You guys only look at the New York Times.

A spokesperson for the Biden campaign did not immediately provide a full list of polls referenced by Biden, the Washington Post reported.

Biden was also asked about the chances of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas, to which he said:

It’s in the hands of Hamas right now. Israelis have been cooperating. There’s been a rational offer. We will know in a couple of days what’s gonna happen. We need a ceasefire.

Although many Democrats have sharply criticized Joe Biden’s handling of the war in Gaza, several primary voters who cast ballots in Arlington, Virginia, said they felt the president has done as much as he can to bring about a ceasefire.

“I think he’s been between a rock and hard place,” said John Schuster, 66. “I’m a supporter of the state of Israel, but not of the way Israel has prosecuted the war.”

Looking ahead to the general election against Donald Trump, Schuster said:

I see no reason whatsoever to vote against Biden on that issue [of the war in Gaza] because the alternatives will all be worse.

Russell Krueger, 77, condemned Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu over the situation in Gaza, where more than 30,000 Palestinians have been killed in Israeli airstrikes.

On the question how Biden has navigated the war, Krueger said":

I would have liked a little bit more verbal outreach, but I suspect he’s done most of what he can do … I would have given up on Netanyahu a little before this.

Asked about Kamala Harris’ recent call for an immediate temporary ceasefire in Gaza, Krueger took her comments as a sign that the administration is “definitely moving in the right direction”. He added:

I think that they will probably come out much more forcefully at the State of the Union address this Thursday.

One Virginia Democrat said he had planned to cast a primary ballot for “uncommitted” on Tuesday, but he ended up voting for Marianne Williamson because “uncommitted” did not appear on Virginia’s primary ballot.

David Bacheler, 67, criticized Joe Biden as a “horrible” president, arguing that the nation’s welfare had been materially damaged since he took office.

“This country needs to change. It’s going in a very bad direction,” Bacheler said after voting at Clarendon United Methodist Church in Arlington.

Everything’s blown up. Look at all the mess we’ve got in the Middle East now. It wasn’t like that a few years ago.

Bacheler said he believes the country was better off when Donald Trump was president, and he is currently leaning toward supporting him over Biden in the general election.

“He knows how to handle the economy better,” Bacheler said.

I’m still undecided, but I’m leaning toward Trump.

Two self-identified Democrats said they cast primary ballots for Nikki Haley this afternoon at Clarendon United Methodist Church in Arlington, Virginia.

Virginia holds open primaries, so voters do not necessarily have to participate in the primary of the party with which they are registered.

Although both said they planned to vote for Joe Biden in the general election, they chose to participate in the Republican primary as a means of protesting Donald Trump‘s candidacy.

“There’s no greater imperative in the world than stopping Donald Trump,” said John Schuster, 66.

It’ll be the end of democracy and the world order if he becomes president.

Schuster acknowledged he did not align with Haley on most policy matters, but he appreciates how her enduring presence in the Republican primary appears to have gotten under Trump’s skin.

“It’s a vote against Trump. Nikki Haley is very conservative. I disagree with her on everything, except for on the issue of democracy and Russia,” Schuster said.

Anything to irritate [Trump] and slow him down is what I’m doing.

Super Tuesday voters head to the polls; Haley vows to stay in race as long as she's 'competitive'

Voters in more than a dozen states head to the polls on Tuesday for what is the biggest day of the presidential primaries of the 2024 election cycle.

Polls are now open in Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia for voters to cast their ballots in the Republican presidential primary on Tuesday. All those states except Alaska are also holding their Democratic primary contests as well. In Iowa, where Democratic caucuses were held by mail since January, the results are expected this evening. (Republicans held their Iowa caucuses in January, when Trump easily won the first voting state.)

First polls will close at 7pm Eastern time. Here’s what to expect tonight, so you can plan your evening. Meanwhile, here’s a recap of the latest developments:

  • Nikki Haley once again rejected a third-party presidential bid, as she insisted she would stay in the race “as long as we’re competitive”.

  • “I don’t know why everybody is so adamant that they have to follow Trump’s lead to get me out of this race. You know, all of these people deserve to vote. Sixteen states want to have their voices heard,” she told Fox News.

  • Joe Biden aimed to shore up his standing among Black voters as he warned what would happen if Democrats lose the White House.

  • Biden is reportedly eager for a “much more aggressive approach” to the 2024 contest for the White House that would revolve going for Donald Trump’s jugular.”

  • Donald Trump has predicted he will sweep “every state” on Super Tuesday and said he is fully focused on the November election against his presumed opponent, Joe Biden.

  • Trump voiced support for the Israeli military’s actions in Gaza, and claimed the Hamas attacks of 7 October on Israel would have never happened if he had been president at the time.

  • Taylor Swift has urged her fans to vote on Super Tuesday in a post on her Instagram Story.

  • Senator John Barrasso of Wyoming has decided not to run for Senate Republican leader to succeed Mitch McConnell, and instead will run for the No. 2 position of whip.

Updated

Sarah Huckabee Sanders, the former Trump press secretary turned Arkansas governor, has said she is confident that her former boss will win the GOP nomination and take back the White House in the November general election.

Sanders, speaking to reporters as she cast her ballot at a Little Rock community center with her husband, Bryan Sanders, said:

This is a head to head matchup at this point between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, and he’s the clear favorite, has all the momentum, and I feel really good about him winning again in November.

She went on to say that she was not surprised by the US supreme court’s ruling restoring Trump to primary ballots, adding that the 9-0 decision was “very telling” and “should be a signal to stop trying to use our courts for political purposes.”

Reaching for racist rhetoric bizarre even for him, Donald Trump compared undocumented migrants to the US to Hannibal Lecter, the serial killer and cannibal famously played by Sir Anthony Hopkins in the Oscar-winning 1991 film The Silence of the Lambs.

“They’re rough people, in many cases from jails, prisons, from mental institutions, insane asylums,” the former president and probable Republican presidential nominee claimed in an interview with Right Side Broadcasting Network on Monday.

You know, insane asylums, that’s Silence of the Lambs stuff. Hannibal Lecter, anybody know Hannibal Lecter?

To laughter from the audience at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida, Trump added:

We don’t want ’em in this country.

Trump has made such statements before, including in his speech at the Conservative Political Action Conference in Maryland last month. As framed to Right Side, they were the latest piece of extremist and dehumanizing invective from a candidate seeking to make immigration a core issue of the 2024 presidential campaign.

Trump has a long history of such racist statements, having launched his successful 2016 presidential campaign by describing Mexicans crossing the southern border as rapists and drug dealers.

Joe Biden took to the radio airwaves on Super Tuesday as he aims to shore up his standing among Black voters, a critical constituency for Democrats in the November general election.

In an interview aired this morning, Biden promoted his achievements for Black voters, such as increased funding for historically Black colleges and universities and key investments in infrastructure to benefit Black communities, AP reported.

The president also criticized Donald Trump and warned what would happen if the Democrats lose the White House in another interview.

“Think of the alternative, folks. If we lose this election, you’re going to be back with Donald Trump,” said Biden.

The way he talks about, the way he acted, the way he has dealt with the African-American community, I think, has been shameful.

Donald Trump has claimed that the Hamas attacks of 7 October on Israel would have never happened if he had been president at the time.

Trump, in an interview with Fox, was asked whether he supported the way the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) is fighting in Gaza. Trump said:

You’ve gotta finish the problem. You had a horrible invasion [that] took place. It would have never happened if I was president.

Texas’s plans to arrest people who enter the US illegally and order them to leave the country is headed to the supreme court in a legal showdown over the federal government’s authority over immigration.

An order issued on Monday by Justice Samuel Alito puts the new Texas law on hold for at least next week while the high court considers what opponents have called the most dramatic attempt by a state to police immigration since an Arizona law more than a decade ago.

The law, known as Senate Bill 4, had been set to take effect on Saturday under a decision by the conservative-leaning fifth US circuit court of appeals. Alito’s order pushed that date back until 13 March and came just hours after the justice department asked the supreme court to intervene.

The Republican governor, Greg Abbott, signed the law in December as part of a series of escalating measures on the border that have tested the boundaries of how far a state can go to keep people from entering the country.

The law would allow state officers to arrest people suspected of entering the country illegally. People who are arrested could then agree to a Texas judge’s order to leave the country or face a misdemeanor charge for entering the US illegally. Those who do not leave after being ordered to do so could be arrested again and charged with a more serious felony.

Donald Trump has predicted he will sweep “every state” on Super Tuesday and said he is fully focused on the November election against his presumed opponent, Joe Biden.

“My focus is really at this point, it’s on Biden,” Trump said on Fox News.

We should win almost every state today, I think every state. ... But we [should'] really look at Biden.

'I am a Republican': Haley again rejects third-party presidential bid

Nikki Haley has once again rejected a third-party presidential bid as Donald Trump said she had “no path” to the GOP nomination.

Haley, speaking to Fox News this morning, said:

I have said many, many times I would not run as an independent. I would not run as No Labels because I am a Republican. And that’s who I’ve always been. That’s what I’m going to do.

The third-party presidential movement No Labels plans to meet after Super Tuesday to decide whether it will go forward with plans to launch an independent candidacy.

Updated

Third-ranking Senate Republican Barrasso won't run to replace McConnell

Senator John Barrasso of Wyoming has decided not to run for Senate Republican leader to succeed Mitch McConnell, and instead will run for the No. 2 position of whip, according to multiple reports.

Barrasso, 71, is the third-ranking Senate Republican as chairman of the Senate Republican Conference and relatively popular with the Republican right. He endorsed Donald Trump in January and has the closes relationship with the former president of the “three Johns”.

His decision not to run for Senate GOP leader means the race is now effectively between senators John Thune of South Dakota and John Cornyn of Texas, although Barrasso’s departure could pave the way for another Trump ally to throw their hat in the ring.

Senator Rick Scott of Florida met with Trump on Monday night amid speculation that he could launch a bid for leader. Trump has also privately urged Steve Daines of Montana to run for the position, Axios reported.

Updated

Historically, Taylor Swift, who has urged her followers to head to the polls for Super Tuesday, has been cautious about dipping her toes into political discourse.

Her most pointed involvement has included a 2018 plea to fans to vote for Democrats in a Tennessee election, against Republican Marsha Blackburn. Since then, she endorsed Joe Biden in 2020 and even spoke out against then-president Donald Trump that same year.

Outside of these instances, like on Tuesday, Swift has used her platform repeatedly to tell fans to vote. Notably, voter registration soars by the tens of thousands after each of her get-out-the-vote Instagram posts.

It remains unclear if Swift will use her platform this year to do more than tell her fans to vote, but there’s certainly an appetite for her to do so – and an appetite for her to keep quiet.

In a poll conducted by the Guardian earlier this year, one Swift fan said “her stance and/or endorsement is one that I care about as much as my granddaughter does.

I would like to hear her speak out in support of human rights for all, especially women. And to support the asylum-seeking refugees risking their lives to contribute their hard work to the US. That’s what actually makes America great.

For me, Taylor Swift’s endorsement holds more influence than any man in DC or in the media. Why wouldn’t her opinion matter to me?

Also this year, there have already been many right-wing conspiracy theories flourishing online that suggest Swift is a covert asset to bolster Biden and that she and her boyfriend, Travis Kelce, are a set-up to bolster Biden; allies of Trump even pledged a “holy war” against Swift if she sides with the Democrats in November.

Taylor Swift has urged her supporters to head to the polls today in a rare political message on Instagram.

“Today, March 5, is the Presidential Primary in Tennessee and 16 other states and territories,” Swift wrote in an Instagram story.

I wanted to remind you guys to vote the people who most represent YOU into power. If you haven’t already, make a plan to vote today.

Whether you’re in Tennessee or somewhere else in the US, check your polling places and times at vote.org.

Swift has not publicly endorsed a presidential candidate this cycle, but she previously backed Joe Biden in 2020 and supported Democratic candidates in Tennessee.

Updated

The US supreme court ruled on Monday that Donald Trump should appear on Colorado’s primary ballot, overturning a ruling by the state supreme court that said the former president could not run because he had engaged in insurrection during the January 6 attack on the US Capitol.

Trump was wrongly removed from Colorado’s primary ballot last year, the court’s unanimous decision found, in a novel interpretation of section 3 of the 14th amendment, which bars insurrectionists from holding office.

The court wrote in an unsigned opinion:

We conclude that States may disqualify persons holding or attempting to hold state office. But States have no power under the Constitution to enforce Section 3 with respect to federal offices, especially the Presidency.

Congress, the court said, had to enact the procedures for disqualification under Section 3. The court added:

State-by-state resolution of the question whether Section 3 bars a particular candidate for President from serving would be quite unlikely to yield a uniform answer consistent with the basic principle that the President … represent[s] all the voters in the Nation.

The decision was a victory for Trump, clearing the way for him to appear on the ballot in all 50 states.

While a lot of attention is on Super Tuesday voting, talks are still underway in Egypt for a potential temporary ceasefire in Israel’s war on Gaza and the international criminal court in The Hague, Netherlands, has issued arrest warrants for two senior Russian military figures accused of being responsible for a missile campaign targeting Ukrainian energy infrastructure between October 2022 and March 2023, two years into Russia’s war on Ukraine.

Our colleagues are following all of that news via stories and live blogs. Right now we have global live blogs running out of London on the latest situation in the Middle East, which you can follow here, and between Ukraine and Russia, here.

In the US, NBC now reports that strong comments US vice president Kamala Harris has made in the last 48 hours, calling for a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas and decrying the “humanitarian catastrophe” in Gaza would have been even stronger if she’d had her way.

Harris met with Benny Gantz in Washington, DC, yesterday, a member of the Israeli war cabinet and a centrist rival of Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who was in the US over Netanyahu’s objections.

My colleague in Washington, Léonie Chao-Fong, will take the blog baton now and bring you the news as it happens over the coming hours. Our colleagues Chris Stein and Maanvi Singh will take over the evening’s Super Tuesday political climax.

Updated

Joe Biden is reportedly eager, and pushing behind the scenes of his re-election campaign, for a “much more aggressive approach” to the 2024 contest for the White House that revolves around going “for Donald Trump’s jugular,” political news site Axios reports this morning.

It’s a fascinating review of signals from the Biden camp and is based on a conviction from the US president that a great way to unsettle Trump, the Republican frontrunner to be his rival in November, is taunting him as “a loser”, the outlet says.

As a famously thin-skinned former president, Trump is believed by Biden, according to what he has reportedly told friends, to be “wobbly, both intellectually and emotionally, and will explode if Biden mercilessly gigs and goads him — ‘go haywire in public’,” as one adviser put it to Axios.

Apparently Biden is “looking for a fight” and his “instincts tell him to let it fly when warning about the consequences of Trump winning the presidency again. Biden told The New Yorker that Trump would refuse to admit losing, again, Axios reports.

Who can forget that in the 2020 campaign in which he won the White House, Biden weirdly called a woman on the campaign trail in New Hampshire a “lying, dog-faced pony soldier”?

His direct attacks on Trump and the hard right Make America Great Again (Maga) movement since last year have become much more pointed and effective, however.

Updated

Voting under way in Super Tuesday primary contests

The polls are open and voting is under way in some states as millions head to the ballot box on this Super Tuesday, the largest day for voting for both Democrats and Republicans before the November presidential election.

People are already casting their ballots in person in eastern states, including Virginia, North Carolina, Maine and others, also further midwest in Minnesota, and polls will be opening soon in places such as Colorado, then further west later.

Voters involved today are in Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Iowa, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia. The territory of American Samoa will be caucusing.

In a tweak to the previous version of this post, to clarify: In Iowa, where Democratic caucuses were held by mail since January, the results are expected this evening.

Results will roll in throughout the evening. Iowa Democratic results are expected from 6pm eastern time. First polls close at 7pm ET. We will have live coverage throughout the day and a results tracker from 6pm.

In the meantime, here’s where to read more about the key things to know:

This blog has now passed to the US from my colleague in London, Martin Belam, and we’ll be taking you through the day and evening as voting continues, then polls close and results start to come in.

Updated

Here is another excerpt from Martin Pengelly’s analysis piece about the key issues at stake in this November’s presidential election, which today’s Super Tuesday results will all but confirm will be a re-run of Trump v Biden.

Democrats are clear: they will focus on Republican attacks on abortion rights, from the Dobbs v Jackson supreme court ruling that struck down Roe v Wade to the mifepristone case, draconian bans in red states and candidates’ support for such bans.

For Democrats, it makes tactical sense: the threat to women’s reproductive rights is a rare issue on which the party polls very strongly and it has clearly fuelled a series of electoral wins, even in conservative states, since Dobbs. The recent Alabama IVF ruling, which said embryos should be legally treated as people, showed the potency of such tactics again: from Trump down, Republicans scrambled to deny they want to deny treatment used by millions to have the children they want.

Trump, however, clearly finds it hard not to boast about appointing three justices who voted to strike down Roe, and to entertain ideas about harsher abortion bans. Expect Biden and Democrats to hit and keep on hitting.

It isn’t just the presidential nomination on Super Tuesday ballot papers up and down the US today. One of the most keenly watched contests will be the primary for the US Senate seat in California vacated by Dianne Feinstein.

It has been quite an unusual race. The Democratic frontrunner is Rep Adam Schiff, who faces rivals from his party in the shape of Rep Barbara Lee of Oakland and Rep Katie Porter of Irvine. But also in the picture is former Los Angeles Dodgers player Steve Garvey for the Rpublicans.

Seema Mehta has been following the contest for the LA Times, and earlier this week she wrote:

Once Garvey entered the race, he did not mount a traditional campaign. He hasn’t held any big rallies or public meet-and-greets with voters around the state. He spent no money on television ads, never rented a campaign bus and declined to do endorsement interviews with California’s major newspapers.

In the final weekend before election day, the leading Democrats running for the Senate seat barnstormed the state, with Schiff holding seven public events, Lee attending four and Porter participating in two. As his Democratic opponents seized the last opportunity to woo voters, Garvey was at home in Palm Desert, visible to the public only through TV ads paid for by Schiff and his supporters and a brief Fox News interview.

And why is Schiff running attack ads against him? It may just be a cunning ruse. Mehta continues:

Schiff’s political ads portray Garvey both as a loyalist of former president Trump and the Democratic candidate’s greatest threat in the California Senate race. While those appear to be attacks on Garvey, they probably will increase his appeal to California Republicans and allow him to secure enough votes in the 5 March primary to advance to the fall election.

The two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of their political party, will face off in November. A recent poll shows that, in a one-on-one matchup, Schiff would have a much easier time defeating Garvey than Porter, a fellow Democrat.

Over at CNN, Ronald Brownstein has an analysis piece which looks a little at the potential weakness of Donald Trump support away from his core base. Brownstein writes:

[Trump’s] performance so far reflects his success at transforming the Republican Party in his image. He’s reshaped the Republicans into a more blue-collar, populist and pugnacious party, focused more on his volatile blend of resentments against elites and cultural and racial change than the Ronald Reagan-era priorities of smaller government and active global leadership that former South Carolina Gov Nikki Haley has stressed.

But while the primaries have underscored Trump’s grip on the GOP, they have also demonstrated continued vulnerability for him in the areas where he has labored since he first announced his candidacy in 2015 – particularly among the white-collar suburban voters who mostly leaned toward the GOP before his emergence. The early 2024 nominating contests have shown that a substantial minority of Republican-leaning voters remain resistant to Trump’s vision.

Even while posting such convincing victories, he has struggled with college-educated voters and moderates. Trump has carried only about 40% of independent voters who participated in the three contests where exit or entrance polls of voters have been conducted.

My colleague Martin Pengelly in Washington offers this analysis of the key issues that will decide the 2024 US presidential election, among them is the economy:

“It’s the economy, stupid.” So said the Democratic strategist James Carville, in 1992, as an adviser to Bill Clinton. Most Americans thought stewardship of the economy should change: Clinton beat an incumbent president, George HW Bush.

More than 30 years later, under Biden, the post-Covid recovery remains on track. Unemployment is low, stocks at all-time highs. That should bode well but the key question is whether enough Americans think the economy is strong under Biden, or think it is working for them, or think Trump was a safer pair of hands (forgetting the chaos of Covid). According to polling, many do prefer Trump. Cost-of-living concerns dominate such surveys. Inflation remains a worry. For Biden, Republican threats to social security and Medicare might help offset such worries. For Trump, whose base skews older, such threats must be downplayed – even though they are present in Republicans’ own transition planning.

When are polls closing and results due to come in

Here, via AP, is an estimated timeline for tonight, so you can plan your evening. All times are EST …

  • 6pm EST (11pm GMT): Results expected in Iowa

  • 7pm: Polls close in Vermont and Virginia. Caucuses convene in Alaska (Republicans only)

  • 7:30pm: Polls close in North Carolina

  • 8pm: Polls close in Alabama, Maine, Massachusetts, Oklahoma and Tennessee. Most polls close in Texas.

  • 8:30pm: Polls close in Arkansas

  • 9pm: Polls close in Colorado and Minnesota. Last polls close in Texas. Caucuses convene in Utah (Republicans only)

  • 10pm: Polls close in Utah (Democrats only)

  • 11pm: Polls close in California. Voting is expected to end in Utah (Republicans only)

  • Midnight: Voting ends in Alaska (Republicans only)

Updated

Niall Stange at The Hill notes that in some ways, Nikki Haley’s win in Washington DC might prove a little counter-productive to her trying to attract Republican primary voters away from the lure of Donald Trump. It certainly gave the Trump campaign a new attack line against her. He wrote:

Haley notched her first victory Sunday, when she carried the District of Columbia primary. That victory was history-making, as her campaign noted it made her the first woman ever to win a Republican presidential primary.

But the DC win does not change the shape of the race, nor is it a harbinger of things to come. The Republican electorate in the District is highly unrepresentative of the grassroots of the party across the nation.

That point was seized upon by the Trump campaign. Press secretary Karoline Leavitt said Haley had been “crowned Queen of the Swamp by the lobbyists and DC insiders that want to protect the failed status quo.”

Will Super Tuesday mark the end of Nikki Haley's campaign?

What are Nikki Haley’s prospects for today? Well, she has performed best in Democratic-leaning areas, as evidenced by her win in the Washington DC primary on Sunday, her first of the campaign. She has also benefited from independents and Democrats participating in Republican primaries, suggesting that her strongest performances could come in places with open primaries, which are not limited to participation by registered Republicans.

Here’s what my colleague Joan E Greve had to say:

Could this be Haley’s last stand? Most likely, yes. Even after losing to Trump by 20 points in her home state of South Carolina, Haley vowed to fight on to Super Tuesday, insisting that Republican voters deserved the opportunity to cast their ballots in the primary.

“In the next 10 days, another 21 states and territories will speak,” Haley said after the South Carolina primary on 24 February. “They have the right to a real choice, not a Soviet-style election with only one candidate. And I have a duty to give them that choice.”

But Haley has been vague on her plans after Super Tuesday, and many election watchers expect her to soon call it quits. With only one win in Washington DC under her belt, Haley will have a hard time justifying the continuation of her candidacy.

What’s at stake for Joe Biden on Super Tuesday?

Joe Biden does not have any real competition for the Democratic nomination, as both of his main opponents – Minnesota congressman Dean Phillips and self-help author Marianne Williamson – have failed to win any delegates so far, per the AP’s tracker.

But Super Tuesday represents an opportunity for Biden to notch some decisive wins after his mixed performance in the Michigan primary last week. Biden won an impressive 81% of the vote in Michigan, but more than 100,000 of the state’s voters cast ballots for “uncommitted” after progressive organizers had urged Michiganders to do so as a means of protesting the war in Gaza. Many on the left have called on Biden to do more to bring about a ceasefire.

In a statement issued last Tuesday after Michigan polls closed, Biden celebrated his win and notably did not include any specific mention of the “uncommitted” turnout, an omission that infuriated the progressive organizers of the campaign.

“You’ve heard me say many times it’s never a good bet to bet against the United States of America,” Biden said in the statement. “This fight for our freedoms, for working families, and for Democracy is going to take all of us coming together. I know that we will.”

Super Tuesday may give Biden the chance to show that the Democratic party is already coming together to defeat Trump in November.

Yesterday my colleague David Smith had a scene-setter for today, where he had spoken to Frank Luntz, a political consultant and pollster who had a long track record of advising Republican campaigns before Trump seized control of the party. Lunz told the Guardian:

It never mattered less. I don’t know any political event that’s got more attention for being less relevant. The decision has been made. The choice is clear. You know who the two nominees are and 70% of Americans would rather it not be so.

The gap [in polling between Trump and Biden] is widening because Biden is collapsing. With the economy getting stronger and conditions on the ground getting better, Joe Biden is still getting weaker. That’s a three-alarm fire in America. The lights are flashing, the people are screaming but Joe Biden doesn’t hear them.

Here are some of the nuts and bolts of what is happening today. The states that are involved are Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Iowa, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia. The territory of American Samoa will be caucusing.

That spread from northern to southern states and from east to west coasts in the US mainland means results may take a while to come in.

AP notes that Super Tuesday has the largest delegate haul of any day in the primary calendar, representing more than one-third of the total delegates available in each party’s nomination process and more than 70% of the delegates needed to mathematically clinch either party’s nomination. But neither Trump nor Biden will be able to claim the title of “presumptive nominee” at the close of play.

The earliest that could happen is 12 March for Trump and 19 March for Biden. Trump would need to win about 90% of the nearly 1,100 delegates at stake until then in order to clinch the nomination that day. Biden would need to win about 77% of the nearly 2,300 delegates at stake before 19 March to ensure his nomination by that date.

And while we are waiting for those results to come in and delegates to be assigned, a lot of people in the US will be pondering the mental acuity of both Biden and Trump. A poll released Monday suggested 63% of Americans say they are not very or not at all confident in Biden’s mental capability, 57% say the same about Trump.

Trump wins the North Dakota Republican caucuses

Donald Trump has continued his domination of the race to be the Republican nominee for president with an expected victory in Monday’s North Dakota Republican caucuses.

As his campaign headed into Super Tuesday the former president will most likely stretch his lead over Nikki Haley by all 29 of North Dakota’s delegates. If he wins at least 60% of the vote he gets all of the delegates. If his vote is less than 60%, then the delegates will be split proportional to the respective votes for Trump and Haley.

North Dakota Gov Doug Burgum was quoted by AP as telling Republicans in a virtual address to caucusgoers:

I think we’re going to send a message that is going to be a kick-off to tomorrow, which is president Donald Trump is going to close this out, this is going to be the end of the trail, and we’re going to say we have a nominee, and let’s go after it, and beat Joe Biden in the fall.

Two other candidates were on the ballot besides Trump and Haley. The other candidates were Florida businessman David Stuckenberg and Texas businessman and pastor Ryan Binkley, who recently ended his campaign.

The Democratic Party holds its North Dakota primary on 30 March.

Welcome and opening summary …

Super Tuesday is usually one of the most hotly anticipated fixtures of the US electoral cycle, the point at which the race to be nominated for president usually has a big shake out as 16 states and one territory go to the polls or declare their results.

It isn’t quite the same this year at all.

For the Republicans, former president Donald Trump is so far ahead of his only rival, Nikki Haley, that the main focus is on whether she will even continue to campaign after tonight’s results come in, despite recently scoring her first primary victory in the District of Columbia.

And for the incumbent president Joe Biden there are no serious challengers, but there is an opportunity to assess the extent to which Democratic party voters still have enthusiasm for the man they put into the White House to replace Trump just over three years ago.

Here are the headlines …

It is Martin Belam with you for the next couple of hours. You can contact me at martin.belam@theguardian.com

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