Recent years have seen a growing recognition that sanctions are a blunt instrument that can easily hurt the wrong people. Success in undermining apartheid in South Africa gave way to disaster in Iraq as the embargo imposed after the invasion of Kuwait impoverished and humiliated a generation of ordinary people while giving a cruel dictatorship a further instrument of control. The Libya sanctions, on the oil industry and air travel, were less draconian but far more effective. They isolated the country, provided a framework around which a settlement could be reached and pressured Colonel Muammar Gadafy into reducing his involvement in terrorism. Crucially, though, the US was able to maintain the support of other countries.
Political will of this kind is lacking in Burma. The Asian country should be a soft target since few outsiders have a stake in its economy. Even so, France negotiated loopholes allowing it to continue investing in the oil industry. The latest measures include a visa ban on high-ranking generals and a block on loans to state-owned businesses. Europe has imposed similar "smart" sanctions against Robert Mugabe and his senior henchmen in Zimbabwe. But the EU and the US are still at odds over whether to lift the arms embargo imposed on China after the 1989 Tiananmen massacre: when the stakes are very high, only the lowest common denominator can usually be agreed. Still, even unsatisfactory sanctions are preferable to war.