Breece Hall is ranked as the 19th-best running back in the NFL by Maurice Jones-Drew.
Hall’s production has decreased in each of the last two seasons amid the New York Jets’ offensive dysfunction. It’s another year of change for the fourth-year running back with Tanner Engstrand coming in as offensive coordinator and Justin Fields likely to be the starting quarterback.
New Jets head coach Aaron Glenn prefers a three-man running back rotation, which could see some of Hall’s carries go to Braelon Allen and/or Isaiah Davis. After finishing the 2024 season as RB18, Hall is currently RB13 according to his ADP at Fantasy Pros, but he’s a difficult player to predict heading into preseason.
On NFL.com, Jones-Drew wrote, “Engstrand comes over from Detroit, where the offense was led by a two-headed monster in the backfield; he could apply a similar approach with Hall and dual-threat QB Fields leading the charge.”
Constant Trade Rumors
Hall has been at the center of trade rumors throughout the offseason. Glenn called Hall earlier in the summer to confirm he was part of his plans, but New York is high on Allen and Davis. Hall is in a contract year.
If the Jets and Hall don’t come to a long-term agreement, a trade is likely, which creates further uncertainty when trying to project Hall’s fantasy value.
The Jets are aiming to contend this season. Hall is likely to be a big part of a run-heavy offense if they compete. He could feasibly be one of the three most valuable running backs in fantasy football. It’s equally possible the Jets are out of contention by the trade deadline, and Hall is below 10 rushing attempts per game with Allen, Davis, and Fields getting carries.
Hall’s Fantasy Outlook
The Jets should have one of the best offensive lines in the NFL blocking for Hall. First-rounders Olu Fashanu and Armand Membou joined an interior offensive line which ranked in the top-12 during the 2024 season.
Hall had 994 rushing yards in 2023 at 4.5 yards per attempt. He’s unlikely to return to his 5.8 yards per carry level of 2022, but he could sit around five yards per attempt with elite blocking and an offense designed to bring the best out of the running game.
Chase Brown, Kyren Williams, Bucky Irving, and Jonathan Taylor are currently being drafted before Hall. He could feasibly be more productive than all four of those players, but it’s hard to see him finishing the season any better than RB7.
There’s considerable downside, too. A decrease in workload could see the the former second-round pick fall to RB20 or below. This is a storyline to keep an eye on throughout training camp and preseason.
