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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Mark Tran

Polls primer

US election junkies who want to know how George Bush and John Kerry are doing in the polls on a daily basis can get their fix at the following sites. The first, Electoral Vote Predictor, tracks the electoral vote state by state.

As everyone should now know, a candidate does not get the White House by necessarily winning the popular vote - Al Gore was reminded of that four years ago. A candidate gets to Pennsylvania Avenue by more winning votes in the electoral college (270 is the number required for victory) than the other guy. That is why the Electoral Vote Predictor 2004, which is dedicated to tracking the electoral college vote by examining the state-by-state polls, is so compelling.

The person behind the site is a Kerry supporter but has "bent over backwards to be scrupulously honest about all the numbers, and have carefully designed the main page to be strictly nonpartisan".

Right now, the news for Kerry is none too good. As of today, Bush would romp home with 327 electoral votes to Kerry's 211. Among the wealth of information is polling data on the key battleground states.

For daily tracking poll, you can go the Ramussen reports. As of yesterday, Bush and Kerry were neck-and-neck, 47.8 to 46.1.

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