'Polls always overestimate Labour': your general election predictions

Britain will stand up for Theresa May, according to our reader predictions. Photograph: Stefan Wermuth/AFP/Getty Images

The Conservatives will win the general election with a majority of 20 to 30 seats – according to our readers.

You heard it here first.

With polls – which have been wrong before – showing a tightening of the race, readers who responded to our callout were more sceptical of the Labour surge.

Related: General election 2017 poll tracker: YouGov poll sees Labour three points off Tories

Of respondents 45% predicted a Conservative win, 32% a shock Labour victory, and 23% a hung parliament.

Below, we share four of the scenarios our readers deemed most likely.

1) Conservatives win, increase their majority to 20-30 seats

Theresa May shares a joke with supporters during her visit the Royal Bath and West Show on May 31, 2017 in Shepton Mallet, United Kingdom. Photograph: Leon Neal/Getty Images

I feel that the more people are seeing of Jeremy Corbyn, the more they realise he is more competent and capable than the press have made him out to be. This, along with Theresa May’s weak performance over the course of her election campaign and the positive public perception of some of the policies in the Labour manifesto, are causing the polls to narrow.

I do not think there is enough time for Labour’s current momentum to see them win a majority, so I think the Conservatives will win a slightly increased majority of 30 seats - not the landslide Theresa May was expecting to begin with. I think a small increase in the Conservative’s majority will be a pyrrhic victory for May.

Harrison Prentice, Birmingham

2) Tory landslide: Conservatives win by over 100 seats

Margaret Thatcher waving to well-wishers after her 1983 election win. At Tory Party headquarters, she told flag-waving supporters “My victory is greater than I had dared to hope”. Photograph: PA

The current poll numbers are soft and unreliable. On the questions that really matter (leadership and the economy) Corbyn and McDonnell still lag too far behind. Jeremy has had a good election mainly because our party has accidentally played the expectations game really well.

We made Corbyn look so bad that even a mediocre performance looks good. But people’s minds have not fundamentally changed on him. Any progress we have made in this election has been down to Theresa May and the Tories (sorry, Theresa May’s Team) making some huge strategic and policy mistakes.

Ben, Liverpool

3) Hung parliament

It didn’t turn out that way in 2015... SNP leader and Scotland’s First Minister Nicola Sturgeon campaigning in Edinburgh East with SNP candidate Tommy Sheppard. Photograph: Murdo MacLeod for the Guardian

Things are moving fast but Theresa May’s campaign has been disastrous. Jeremy Corbyn is finally getting real exposure and is impressing. It’s probably too big a task for Labour to achieve a majority, especially as most UKIP deserters will vote Tory. People are going to vote tactically which will help the Lib Dems gain seats in the West Country and in London. Ultimately Theresa May’s campaign was negative and there is a sense that the electorate are rediscovering a sense of optimism.

Hilary Strong, Hampshire

4) Labour to win with a small majority

A crowd of supporters wait for Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn to speak during a General Election campaign rally at Zebedee’s Yard, Hull. Photograph: Peter Byrne/PA

It’s a repeat of the US election. The establishment will lose because people are sick of it. They can see what many years of Tory governance has done to them. Corbyn is a populist making a lot of sense and pushing for policies that most people want for their families.

Alison Jacobs, Exeter

Agree? Wildly disagree? Share your own predictions in the comments below. We can come back next week and see if you were right.