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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
National
Archie Mitchell

Polling guru says Reform has ‘already won’ next week’s elections

  • Polling guru Professor Sir John Curtice predicts Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, will gain hundreds of seats in upcoming local elections, impacting both Labour and Conservative support.
  • Less than half of voters polled intend to vote for either of the two main parties, a historic low, with Reform UK benefiting from this shift, having “already won”.
  • Reform UK's success is attributed to its ability to attract votes from both Conservative and Labour supporters, posing a threat to both parties.
  • The Liberal Democrats are also expected to perform well, capitalising on Reform UK's impact on Conservative votes.
  • While Labour might see net gains due to Reform UK's influence on Conservative seats, a stronger Reform UK could pose a future challenge to Labour by taking their seats as well.

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