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Axios
Axios
Politics
Marisa Fernandez

Poll: Trump faces "significantly higher" opposition to 2nd term than Obama did in 2011

President Trump and former President Obama after Trump wins election. Photo: Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images

Voter opposition to a second term for President Trump is significantly higher than the opposition former president Barack Obama encountered in 2011, according to a new ABC News/Washington Post poll on the 2020 presidential election outlook.

By the numbers: 56% of Americans say they definitely wouldn’t vote to re-elect Trump, double the number who say they’d definitely vote for him. In 2011, 46% said they wouldn't vote for Obama.


  • President Trump’s support from the GOP is more solid, with 70% of Republicans saying they’ll definitely vote for him, compared with 58% of Democrats for Obama in 2011.
  • 59% of swing-voting independents say they wouldn't consider Trump for a second term. 47% ruled out Obama.

What to watch: As more Democrats enter the race, "a potentially crowded Democratic field shows no sign of a clear front-runner across the aisle," the poll notes.

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