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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Entertainment
Peter Bradshaw

Peter Bradshaw’s Bafta 2022 predictions – who will win and who should win?

Best actor and best supporting actor nominees Kodi Smit-McPhee and Benedict Cumberbatch in The Power of the Dog.
Best actor and best supporting actor nominees Kodi Smit-McPhee and Benedict Cumberbatch in The Power of the Dog. Photograph: Netflix/Kirsty Griffin/Allstar

Best film

Will win: The Power of the Dog (dir. Jane Campion)
Should win: The Power of the Dog (dir. Jane Campion)
Shoulda been a contender: The Green Knight (dir. David Lowery)

Outstanding British film

Will win: Belfast (dir. Kenneth Branagh)
Should win: After Love (dir. Aleem Khan)
Shoulda been a contender: The Souvenir Part II (dir. Joanna Hogg)

Best director

Will win: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
Should win: Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza
Shoulda been a contender: Joanna Hogg for The Souvenir Part II

Outstanding debut by a British writer, director or producer

Will win: Rebecca Hall for Passing
Should win: Aleem Khan for After Love
Shoulda been a contender: Prano Bailey-Bond for Censor

Best film not in the English language

Will win: Drive My Car (dir. Ryu Hamaguchi)
Should win: Drive My Car (dir. Ryu Hamaguchi)
Shoulda been a contender: Azor (dir. Andreas Fontana)

Best documentary

Will win: Flee (dir. Jonas Rasmussen)
Should win: Flee (dir. Jonas Rasmussen)
Shoulda been a contender: State Funeral (dir. Sergei Loznitsa)

Best animated film

Will win: Encanto (dirs. Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Charise Castro Smith)
Should win: Flee (dir. Jonas Rasmussen)
Shoulda been a contender: Accidental Luxuriance of the Translucent Watery Rebus (dir. Dalibor Baric)

Best original screenplay

Will win: Kenneth Branagh for Belfast
Should win: Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza
Shoulda been a contender: Andy Siara and Max Barbakow for Palm Springs

Best adapted screenplay

Will win: Jane Campion for The Power of the Dog
Should win: Ryu Hamaguchi, Takamasa Oe for Drive My Car
Shoulda been a contender: David Lowery for The Green Knight

Best actor

Will win: Benedict Cumberbatch for The Power of the Dog
Should win: Adeel Akhtar for Ali & Ava
Shoulda been a contender: Clayne Crawford for The Killing of Two Lovers

Adeel Akhtar with Claire Rushbrook in Ali & Ava
Adeel Akhtar with Claire Rushbrook in Ali & Ava Photograph: pr

Best actress

Will win: Joanna Scanlan for After Love
Should win: Joanna Scanlan for After Love
Shoulda been a contender: Olivia Colman for The Lost Daughter

Best supporting actor

Will win: Kodi Smit-McPhee for The Power of the Dog
Should win: Woody Norman for C’mon C’mon
Shoulda been a contender: Raúl Briones for A Cop Movie

Best supporting actress

Will win: Ariana DeBose for West Side Story
Should win: Ruth Negga for Passing
Shoulda been a contender: Lashana Lynch for Eye for Eye

Best music

Will win: Hans Zimmer for Dune
Should win: Hans Zimmer for Dune
Shoulda been a contender: Jonathan Larson for tick, tick … BOOM! (posthumous)

Best cinematography

Will win: Greig Fraser for Dune
Should win: Ari Wegner for The Power of the Dog
Shoulda been a contender: Claire Mathon for Spencer

• The Baftas ceremony is on 13 March and will be broadcast on BBC One

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