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Daily Mirror
Daily Mirror
Joseph Wilkes

One in 3,900 people in England had coronavirus by end of June - with 1,700 cases a day

Around one in 3,900 people in England were infected with coronavirus between June 22 and July 5, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has said.

This is the ONS's lowest estimate yet of the spread of the virus but indicates that the current rate of shrinkage is slow.

At the initial peak, research by the ONS and Oxford University found one in every 400 - 0.24 per cent of adults - carried the bug between April 26 and May 8.

There were 136,000 people estimated to be infected at the beginning of May.

But the latest data from the Covid-19 surveillance study for England suggests an estimated average of 14,000 people had coronavirus between June 22 and July 5.

Around 1,700 people caught the bug each day, just 0.03% of the population - down from 0.09% two weeks ago - or one in every 3,900.

However, the ONS said the decline in cases appears to have levelled off in recent weeks.

They urged caution over reading too much into the figures due to the low number of positive cases.

During the 14-day period from June 22 to July 5, there were an estimated two new Covid-19 infections for every 10,000 people per week, equating to an estimated 1,700 new cases per day.

The estimates are based on swab tests collected from 25,662 people, of which a tiny number of individuals - eight from eight different households - tested positive.

The ONS found infection rates within households followed a similar trend as for individuals.

They calculated that four households per 10,000 households were newly infected in the period from June 22 to July 5, 2020.

Meanwhile a separate study, from King's College London suggests cases have stopped shrinking in the past week.

Their data shows there are currently 1,472 daily new cases of Covid-19 - up slightly on last week when there were 1,445 new infections.

Epidemiologist Professor Tim Spector from King's College London is behind the study.

He said: “It is disappointing to see that the number of daily new cases are no longer falling like they have been in previous weeks, this could be a temporary blip or due to the easing of lockdown and the amount of social contact slowly increasing.

"Importantly our updated analysis of the prevalence is still continuing to show that the Midlands and Wales are key areas in the country where the amount of Covid is remaining relatively high.

"It is important that we keep a close eye on these areas.

"With the growing number of people suffering for extended periods of time, we are going to be focusing on these long term sufferers to help us research causes and potential treatments.

"But in order for this to be possible, we need all our users to continue to log in, even if they have been ill and have got better.”

Across the past week, the average number of new cases of coronavirus in the UK has been 546, with 642 today.

And the ONS said the decline in coronavirus cases, which was so apparent in May and June, has levelled off.

Today's report said: "When analysing data for the most recent non-overlapping 14-day periods, these estimates suggest the percentage testing positive has decreased over time since April 27, and this downward trend appears to have now levelled off.

"Over the last three 14-day periods, the variation in the percentage testing positive is consistent with random variation based on sampling."

The UK's true death toll is more than 10,000 higher than reported by the government, according to the latest available data.

The toll of 55,398 comprises fatalities where Covid-19 was mentioned on death certificates, including suspected cases, and it also includes more recent hospital deaths.

It is well above the government's official toll of 44,602, which counts only confirmed Covid-19 deaths.

Registered deaths involving coronavirus decreased in all but one region in England in the week ending June 26, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said in its latest update.

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