The commentary atop the IEA's monthly oil market report a week ago was headlined "A floor under prices?" and said Brent crude "seems to" have found one around $60-per-barrel. That question mark, in retrospect, is doing lots of work.
Where it stands: Prices plummeted by several dollars per barrel in trading Tuesday, the latest sign of volatility that's carrying the day despite the OPEC+ efforts to stabilize the market.
- Brent crude fell to roughly $56-per-barrel, while WTI, the U.S. benchmark, dropped sharply into the $46-per-barrel range.
- But they're more or less holding steady on Wednesday morning, trading around $56.58 for Brent and $46.85 for WTI.
Why it matters: The falling prices create challenges for petro-states and could hinder the U.S. shale patch if the doldrums remain.
- Here's Bloomberg: "The plunge in U.S. oil prices has wells in some parts of the Permian Basin below break-even levels, threatening to put the brakes on the record flow from the prolific field."
The big picture: Concerns about a slowdown in economic growth and trade battles eating into demand, the robust amount of crude sloshing around, and broader market woes are all creating downward pressure on prices.
- Brent has come down from $86 in early October, its highest level in 4 years, while WTI has come down by around $29 since then.
What they're saying: “The market is experiencing price carnage, maximum pain and considerable downside pressure,” Robin Bieber of the brokerage PVM oil tells Reuters.
- "Enveloping supply concerns is the increasing likelihood of a protracted economic downturn in China that continues to stoke fears of demand slowdown," Stephen Innes of the trading platform Oanda said in a note quoted by MarketWatch.
What's next: Late this morning the Energy Information Administration will release its closely watched weekly data on U.S. oil storage levels.
Go deeper: Oil prices volatile after OPEC-Russia deal
