Nottingham Forest receive survival boost as Premier…

Nottingham Forest receive survival boost as Premier League prediction made

Nottingham Forest are tipped to narrowly avoid relegation as they prepare for their final four games of the Premier League season.

Despite their 2-1 defeat at Brentford on Saturday, the Reds' recent victory over Brighton and Hove Albion has seen their chances of survival improve significantly, according to Opta. Following the latest round of fixtures, Opta's latest round of Premier League probabilities has Steve Cooper's side no longer predicted for the drop.

The weekend’s result has actually seen Forest’s probability increase by 0.3 percent. And they have been overtaken in the Premier League’s race to the bottom by Leeds United.

Leeds suffered a 4-1 defeat at Bournemouth on Sunday and must now face Newcastle and Manchester City in their next two games, while Forest host bottom-of-the-table Southampton in their next clash. As a result, Opta’s latest round of relegation probabilities make for positive reading, with the Reds now given a 46.6 percent chance of going down, compared to Leeds’ 58.1 percent chance.

While Forest are currently in the bottom three on goal difference, they could rise as high as 16th with a win against Southampton. The Saints remain rooted to the foot of the table following their 3-1 defeat at Newcastle on Sunday, and Opta give them a 98.3 percent chance of relegation.

Elsewhere, Everton are the next-most likely team to join Southampton in the Championship next season, with their current probability at 68.6 percent following their 2-2 draw at Leicester City on Monday - a game where both sides needed a win. The Foxes themselves are not out of the mix just yet, but that point against Everton lifted them to 16th position thanks to their superior goal difference over Leeds and Forest.

Leicester now have a 27.7 percent probability of relegation, down from 34.4 percent last week. Leeds have seen their chance of survival drop significantly, with the Yorkshire club now given a 58.1 percent chance of relegation, the third highest of any side.

Opta Analyst Premier League relegation probabilities:

Club - Probability on 28 April - Probability on 2 May - Difference

Southampton - 97.6% - 98.3% - +0.7%

Everton - 74.0% 68.6% -5.4%

Leeds United - 46.7% 58.1% +11.4%

Nottingham Forest - 46.3% 46.6% +0.3%

Leicester City - 34.3% 27.7% -6.6%