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Nottingham Post
Nottingham Post
Sport
Peter Smith

Nottingham Forest point rate required for Championship safety, predicted table and latest odds

Nottingham Forest retain a five-point cushion to the Championship's bottom three despite last night's sucker punch at Swansea.

Forest looked on their way for a goalless draw until Connor Roberts struck three minutes from time.

But most results elsewhere in the division did no harm to the standings. Rotherham lost at Bournemouth, Birmingham lost at Millwall and Coventry lost to Norwich while Huddersfield lost at Middlesbrough on Tuesday.

There are still 16 games to go for Forest and most of their rivals and the latest points projections suggest that it will take 48 or 49 to stay out of the relegation zone.

If Forest repeat the form they have shown since the start of the season, they are on course for 51 points. If they can repeat the form they have shown in the 12 league games under Chris Hughton since mid-December (1.67 points per game) they will stop the clock at 60 points.

In a normal Championship season, 60 points will land you a finish of about 13th.

Wycombe are currently on course to only collect 30 points while Birmingham, with a forecast of 43, look increasingly doomed.

The projections look tight for Sheffield Wednesday, who were deducted six points, Rotherham and Coventry while Huddersfield are looking over their shoulders. Bristol City's odds have also dramatically fallen. They sacked Dean Holden yesterday after just six months in charge.

Infogol's latest calculations for most likely finishes have Wednesday, Birmingham and Wycombe in the last three places, with Coventry in 21st, Huddersfield in 20th and Rotherham 19th.

Forest are tipped to leapfrog Bristol City and end up in 17th, with Derby County a place better off.

At the other end of the table, Infogol expects Brentford to go up as champions with Norwich in second, Watford in third and Swansea fourth. Reading and Bournemouth will complete the play-off places.

Latest relegation odds

Wycombe 1/100, Birmingham 8/11, Sheffield Wednesday 11/10, Coventry 5/2, Rotherham 3/1, Huddersfield 7/2, Nottingham Forest 9/1, Bristol City 10/1, QPR 25/1, Luton 28/1.

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