This year's Nobel prize for literature - arguably (in fact, inarguably) the most prestigious literary award in existence, will be announced today at 1pm CET (that's midday in the UK). The announcement will be live-streamed from the Swedish academy, but for those of you who are at work/don't speak Swedish, we'll be live-blogging the announcement here. Meanwhile, though, in the absence of any actual news, let the speculation begin.
Haruki Murakami is favourite according to Ladbrokes at 6/4, but does he have the heft to take the laureateship? Is the academy more – or less – likely to favour Syrian author and perennial Nobel bridesmaid Adonis in light of the ongoing conflict in his country? William Trevor's and Alice Munro's odds have both shortened considerably in the last few days – signs of insider knowledge? Who knows? Not us, for certain: the books desk's track record on spotting Nobel winners is abysmal (so far, we've been right a grand total of never).
So, basically, we're hoping you can do better. Tell us: who's going to win?