Transparency and accountability are important in life, that’s why its time to review our team total over or under prediction from way back in August. There were some obvious hits, some huge misses — hello San Francisco and Buffalo — and some close calls. The total record for the year was 13-17-2 Let’s get to it.
Miami Dolphins: Line – 4.5, Actual – 5, Prediction – Under, Confidence – *
Arizona Cardinals: Line – 5, Actual – 5, Prediction – Under, Confidence – *
Oakland Raiders: Line – 6, Actual – 7, Prediction – Over, Confidence – *
New York Giants: Line – 6, Actual – 4, Prediction – Under, Confidence – **
We did well here. The Dolphins barely beat their win total expectation. The Cardinals actually pushed. The biggest hit here was the Giants with two confidence points — out of four — going under comfortably.
Cincinnati Bengals: Line – 6, Actual – 2, Prediction – Under, Confidence – *
Washington Redskins: Line – 6.5, Actual – 3, Prediction – Under, Confidence – ****
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Line – 6.5, Actual – 7 Prediction – Over, Confidence – **
Detroit Lions: Line – 6.5, Actual – 3, Prediction – Over, Confidence – **
That was a huge miss with the Lions, but they didn’t play with their starting quarterback most of the season. They actually had a ton of leads. Let’s justify it as not bad. There was a huge hit on the Redskins with four confidence points.
Buffalo Bills: Line – 7, Actual – 10, Prediction – Under, Confidence – **
Denver Broncos: Line – 7, Actual – 7, Prediction – Over, Confidence – *
New York Jets: Line – 7.5, Actual – 7 Prediction – Over, Confidence – ***
Carolina Panthers: Line – 7.5, Actual – 5 Prediction – Under, Confidence – *
That’s 2-2 in this section. Probably should have just flipped the Jets and Bills. That would have made things much easier. The Panthers were an easy win after Cam Newton went down.
Indianapolis Colts: Line – 7.5, Actual – 7, Prediction – Over, Confidence – **
Jacksonville Jaguars: Line – 8, Actual – 6, Prediction – Under, Confidence – ***
San Francisco 49ers: Line – 8, Actual – 13, Prediction – Under, Confidence – ***
Tennessee Titans: Line – 8, Actual – 9, Prediction – Over, Confidence – *
Big hit on the Jaguars, and a huge swing and a miss on the Niners. The Titans always finish 9-7 so at this point always take their win total over.
Houston Texans: Line – 8.5, Actual – 10, Prediction – Over, Confidence – ****
Seattle Seahawks: Line – 8.5, Actual – 11 Prediction – Under, Confidence – *
Baltimore Ravens: Line – 8.5, Actual – 14, Prediction – Over, Confidence – ****
Atlanta Falcons: Line – 8.5, Actual – 7 Prediction – Over, Confidence – ****
The Texans and Ravens were huge hits. If we count the four-point confidence picks then these over-unders weren’t too bad . . . except for the Falcons pick.
Dallas Cowboys: Line – 9, Actual – 8 Prediction – Over, Confidence – **
Minnesota Vikings: Line – 9, Actual – 10 Prediction – Under, Confidence – *
Pittsburgh Steelers: Line – 9, Actual – 8, Prediction – Over, Confidence – ****
Green Bay Packers: Line – 9, Actual – 13 Prediction – Under, Confidence – **
Let’s not even address the 0-4 record in this section. The Steelers would have won more than nine games if Big Ben didn’t go down.
Cleveland Browns: Line – 9, Actual -6, Prediction – Over, Confidence – **
Chicago Bears: Line – 9, Actual – 8, Prediction – Over, Confidence – ****
Los Angeles Chargers: Line – 9.5, Actual – 5 Prediction – Over, Confidence – ***
Philadelphia Eagles: Line – 10, Actual – 9, Prediction – Over, Confidence – ***
Another 0-4 section, here. That’s not good. The Browns under was the easiest bet in the world, and somehow it wasn’t picked this year.
New Orleans Saints: Line – 10.5, Actual – 13, Prediction – Under, Confidence – **
Los Angeles Rams: Line – 10.5, Actual – 9, Prediction – Under, Confidence – *
Kansas City Chiefs: Line – 10.5, Actual – 12, Prediction – Over, Confidence – ***
New England Patriots: Line – 11, Actual – 12, Prediction – Over, Confidence – ***
This section brings us back to our winning ways. The Saints were a huge miss. The Chiefs and Patriots were easy money.
