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Sport
Doug Farrar

NFL Week 5 Power Rankings: Teams winning ugly stay on top

The ability to win when you’re not at your best is a must in the NFL if you want your team to operate at a championship level. As much as great teams have weeks in which everything goes right, there are also instances in which a Super Bowl contender will have to overcome formidable opponents and its own limitations, somehow pulling out a win anyway.

Both the Chiefs and Patriots experienced this in Week 4. Neither Patrick Mahomes nor Tom Brady threw a touchdown pass against the Lions and Bills, respectively. But in both cases, the teams had enough on the ball to keep the winning spirit alive.

It’s one reason these two teams met in last season’s AFC championship game, it’s why they should be favored to return, and it’s why they retained the top spots in this week’s Power Rankings.

32-25 | 24-17 | 16-9 | 8-1

32. Miami Dolphins

(Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports)

(0-4. Last week: 32)

There was incremental progress for Brian Flores’ team in its eventual 30-10 loss to the Chargers on Sunday. Josh Rosen began by completing 12 of his first 16 passes for 159 yards and a 34-yard touchdown pass to wide receiver DeVante Parker. And Miami held its first lead of the season with that touchdown, 7-3. But then, reality crashed in as it does, and the Dolphins crashed down with it. Running back Kalen Ballage had an inexcusable drop on a Rosen pass that could have been another touchdown, Jason Sanders missed two field goals and the Chargers offense came to life, mostly in the person of running back Austin Ekeler. Miami has been outscored 81-0 in the second half of games and 163-26 overall. At least the Dolphins can’t lose to their opponent next week — a bye — before they take on the similarly outmatched Redskins on Oct. 13.

31. New York Jets

(Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports)

(Week 4 bye. 0-3. Last week: 30)

If the Redskins aren’t the worst non-Dolphins team in the NFL, Adam Gase’s Jets might be. Certainly the offensive ineptitude is telling. Gang Green’s Week 4 bye gave them a week without competition, and another week for quarterback Sam Darnold to continue his recovery from mononucleosis. But when Darnold returns, there’s only so much he’ll be able to do. Only the Dolphins have scored fewer points than the Jets’ 33. No team has gained fewer yards than their 590. They’ve scored one offensive touchdown to their two defensive and special teams touchdowns, and they’ve scored on 5.6% of their drives. How bad is that? The Chiefs lead the NFL with a 56.1% scoring rate. Yes, that means Gase’s team is 10 times worse in putting up points than the NFL’s best. Tell me again why he’s supposed to be an offensive genius?

30. Washington Redskins

(Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports)

(0-4. Last week: 31)

At this point, Redskins head coach Jay Gruden is grasping at straws and probably wondering what the local real estate market is like. His decision to bench quarterback Case Keenum in favor of first-round rookie Dwayne Haskins went about as well as expected against the Giants in a 24-3 loss. Against what has been one of the NFL’s worst coverage units, Haskins looked out of place in the pocket and struggled with his reads — something you’d expect if you’d watched his Ohio State tape. Haskins was without two of his team’s best offensive linemen (Trent Williams and Brandon Scherff) and his best wide receiver (Terry McLaurin), but he wouldn’t have been much better at this point in his career with them on the field. Throwing three picks in 17 attempts shows how far he has to go, and the final score shows how broken this team is. Were it not for the Dolphins, Gruden’s team might be the NFL’s worst.

29. Cincinnati Bengals

(Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports)

(0-4. Last week: 26)

The Bengals last started a season 0-4 in 2008. In fact, in that season, the Bengals started 0-8 before beating the Jaguars, and it’s entirely probable that the 2019 team could match that ignoble start. Against the Steelers on Monday night, a defense that has fallen apart of late continued to look anemic against Pittsburgh quarterback Mason Rudolph and his series of swing passes. The Bengals offensive line was horrible, and Zac Taylor’s vaunted offensive concepts were nowhere to be seen. More and more, it’s becoming clear that the team Taylor inherited from Marvin Lewis is a team in the throes of a much-needed rebuild, whether it knows that or not. The Bengals should probably start by looking for Andy Dalton’s replacement.

28. Arizona Cardinals

(Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports)

(0-3-1. Last week: 28)

Arizona’s reductive passing game continued in a 27-10 loss to the Seahawks. Kyler Murray didn’t attempt a single pass of 20 or more air yards, and one of the reasons Seattle defensive end Jadeveon Clowney was able to take a Murray pass 27 yards for a first-quarter pick-six was that opponents are sitting on the short stuff because Kliff Kingsbury isn’t dialing up anything else. It was great that Larry Fitzgerald passed Tony Gonzalez to rank second in NFL history behind Jerry Rice with 1,326 catches (Rice retired with 1,549), but this passing game, and Murray’s role in it, reaffirms Fitzgerald’s history as a truly great receiver who, for the most part, has had sub-average quarterbacks throwing him the ball.

27. Denver Broncos

(Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports)

(0-4. Last week: 29)

The good news? Denver ended its three-game streak with no quarterback sacks, taking down Jacksonville’s Gardner Minshew five times. The bad news? That same defense was absolutely gored by the Jaguars’ rushing attack, allowing 269 yards on 38 attempts. Leonard Fournette amassed 225 yards on 29 carries alone, and even with all that pressure, Minshew managed to move around in the pocket and make crucial plays to aid his team in a 26-24 win. After the game, Broncos head coach Vic Fangio said he couldn’t remember a time when one of his defenses got pushed around like that, and given his time with the Bears and 49ers, he’s probably right. The page-one story in Denver is Joe Flacco’s inevitable mediocrity, but with Fangio’s genius and the talent he has on the other side of the ball, the Broncos’ defensive decline is a far more intriguing mystery. Losing pass rusher Bradley Chubb for the rest of the season to a torn ACL won’t help.

26. Atlanta Falcons

(Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports)

(1-3. Last week: 20)

If you’re wondering whether the Falcons’ offense is broken, consider this: In Atlanta’s 24-10 loss to the Titans, Matt Ryan attempted 53 passes and did not throw for a touchdown. It was the 24th time in NFL history that a quarterback was unable to get the ball into the end zone with at least that many attempts, and it’s indicative of a passing game that hasn’t done nearly enough with the talent it has. Ryan leads the NFL in both attempts (176) and completions (124), but he also leads the league with six interceptions, and his eight touchdowns have proven to be comparatively meaningless. Ryan has put up a lot of empty stats since his 2016 MVP season, when Kyle Shanahan was running Atlanta’s offense at a Mozart level, and as much as Dan Quinn’s defense has found itself in dire straits, the offense, led as it is by the team’s most prominent players, seems to be the bigger problem.

25. Oakland Raiders

(Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY Sports)

(2-2. Last week: 27)

While most of the story in the Raiders’ 31-24 win over the Colts centered on linebacker Vontaze Burfict’s illegal hit on tight end Jack Doyle and his subsequent ejection and suspension (I think Burfict should be booted out of the league, given his history), we should pay a bit of attention to the passing game Jon Gruden has assembled. Tight end Darren Waller has 33 receptions, which ties Antonio Gates in 2007 for the most receptions in NFL history by a tight end through the first four games of a season. And Tyrell Williams is the only receiver to have a touchdown catch in all four games this season. Derek Carr still has consistency issues, but Gruden’s offense might be enough to see the Raiders finishing second to the Chiefs in what has become a relatively open race for second in the AFC West.

32-25 | 24-17 | 16-9 | 8-1

24. Pittsburgh Steelers

(Philip G. Pavely-USA TODAY Sports)

(1-3. Last week: 24)

With Ben Roethlisberger out for the season and an 0-3 mark coming into Monday night’s game against the Bengals, the Steelers desperately needed good things to happen before they fell into an impossible hole. Cincinnati obliged with terrible performances by nearly every position group, which allowed quarterback Mason Rudolph to move up a little bit from the Week 3 game plan that had him barely throwing past the sticks. Rudolph completed 24 of 28 passes for 229 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. Pittsburgh’s much-maligned defense took care of business, and all of a sudden, this team is only a game out in the wide-open AFC North.

23. New York Giants

(Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports)

(2-2. Last week: 23)

The Giants won their second straight game with Daniel Jones as their starter, but before we crown the kid, let’s take a step back. Jones completed 23 of 31 passes for 225 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions against a Redskins defense that doesn’t know whether to zig or zag in coverage. What could be a real sign of encouragement is if the four interceptions Big Blue’s defense put up against Case Keenum and Dwayne Haskins is a precursor of things to come, as opposed to a weak coverage unit getting blown up by better teams. Defensive coordinator James Bettcher, who has not always put his defensive backs in the best roles to succeed, had better hope it’s the former. The Vikings will likely reaffirm the confidence of Bettcher’s defenders, but the Patriots, Lions and Cowboys will provide tougher tests into early November.

22. Cleveland Browns

(2-2. Last week: 22)

(AP Photo/Nick Wass)

The Browns did little in the way of personnel fluidity and pre-snap motion in the first three games, and offensive play-caller Freddie Kitchens wasn’t giving Baker Mayfield the route concepts he needed to succeed as he did in the second half of the 2018 season. Using 11 personnel on 84% of their snaps, and running routes a lot of college teams would find restrictive put Mayfield and the offense in a real bind. But in their 40-25 win over a supposedly stingy Ravens defense, Kitchens varied his personnel more often, used Odell Beckham Jr. as a deep decoy to the benefit of everybody else, and deployed running back Nick Chubb — the NFL’s most underrated player at his position — in a defining role. Add that to a defense that did more than expected to solve Lamar Jackson, and the AFC North may actually go through Cleveland this season after all.

21. Carolina Panthers

(Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports)

(2-2. Last week: 21)

It’s great that Kyle Allen has proved to be either an able backup or future long-term starter, depending on Cam Newton’s health and contract situation. But the real story in Carolina’s 16-10 win over the Texans was a defense that limited the usually incendiary Deshaun Watson to 21 completions in 33 attempts for just 160 yards, with six sacks. Allen became the first quarterback since Carson Wentz with no interceptions and three wins in his first three NFL starts, and running back Christian McCaffrey proved once again why he’s one of the two or three most valuable running backs in the NFL. But if Carolina’s defense keeps coming along, the Newton-less Panthers ascending up the NFC South ladder would be one of the most interesting stories in the NFL this season.

20. Los Angeles Chargers

(Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports)

(2-2. Last week: 18)

The “running backs are fungible” crowd might be snickering at Melvin Gordon ending his holdout, as the Chargers haven’t missed him at all. His backup, Austin Ekeler, put up 122 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns in a 30-10 win over the Dolphins, and he’s proved to be one of the most productive and elusive backs in the league this season. Ekeler ranks fifth in yards from scrimmage with 490, and per Pro Football Focus, he’s broken 10 tackles as a rusher and 10 more as a receiver. Anthony Lynn will likely ease Gordon into the game plan as the Chargers prepare for Denver’s vulnerable defense next Sunday, but outside of receiver Keenan Allen, Ekeler has been the team’s most valuable skill player this season.

19. Tennessee Titans

(Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports)

(2-2. Last week: 19)

Ten days after he was sacked nine times by the Jaguars’ malevolent front seven and barely completed 50% of his passes, Marcus Mariota rebounded nicely to pick apart Atlanta’s vulnerable defense in a 24-10 win that put the Titans back at .500 for the season. Second-round rookie A.J. Brown was the primary beneficiary of Mariota’s newfound efficiency, catching three passes for 94 yards and two of Mariota’s three touchdowns. Derrick Henry added a high-volume, 100-yard performance, and Tennessee’s defense sacked Matt Ryan five times, adding 12 quarterback hits. The Titans will hope that Mariota can stay above ground against the Bills next Sunday, but expecting any quarterback — especially one as inconsistent as Mariota has proven to be — to win against Buffalo’s amazing pass defense might be a fool’s errand.

18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(Photo by Joe Scarnici/Getty Images)

(2-2. Last week: 25)

Is any other defensive player in the NFL operating on Shaquil Barrett’s level? Through the first quarter of the season, it’s hard to imagine anyone else as the NFL’s Defensive Player of the Year. The former Broncos reserve linebacker, who signed a one-year, $5 million deal with the Bucs in the offseason, had a sack, forced fumble, and an interception in Tampa Bay’s 55-40 win over the Rams. In doing so, he tied Mark Gastineau, Kevin Greene and Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila for the most sacks (nine) through the first four games of a season. Barrett has become a key cog in the league’s most improved defense, and as Bruce Arians’ offense starts to jell, the Bucs are becoming a team to be taken seriously.

17. Indianapolis Colts

(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)

(2-2. Last week: 15)

The last thing the Colts needed in their loss to the Raiders was a return to old form from tight end Eric Ebron, who dropped three passes and negated his 48-yard touchdown reception with the kind of inefficiency that made him a nonfactor in Detroit for four seasons. Ebron made the Pro Bowl last season in Frank Reich’s tight end-heavy offense, so this was an unusual regression. More disconcerting for the Colts on the offensive side of the ball was Marlon Mack’s inability to gain traction on the ground — he gained just 39 yards on 11 carries — and on defense, Indy had no answer for a Raiders ground game that totaled 188 yards on 32 carries. The Colts have looked at times like a team that could overcome Andrew Luck’s retirement and contend for the AFC South title, but they sure didn’t look like that on Sunday.

32-25 | 24-17 | 16-9 | 8-1

16. Jacksonville Jaguars

(Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports)

(2-2. Last week: 16)

Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth. That old Mike Tyson axiom applied to Jaguars quarterback Gardner Minshew on Sunday, when Denver’s sack drought ended against Jacksonville’s vulnerable offensive line. Minshew showed an ability to recover from pressure and adversarial circumstances that will serve him well on his path to eventual long-term starter status — he completed just nine of 18 passes for 91 yards in the first half, but managed two touchdown passes and several big plays in the second half. Minshew’s progress has been a balm for a dysfunctional team, as was Leonard Fournette’s ability to trample the Broncos for 225 yards on 29 carries.

15. Minnesota Vikings

(Quinn Harris-USA TODAY Sports)

(2-2. Last week: 11)

The Vikings have done their best to hide Kirk Cousins’ many and obvious liabilities this season, but there was no way to do that against Chicago’s defense in a 16-6 loss. They’ve tried to give Cousins play-action opportunities, but he has refused the big-play potential and checked down instead. They gave him two of the NFL’s best receivers in Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen, but that dynamic duo has just 41 total targets. Thielen’s frustration after the Bears loss was of course on point, but what do the Vikings do with a fundamentally limited quarterback who’s imploding more and more week after week? Minnesota’s next two games come against the Giants and Eagles, owners of two of the NFL’s weakest secondaries, so if Cousins isn’t able to turn it loose then, there’s very little hope for him past that. More and more, Cousins’ three-year, $84 million contract, all of it guaranteed, and all of it hamstringing the organization through the end of the 2020 season, looks like one of the worst deals in recent memory.

14. Green Bay Packers

(Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports)

(3-1. Last week: 5)

Nothing went right for the Packers last Thursday night against the Eagles in a game they expected to win. A formerly stingy and opportunistic defense gave up three touchdown passes to Carson Wentz on just 16 completions and 160 passing yards. Philly’s run game was good for 176 yards and two touchdowns, and Aaron Rodgers couldn’t beat a secondary that has looked more than vulnerable all season. That Rodgers also led the Packers in rushing was a throwback to the Mike McCarthy days, as were the often bizarre play calls in the red zone that had Rodgers doing too much with too little — especially after Davante Adams left the game with a toe injury. Rodgers and Matt LaFleur are clearly not yet on the same page, which means there’s little margin for error in Green Bay’s other position groups. It doesn’t get any easier, as the Packers travel to take on a wounded Dallas Cowboys team next Sunday.

13. Seattle Seahawks

(Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports)

(3-1. Last week: 14)

Though running back Chris Carson drove his coaches crazy with multiple fumbles in the first three weeks of the season, Pete Carroll and his staff stuck with the power back against the Cardinals. It proved to be a wise decision, as Carson gained 104 yards on 22 carries, giving the Seahawks the ground-and-pound focus they prefer in a 27-10 win. More importantly for Seattle’s prospects through the rest of the season, a vulnerable defense looked far stronger against Arizona’s reduced passing game, and Russell Wilson navigated his way through too much pressure to complete 22 of 28 passes for 240 yards and a touchdown. Seattle’s faceplant against the Saints last week could be even more in the rearview if Carroll’s team is able to beat the Rams at home this Thursday.

12. San Francisco 49ers

(Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports)

(Week 4 bye. 3-0. Last week: 17)

One way in which you can rate coaches is how often they’re able to take unknown players and turn them into stars in their systems. Few other offensive designers have done a better job of this than Kyle Shanahan this season. Running back Raheem Mostert, who’s been with five different teams in his five-year career, has been a productive member of San Francisco’s multi-tiered run game, as has red zone back Jeff Wilson, who has four rushing touchdowns on just 18 carries. Five different players have caught touchdown passes from Jimmy Garoppolo this season, including Mostert, rookie receiver Deebo Samuel and second-year receiver Richie James, a seventh-round pick in 2018. An improving defense is one reason the 49ers stand as the NFC’s only remaining undefeated team, but never sleep on Shanahan’s ability to get the best out of his offensive players.

11. Detroit Lions

(Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports)

(2-1-1. Last week: 13)

This is a sneaky team that doesn’t get enough credit. Matthew Stafford sliced through Kansas City’s defense for three touchdown passes and several more scoring opportunities in a 34-30 loss, and Detroit’s defense had an excellent plan to stop Patrick Mahomes with aggressive man-and-match coverage. Were it not for an obvious missed holding call on defensive tackle Damon Harrison on the game-deciding touchdown, the Lions could (and probably should) have won this game. Kansas City’s last-second victory was a disappointment for Matt Patricia’s squad, but it doesn’t negate the Lions’ potential on both sides of the ball. They’ve got a bye week to get over it before a crucial stop at Green Bay, and they’ll then welcome the Vikings to Ford Field.

10. Philadelphia Eagles

(Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports)

(2-2. Last week: 10)

It was good news for the Eagles that they bumped into Matt LaFleur’s bizarre red zone play-calling last Thursday night. Not even Philly’s below-average secondary could botch a series of throws from Aaron Rodgers that seemed to go nowhere. After a 34-27 win that put them back at .500, the Eagles have what should be an easy go against the Jets in Week 5 and then the Vikings in Week 6, but that secondary needs to improve if the efforts of Carson Wentz, running back Jordan Howard and a potentially dominant front seven are to be fulfilled. Right now, that defensive backfield is one of the NFL’s biggest liabilities as a position group.

9. Los Angeles Rams

(AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)

(3-1. Last week: 7)

The defending NFC champs may be 3-1, but it’s a record that comes with grave concerns on both sides of the ball. The 55 points they allowed to the Buccaneers was a franchise record for points allowed at home, and it’s the second straight season Wade Phillips’ defense has allowed six touchdowns in a game. The first time, of course, was the barnburner against the Chiefs in Week 11 last season. The Rams won that game, though, by a 54-51 score, as Jared Goff was nearly able to match Patrick Mahomes throw for throw. That’s the other problem the Rams have now — Goff’s declining effectiveness and efficiency. In this 55-40 loss, Goff attempted 68 passes, tied for the third-most in a game in NFL history. His 517 yards and two touchdown passes didn’t matter, because his three interceptions and one lost fumble handed Tampa Bay opportunity after opportunity. If the same thing happens against Seattle on Thursday night, Sean McVay’s team might be the most woebegone squad with a winning record in the league.

32-25 | 24-17 | 16-9 | 8-1

8. Houston Texans

(Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports)

(2-2. Last week: 6)

Through their first three games of the 2019 season, the Texans looked like a team that could hang with anybody, as long as you ignored their shaky offensive line, questionable running game and a secondary with some serious coverage liabilities. There’s only so much Deshaun Watson can do, and it all came home to roost in Houston’s 16-10 loss to the Panthers on Sunday. Watson was held without a touchdown pass, and he was under seemingly constant pressure. Panthers quarterback Kyle Allen looked far too comfortable against the Texans secondary, and Christian McCaffrey riddled Houston’s defense with play after play. It may be too early to ring serious alarm bells, but a similarly dank showing against the Falcons next Sunday would be a legitimate code red.

7. Buffalo Bills

(Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports)

(3-1. Last week: 12)

Were it not for a quarterback rotation that looked just about helpless against New England’s stout defense, the Bills had a chance in this one. Buffalo dropped its first game of the season despite a defense that held Tom Brady to his worst-ever passer rating (45.9) in a game the Patriots won. Josh Allen managed to stop New England’s streak of no offensive touchdowns allowed with a 1-yard run in the third quarter, but he also threw three interceptions. Allen’s departure after a brutal second-half hit created an opportunity for backup Matt Barkley, who fared no better. Four total interceptions from Buffalo’s signal-callers put a spike strip on the path to 4-0, but there’s nothing about this team that looks like a fluke. If Allen can get to a league-average level against strong defenses, the Bills can beat anyone at any time.

6. Baltimore Ravens

(Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

(2-2. Last week: 4)

So … we expected that Baltimore’s defense would look vulnerable against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in Week 3. After all, what defense doesn’t? But the concerns over that 33-28 loss paled in comparison to how Baltimore must be evaluating things on that side of the ball after a 40-25 loss to the Browns in which a formerly broken offense ran all over Don Martindale’s defense, and Baker Mayfield looked entirely refreshed. If the Ravens are to rely on Lamar Jackson to pull their defense out of the fire throughout the 2019 season, that’s not a palatable paradigm, nor one that will work — no matter how good Jackson may be as a thrower and a runner.

5. Dallas Cowboys

(Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports)

(3-1. Last week: 3)

Through their first three games, the Cowboys had as expansive an offense as you’d find in the NFL. New offensive coordinator Kellen Moore had moved Dallas, and especially Dak Prescott, past the predictability of the Scott Linehan era, and things were good. Then, Prescott and his targets ran into a buzzsaw in the Saints’ defense on Sunday night, and everything regressed. Prescott wasn’t nearly as sharp against New Orleans’ multiple fronts and tight coverages, Ezekiel Elliott was bottled up with 35 yards on 18 carries, and left tackle Tyron Smith was lost for at least next week’s tussle against the Packers with a high ankle sprain. Because Green Bay also presents multiple fronts and tight coverages, Prescott and Moore will have to show their best work, and they’ll have to do it without their best — and most important — offensive lineman.

4. Chicago Bears

(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)

(3-1. Last week: 8)

Nobody in their right mind wants a player to get hurt, but is there any doubt that the Bears have a better chance of going as far as they can with backup Chase Daniel as opposed to Mitchell Trubisky? The third-year starter suffered a dislocated left shoulder and slight labrum tear in Chicago’s win over the Vikings, and it was Daniel who looked far more comfortable and confident when it came to running the offense and reading the Vikings’ defensive intentions. It’s not that Daniel is about to transform into a top-10 quarterback — he’s a journeyman who’s never attempted more than 76 passes in a season — but this game gave a glimpse of what this Bears team could be with a decent quarterback attached to its insanely effective defense. Daniel will start against the Raiders next Sunday in London, then there’s a bye, then the Saints’ opportunistic defense comes to Soldier Field. Head coach Matt Nagy has an interesting decision to make.

3. New Orleans Saints

(Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports)

(3-1. Last week: 9)

From 2014 through 2016, the Saints were led by Drew Brees setting the statistical pace year after year, and pulled down by defenses so awful that the team had three straight 7-9 seasons. It’s unfortunate, then, that Brees is injured and unable to reap the benefits of a current Saints defense dialed up by Dennis Allen as well as any you’ll see in the NFL. With backup Teddy Bridgewater playing both over and under the level needed to keep his team in the game, and running back Alvin Kamara compensating at an MVP level, it’s been Allen’s defense, with its multiple fronts and coverages, that has kept the Saints in contention. When Brees returns later this season, the rest of the NFL had better watch out.

2. New England Patriots

(Photo by Brett Carlsen/Getty Images)

(4-0. Last week: 2)

The only way to beat the Patriots is to play your best game and take advantage of any rare vulnerability. The Bills were unable to do this despite a game in which they limited Tom Brady to 18 completions in 39 attempts for 150 yards, no touchdowns and one interception. Brady’s passer rating of 45.9 was his worst ever in a Patriots win, and the 16-10 result had a lot to do with a secondary that picked off four Bills passes and a special teams unit that created more points than Brady with a touchdown on a blocked punt. Now that Brady has cleared the only team that forced him into a negative touchdown-to-interception ratio in 2018 (at least until the Dec. 22 rematch), it should be back to normal against the Redskins, Giants and Jets. We will see, however, if a disappointing running attack and a limited group of receivers hold Brady up against shakier defenses.

1. Kansas City Chiefs

(Photo by Rey Del Rio/Getty Images)

(4-0. Last week: 1)

One way great teams define themselves is in the ability to win ugly, and the Chiefs certainly qualified in their 34-30 win over the Lions. A missed holding call gave Kansas City a free touchdown it shouldn’t have had. Patrick Mahomes was held without a touchdown pass for the first time since Week 5 of last season. Detroit’s secondary gave future Chiefs opponents the same man/match coverage blueprint to limit Mahomes that the Broncos did twice last season, and the Lions exposed Steve Spagnuolo’s defense in the air and on the ground. Not that they’ll have to win ugly most of the time with a quarterback of Mahomes’ caliber, but in a lot of ways, the Chiefs’ persistence in the face of several issues that could have upended them tell a positive story about the rest of the season.

32-25 | 24-17 | 16-9 | 8-1

Touchdown Wire editor Doug Farrar has also covered football for Yahoo! Sports, Sports Illustrated, Bleacher Report, the Washington Post, and Football Outsiders. His first book, “The Genius of Desperation,” a schematic history of professional football, was published by Triumph Books in 2018.

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