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Liverpool Echo
Liverpool Echo
Sport
David Dubas-Fisher-LE

New manager bounce exists and could help Duncan Ferguson's Everton at Manchester United

Duncan Ferguson's Everton could receive a boost for their trip to Old Trafford to face Manchester United.

The new manager bounce is worth an extra 0.7 points per game, ECHO analysis has found.

Marco Silva’s time at Everton came to an end earlier this month following the 5-2 loss to Liverpool in the Merseyside Derby.

It was the club’s third defeat in a row and left them with just two wins and a draw from Silva’s last six games in all competitions.

That’s worth the equivalent of just 1.2 points per game.

With Everton in the relegation zone the club decided it was time to act and showed Silva the door.

Whoever replaces Silva will no doubt be hoping to get a bit of the fabled “new manager bounce”, but does it really exist or is it just a bit of a myth?

To find out, we looked at the records of every Premier League manager who was sacked and replaced during the course of this and the previous five seasons.

The dismissed managers averaged the equivalent of just 0.7 points per game in their last six matches in all competitions, awarding three for a win and one for a draw.

Their permanent or “until the end of the season” replacements averaged the equivalent of 1.4 points per game in their first six matches.

That’s a bounce of 0.7 points per game.

The biggest new manager bounce since 2014/15 was at Leicester City.

Claudio Ranieri averaged the equivalent of just 0.2 points per game in his last six matches in charge of the Foxes.

His replacement, Craig Shakespeare, won all of his first six games in charge, giving them a bounce of 2.8 points per game on average.

Alan Pardew had the next biggest bounce, improving Crystal Palace’s record from a 0.5 points per game to 2.5 points per game.

Brendan Rodgers lifted Leicester from 0.2 points per game to 2.0 points per game, while Darren Moore took West Bromwich Albion from 0.0 to 1.8 and Ole Gunnar Solskjaer took Manchester United from 1.3 to 3.0.

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