I've got a few interests to declare before stuff gets too busy. I've placed two sorts of bet this election - constituencies where I am pretty confident of the result, and some "insurance" bets that pay off on eventualities that I don't really want to happen.
Most of the bets, even the insurance ones, are looking healthy:
Con win: Basingstoke, Boston & Skegness, Braintree, Devon West & Torridge, Enfield North, Forest of Dean, Guildford, Haltemprice & Howden, Hammersmith & Fulham, Harrow West, Isle of Wight, Monmouth, Northampton South, Peterborough, Selby, Wells and Wimbledon.
LD win: Birmingham Yardley, Bristol West, Cardiff Central, Leeds NW, Watford.
Lab win: Ynys Mon.
The insurance bets were a hung parliament (8/1), Con largest number of seats (10/1), Con 210+ seats (7/4), Con 23-25 seats in London (9/2) and Con 26+ seats (10/1). The last two are of course inconsistent with each other, so I can't win them all, but it sounds like a majority will come off. How are other people's flutters going?
