More households expected to default on mortgages and other loans

By Vicky Shaw
PA Archive

More households are expected to have defaulted on mortgages and other loans by the end of November, according to a Bank of England survey of lenders.

The Bank’s credit conditions survey asks banks and building societies about trends they have seen recently and their expectations for the three months ahead.

The latest survey was carried out between August 31 and September 17.

Lenders were asked to report changes in the three months to the end of August as well as their predictions for September to November.

While mortgage default rates had decreased in the previous three months, they are expected to increase in the coming quarter, the survey found.

Default rates on other types of loans, including credit cards, are also tipped to increase in the next three months.

More small and medium-sized businesses are also expected to default on loans in the coming quarter, although lenders predicted default rates will remain unchanged for large firms over the same period.

The Bank of England carries out the survey as part of its role in maintaining financial stability and the results do not necessarily reflect the views of the Bank.

The findings come as concerns grow over households facing a winter storm of bill hikes, including for energy, as well as other squeezes on their income.

The survey also found that lenders expect the availability of mortgages and other loans to households to increase by the end of November.

Mortgage demand from home-buyers is predicted to decrease over the next few months, but re-mortgaging demand is expected to rise.

Overall, corporate credit availability is expected to remain unchanged in the next few months.

Demand for business loans is predicted to increase for large businesses and rise slightly for small and medium-sized firms over the same period.


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