The issue of a potential minority government forming after the upcoming election has garnered public attention and criticism following recent remarks by Deputy Prime Minister Wissanu Krea-ngam, acknowledging the possibility in theory.
While his comment was hypothetical, this May 14 election seemingly points towards the possibility of the formation of a minority government. Such a scenario is primarily due to the existence of 250-junta appointed senators who will play a key role in turning the political theory into practical reality.
The 250 senators were appointed by the coup-makers under the National Council for Peace and Order (NCPO), with six reserved seats allocated to the armed forces and police top brass. According to the constitution, which was drafted under a coup-installed panel, the Senate serves a five-year term, while the government's term is limited to four years.
With the power to vote alongside the House of Representatives in selecting the next prime minister, the Senate's five-year mandate holds immense influence in the process. A prime ministerial candidate who secures the support of the Senate does not require a majority in the House to assume office, raising the prospect that the senators may help a minority government take shape even when voters have made their preference clear that other parties should get that chance.
Mr Wissanu, also a respected legal expert, suggests that while a minority government might be formed out of political necessity, its incumbency would be short-lived, potentially transitioning into a majority government.
His remarks imply there may be attempts to entice opposition MPs to defect and join the government camp, employing strategies known to lure MPs away from their parties. This phenomenon raises concern as such tactics can be seen as a political game which denies voters real democracy.
Despite opposition from many critics and academics, the possibility of a minority government cannot be ruled out. Given the significance of the upcoming May 14 election for Thailand's politics and democracy, any attempt to form a minority government is unacceptable, even if it falls within the confines of the legal framework set by the constitution.
Some argue that a minority government could be a solution to political deadlock after the election. However, such a deadlock would not exist if all parties, particularly senators, respect the will of voters.
A minority government would not only undermine the fundamental principles of democratic governance but also erodes the country's credibility and investor confidence.
A minority government would face numerous challenges in maintaining stability, as it would constantly need to negotiate and form alliances to build support for its initiatives and win enough seats to approve fiscal budget. This delicate balancing act can often lead to political gridlock and instability.
While the constitution allows for the formation of a minority government, it is essential to assess its implications for the country's democratic system, considering the potential risks to representation, stability, and the safeguarding of democratic values.
Thailand's progress as a democratic nation relies on the commitment of voters, politicians, and senators to uphold these principles. It is incumbent upon us to ensure the formation of any government aligns with the fundamental tenets of democracy and voters' will.
