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Axios
Axios
Politics
Alexi McCammond

Millennials want a Trump challenger in 2020

President Trump in the Oval Office. Mark Wilson/Getty Images

President Trump has a problem with millennials.

By the numbers: A majority of them (76%) want to see other Republican candidates challenge Trump in 2020, according to a new survey from the University of Chicago's GenForward Project. That includes 72% of independents and 61% of Republicans. Only 37% of millennials supported Trump in 2016.


The big picture: They don't really like any of the Democratic candidates, either, and it seems like they're still shopping around.

  • 30% of those polled said they'd support some other candidate over the leading 13 Democratic candidates. That breaks down to 53% of independents, 44% of Republicans and just 12% of Democrats.
  • Over 40% indicated they'd prefer someone else over 9 potential GOP challengers to Trump, including Vice President Mike Pence, Sens. Marco Rubio, Mitt Romney and Ted Cruz, and former Gov. John Kasich.

Why it matters: Although millennials will account for a smaller share of the electorate in 2020 than they did in 2016, they're a highly targeted voting group — particularly by Democrats. This survey suggests there's a lot of room to grow with younger voters, especially independents who might be more persuadable.

Between the lines: Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders are tied at 17% support, although Biden beats Sanders by double digits among African Americans and Asian Americans.

  • Climate change and health care are the leading issues across all groups, but that changes by party affiliation.
  • Democrats ranked climate change, health care and income inequality as their top issues.
  • Independents selected health care, and Republicans ranked immigration as their top issue heading into 2020.

Go deeper: 2020 presidential election: Track which candidates are running

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