A really good-value bet is the one at evens with Blue Square and 888Sport that the Green party will secure its first Westminster MP. An ICM constituency poll at the end of last year in Brighton Pavilion had the party's leader, Caroline Lucas, ahead in the three-way scrap with Labour and the Tories. That is proving a vital weapon in positioning herself as the candidate best placed to stop the Tories.
Even if she fails, the party can still pick up a seat elsewhere. A good prospect is Norwich South, where former home secretary Charles Clarke is trying to hold on for Labour. The constituency covers the University of East Anglia and there is a tangle going on between the Greens, Labour and the Lib Dems. Lucas's party is working hard and might just squeeze in.
Mike Smithson is the founder and editor of politicalbetting.com
