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Irish Mirror
Irish Mirror
David Kent

Met Eireann's unusual November forecast as surprise temperature twist in store

Traditionally, November in Ireland means that you need to break out the heavy coats and umbrellas.

But things could look a bit different this year if some of the longer-term forecasts ring true.

The national forecaster, Met Éireann, provide daily, weekly and 10-day updates for what we should be expecting to see in the skies.

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Sunrise over Strangford Lough at Portaferry (Tourism Ireland)

But not many of you will be aware that they also publish a monthly forecast, often with longer-term predictions based off the most up-to-date models available to the experts.

Obviously, these will change as we get closer to the time - but for now, we will see temperatures in November "about average or slightly above" according to Met Éireann.

Next week's forecast, known as 'week one' by the forecaster, will look fairly wet.

They say: "Low pressure will be the dominant factor of our weather, which will bring higher than average amounts of rainfall for the time of year, with a signal for heavy rainfall or solid precipitation at times. Temperatures will likely remain around average.

A swimmer observes the sea at the Vico bathing place, Hawk Cliff, in Dalkey, during Level 5 Covid-19 lockdown. (Getty)

"In week 2, low pressure remains to be the likely pressure pattern affecting our weather, however the signal is diminished. This leads to only a weak signal for higher than average precipitation amounts, along with little in the way of any temperature anomalies."

After that, things get a bit shaky - with Met Éireann noting that their confidence in week three onwards is much lower.

They said: "Forecast confidence is quite low in forecast Week 3. There are weak trends for a westerly air-flow to become established over Ireland, bringing rather changeable weather conditions.

"Rainfall totals are forecast to be slightly above average in the west and north but near-average elsewhere. Mean air temperatures are predicted to be close to the climatological average for late October."

But when we cross into the penultimate month with week four (Friday 04 November to Thursday 10 November), there's a bit of a surprise.

"Into week 4, uncertainty increases further, however there is a signal for high pressure to become the dominant influence over our weather. This may lead to lower than average rainfall amounts for early November, along with temperatures about average or slightly above."


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