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The Economic Times
The Economic Times
Anupam Nagar

Market Test: Can SpaceX sustain gains after the share unlock?

SpaceX rebounds despite share unlock

SpaceX shares climbed about 6% on Thursday after more than 900 million shares became eligible for trading following the expiry of the company's first post-IPO lockup. The stock recovered after a sharp selloff ahead of the event, as investors had been bracing for heavy insider selling. The lockup expiry more than doubled the number of publicly tradable shares, making it one of the biggest tests for investor confidence since the company's record-breaking IPO. (Sources: Reuters, CNN)

What is a lockup expiry?

A lockup period prevents company insiders, employees and early investors from selling their shares immediately after an IPO. With the first restriction now lifted, more than 900 million additional SpaceX shares are eligible to trade. However, eligibility does not necessarily mean that shareholders will rush to sell their holdings.

Heavy trading dominates the session

SpaceX witnessed one of its busiest trading sessions since its Nasdaq debut, with billions of dollars' worth of shares changing hands. Investors closely monitored trading activity to assess whether insider selling would put further pressure on the stock. Despite Thursday's rebound, the shares remain below their IPO price after a volatile few weeks.

Why investors remain cautious

While the first lockup expiry has passed, investors remain cautious because additional lockup restrictions are scheduled to expire in the coming months. Analysts believe future share unlocks could increase volatility if a large number of insiders decide to sell. As more shares become available for trading, the market will continue to monitor supply-demand dynamics.

Business remains in focus

Beyond the lockup expiry, investors are also keeping an eye on SpaceX's business fundamentals. The company recently reported strong revenue growth but posted a quarterly loss as it continued investing heavily in AI infrastructure and expansion. Market participants are weighing these long-term growth opportunities against rising costs and the company's lofty valuation.

What's next for SpaceX?

Attention is now shifting to upcoming lockup expiries and future earnings as investors assess the stock's outlook. Analysts remain divided, with some viewing the recent weakness as a buying opportunity while others expect continued volatility as the public float expands. SpaceX's AI, space exploration and satellite businesses are expected to remain key drivers of its long-term growth story.

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