Let's briefly litigate the past before trying to predict the future.
Tiz the Law's Runhappy Travers win last weekend seemed strangely under-appreciated. In the weekly NTRA Top 10 poll that comes out every Monday, Tiz the Law ranked only sixth when lumped in with older horses.
The way Tiz the Law controlled the Travers, the ease with which he made the front, and the degree of superiority he demonstrated against decent opposition was extremely high-level stuff. This colt is showing the energy of a horse one or two months into a campaign, not seven. Bring on the Derby.
Gamine, Tiz the Law's 3-year-old filly counterpart, remains a horse operating more on raw ability than the polished racehorse Tiz the Law has become. She's still incredible. Her degree of favoritism in the Oaks might come clearer after one of this weekend's races under discussion, the Alabama.