Get all your news in one place.
100’s of premium titles.
One app.
Start reading
Newcastle Herald
Newcastle Herald
National
Editorial

Lockdowns slowing Delta spread as NSW government fine-tunes regional response

DELTA FORCE: Weekly counts of global COVID deaths are rising again, but would have been worse without vaccination. Picture: Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 dashboard

YESTERDAY's new NSW peak of 681 cases came as little surprise, given official warnings this week that numbers would continue to worsen.

Based on present trends of spread, Premier Gladys Berejiklian is preparing the state for more than 2000 cases a day.

In NSW, COVID's latest "R number" - its "effective reproduction number" - is 1.3.

This figure has good and bad aspects.

The bad is that 1.3 is above the 1.0 needed to stabilise case numbers.

The good is in analysis reported by the NSW Department of Health's COVID-19 Critical Intelligence Unit, showing studies elsewhere putting Delta's R0 (R nought) number at between 3.2 and 8.0, with a mean figure of 5.0.

R0 indicates how contagious a disease is against an unprotected population.

A NSW figure of 1.3 appears to indicate that the lockdowns, and the state's increasing rates of vaccination, are doing their job in keeping Delta's spread to well below its unchecked levels.

On Tuesday, we thanked Deputy Premier John Barilaro for starting a daily regional NSW briefing in response to calls for more regionally relevant COVID information.

The ability to question the government on regional issues has made it easier for the media to do its job of providing its audiences with locally relevant information.

It's a gesture that has already proved its worth.

This new focus on regional differences may even have helped the government see clear to removing the Central Coast and Shellharbour from the Greater Sydney restrictions.

Next week, Mr Barilaro will likely face questions on the regional NSW travel permit and COVID-test system, starting on Monday as a way of minimising the risk of travelling workers spreading the virus along our highways.

And into our byways, as the cases in far-west Wilcannia unfortunately show.

Even though yesterday's NSW total set another unwanted record, the Hunter's contribution fell to just five cases, an outcome that Hunter New England Health public health physician Dr David Durrheim described as "gratifying".

As the graph at the start of our editorial shows, global deaths are still rising despite the administration of almost 4.8 billion vaccine doses worldwide.

Australia has made mistakes along the way, but no country has handled COVID perfectly. Defeating Delta will take time and determination.

ISSUE: 39,648

ON THE RAMPAGE: Weekly case numbers topped 4.5 million last week, with some slowing in the past three weeks of the growth rate. Time will tell whether the curve moderates or continues. Picture: Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 dashboard
Sign up to read this article
Read news from 100’s of titles, curated specifically for you.
Already a member? Sign in here
Related Stories
Top stories on inkl right now
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
Already a member? Sign in here
Our Picks
Fourteen days free
Download the app
One app. One membership.
100+ trusted global sources.