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Joe Donnohue

Leeds United must guard against Brighton's aerial threat despite recent set-piece shame

Graham Potter's Brighton side have confused and dumbfounded the occasional spectator this season. Often found playing well-structured, positive football, a cursory glance at the Premier League table causes a raising of the eyebrows.

Brighton have spent 16 of 18 weeks in the bottom five of the Premier League standings this season, and yet are often omitted from discussions of relegation trouble. The consensus is that Potter's men are doing a decent enough job to keep the team in the division, but that they lack a certain clinical edge to kill off games.

That makes plenty of sense, given that Brighton have won on just two occasions this season, but drawn twice more than any other team in the league.

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In amongst those eight draws, have been games against Liverpool, Crystal Palace, Wolves and West Ham - all opponents Leeds lost to.

Despite boasting a centre-back trio of Lewis Dunk, Dan Burn and Adam Webster, Brighton have scored just three times from set-pieces this season.

None of the aforementioned trio are shorter than 6ft 3in tall, making them a formidable opponent for Leeds this weekend given the Whites' well-documented woes at set-plays.

It is an area Potter will look to target, but since the departure of Shane Duffy to Celtic, Brighton appear to have struggled in this department.

As per Understat, their xG from attacking set-plays this season amounts to 5.42, suggesting an underperformance of 2.42 goals.

At the other end, Brighton's xGA (Expected Goals Against) at defensive set-plays amounts to 5.75, however they have conceded eight times from these situations. Their dead ball record is something of a double-edged sword - and not in a good way.

This underperformance in both areas indicates they are due a stroke of luck, and a swing towards their averages would likely mean they turn some of those draws into wins.

Given Leeds' lack of height in defence and across the team, this weekend could be one scenario in which Brighton shake off their set-piece hoodoo. Pascal Struijk's role will be important, as the only player 6ft 2in and above likely to start, as well as Illan Meslier who will be expected to reprise his role of commanding penalty box presence.

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