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Liverpool Echo
Liverpool Echo
National
Liam Thorp

Key numbers show how Liverpool is fighting back against covid-19

Liverpool is fighting back against covid-19.

The city has suffered greatly with the virus, twice finding itself in the eye of the storm in the past nine months.

But there are real signs of progress here and unlike many areas of the UK, the numbers are going in the right direction.

We've taken a closer look at the figures that show how the city is getting to grips with the virus.

Infection rate

This is the big one and perhaps the most clear sign of progress in Liverpool.

An infection rate measures the frequency of new instances of infections within a population at a specific time.

Throughout this crisis, weekly rates of covid-19 in areas have been used to indicate how widespread the virus is and whether restrictions are needed.

Exactly one month ago the city's infection rate stood at close to 700 cases per 100,000 people.

This was among the highest rates in the country and led to Liverpool being the first place to enter the government's highest level Tier 3 restrictions.

But one month later and things are looking much better on this front.

A combination of those restrictions, the national lockdown and people continuing to do the right things has brought Liverpool's infection rate down to 274.5 cases per 100,000.

This is still a high number, remember Leicester was the first city to go into lockdown when its infection rate was around half of this.

But the important thing is that it has fallen quickly and is continuing to fall.

What makes this drop even more significant is that it includes new cases being found amongst asymptomatic people in the city as part of the landmark mass testing pilot.

This brings us neatly on to our next topic.

Mass testing

City leaders talked up November as a huge opportunity for Liverpool to get the virus under control - with a number of weapons available for this fight.

The Tier 3 restrictions appeared to have already started to bring the new case numbers down and a national month-long lockdown would surely only speed this up.

At the same time, Liverpool was chosen to trial a new mass testing programme, where huge numbers of people with no symptoms could come forward and find out if they are carrying the virus.

Find the latest coronavirus numbers where you live

So far a total of 92,683 of these new Lateral Flow tests have been carried out on people living and working in Liverpool.

This has located 648 positive cases of covid-19 amongst people who otherwise would not have come forward for a test.

These people will now be asked to self isolate in a bid to further break the chains of transmission.

While these hidden cases are likely to initially add to the city's infection rate, it is hoped that once they have isolated and therefore not passed the virus on, it will lead to a further drop in the numbers.

Hospital admissions and deaths

As was predicted when infection rates in Liverpool and the wider city region were soaring in September and October, hospital admissions followed.

In the middle of last month, Liverpool's main University NHS Trust - covering the Royal and Aintree hospitals - was in the eye of the storm and struggling to cope.

Hospital bosses said they were 'overwhelmed' and had been 'abandoned' as they struggled to keep up with the volume of patients coming in.

New data shows that admissions across the region have started to flatten and fall.

Metro Mayor Steve Rotheram tweeted out new numbers which showed that across the city region there were 779 covid beds occupied in the week leading up to November 3.

The following week this number had dropped to 701.

Sadly deaths in our hospitals will be the last metric to flatten and fall but there does appear to have been a fall in covid-19 fatalities at Liverpool's under-pressure main Trust.

In the most recent week of data (November 10 to 16), the Trust recorded 37 covid-19 deaths.

Over the course of the week before, there were 57 deaths of covid patients.

And this was down from 72 deaths in the week before that.

More to do

So we are now seeing key decreases in Liverpool's infection rate, hospital admissions and covid death figures, but the city still has work to do.

There is still community-wide transmission and that infection level will need to fall further before the end of December 2 to convince government that Liverpool is ready to have more relaxed restrictions.

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