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Joe Manniello

Joe Manniello's Week 5 NFL picks

With four weeks of the NFL season in the books, you should have a good read on certain teams and situations. For example, stop underestimating the Bills and stop overestimating the Giants.

Underdogs went 9-7 against the spread (ATS) last week, and they would've been 10-6 if not for the ridiculous Chiefs cover on Monday night. That brings underdogs' record to 36-26-1 on the season.

My most confident picks ATS this week are headlined by a trio of AFC East teams _ Dolphins, Bills, Jets _ followed by Lions, Eagles and Bears. A couple of tricky games to avoid: Chargers-Giants and Ravens-Raiders.

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