As is usually the case in betting on NFL games in the first month of the season, underdogs have had the most bite out of the gate. They're 26-19-1 against the spread after going 8-8 in Week 3. Six underdogs won outright, bringing the total to a whopping 17 for the season.
This could be another big week for underdogs, as teams such as the Bengals, Titans, Lions and Dolphins are primed for upsets. Those four are my most confident picks ATS. Two games to be avoided: Bucs-Bears and Saints-Giants. Remember, I pick every game so that you don't have to.