This column is all about three letters: ATS. As in against the spread. Picking games straight up is easy, but when you start to factor in the betting line, it's a whole new ballgame.
For example: Two games that back that up this week are the Bears at Lions and Falcons at Rams. Detroit and Atlanta will win, but covering? Don't be so sure. Ask yourself this: Do Matthew Stafford and Matt Ryan really care if they lead their teams to 3-point wins or 10-point wins? They have no interest in covering, just winning.
To go along with ATS, this week will feature a lot of ATG picks, as in "Against the Grain." There are a number of intriguing games in which it might pay to go with a gut instinct. Remember, a better team isn't always the bettor team when you're picking ATS.
Favorites had another winning week, going 11-4 ATS. Underdogs still have the season lead at 93-89-9. Expect a lot of close calls in Week 14 with some surprising results.
