Every spread this week is fewer than six points, so if you use recent history and have a good feel on certain teams, there are plenty of opportunities to cash in. Teams that have been strong bets against the spread (ATS): Patriots (6-1), Cowboys (5-0-1), Vikings (5-1), Chargers (5-2), Broncos (5-2) and Falcons (5-2). Conversely, the Bears (1-6), 49ers (1-6), Panthers (1-5), Bengals (2-4) and Jets (2-4-1) have been stay-away teams.
The four most intriguing matchups are Eagles-Cowboys, Packers-Falcons, Patriots-Bills and Chargers-Broncos. The latter two are already revenge games. New England lost to Rex Ryan and Buffalo in Week 4, but the Patriots are my most confident pick of the year.
Underdogs went 7-8 ATS last week, and are 58-44-4 on the season. With so many close lines this week, there's a good chance favorites will win the week.
