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Aditya Sarawgi

Is NRG Energy Stock Outperforming the S&P 500?

Houston, Texas-based NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. With a market cap of $29.8 billion, the company operates through Texas, East, West/Services/Other, Vivint Smart Home, and Corporate Activities segments.

Companies worth $10 billion or more are generally described as “large-cap stocks”, and NRG Energy fits this criterion perfectly. The company operates a diverse portfolio of electricity-generating assets and provides energy solutions to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. It focuses on innovation and sustainability, offering retail electricity plans, energy management tools, and decarbonization services.

 

NRG Energy currently trades nearly 6% below its all-time high of $162.33 recorded on Jun. 3. NRG’s stock has gained 61.2% in the past three months, notably surpassing the S&P 500 Index’s ($SPX5.4% increase.

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In the longer term, NRG has surged 69.2% on a YTD basis, whereas SPX has risen 1.7%. Moreover, shares of NRG Energy soared 91% over the past 52 weeks, significantly outperforming the SPX's 9% return over the same time frame.

The stock has been trading above its 50-day moving average since late April, and despite some fluctuations, it has also remained above its 200-day average since last year, underscoring its bullish trend.

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NRG Energy’s stock soared 26.2% following the release of its better-than-expected Q1 2025 results on May 12. The company reported $8.6 billion in revenues, up 15.6% year-over-year, significantly exceeding consensus estimates. Meanwhile, its adjusted EPS surged 83.6% from the year-ago quarter to $2.68, beating analyst expectations by 45.6%.

Compared to its rival, Vistra Corp. (VST) has lagged behind the NRG stock on a YTD basis, gaining 31.4%. Although VST stock has climbed 106.8% over the past 52 weeks, outpacing NRG stock.

Among the 11 analysts covering the NRG stock, the consensus rating is a “Strong Buy.” Its mean price target of $160 suggests a modest 4.8% upside potential from current price levels.

On the date of publication, Aditya Sarawgi did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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