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Barchart
Barchart
Neharika Jain

Is MarketAxess Holdings Stock Underperforming the Dow?

Valued at a market cap of $6.7 billion, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX) is a financial technology company that operates an electronic trading platform for institutional investors and broker-dealers. The New York-based company primarily focuses on fixed-income securities, including corporate bonds, municipal bonds, U.S. high-grade and high-yield debt, emerging-market debt, and Eurobonds.

Companies worth $2 billion or more are typically classified as “mid-cap stocks,” and MKTX fits the label perfectly, with its market cap exceeding this threshold, underscoring its size, influence, and dominance within the capital markets industry. The company specializes in providing highly efficient, transparent, and technology-driven trading platforms, including tools like Open Trading and Composite, along with comprehensive pre- and post-trade services, market data, and analytics. Its global presence, scalable infrastructure, and ability to innovate continuously provide it a competitive edge over others. 

 

Despite its notable strength, this fintech company has dipped 39.7% from its 52-week high of $296.68, reached on Oct. 30, 2024. Shares of MKTX have declined 19.6% over the past three months, considerably underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s ($DOWI7% rise during the same time frame.

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In the longer term, MKTX has fallen 31.4% over the past 52 weeks, significantly lagging behind DOWI's 9.3% uptick over the same time period. Moreover, on a YTD basis, shares of MKTX are down 20.8%, compared to DOWI’s 8.4% return.

To confirm its bearish trend, MKTX has been trading below its 200-day moving average since mid-December 2024, and has remained below its 50-day moving average since early July, with slight fluctuations.

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On Aug. 6, MKTX reported strong Q2 results, with revenue rising 11% year-over-year to a record $219.5 million, slightly above consensus estimates. Moreover, its adjusted EPS of $2 increased 16.3% from the year-ago quarter and came in 3.1% ahead of analyst expectations. The company’s momentum was fueled by solid progress in new initiatives and a favorable market backdrop, which drove record revenue and average daily volume (ADV) across most products and regions. However, despite the upbeat performance, its shares plunged 10.1% after the earnings release as investors grew cautious amid uncertainty over U.S. trade policy and shifting expectations around the Fed’s interest rate moves.

MKTX has also lagged behind its rival, Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW), which declined 9.2% over the past 52 weeks and 15.4% on a YTD basis.

Despite MKTX’s recent underperformance, analysts remain moderately optimistic about its prospects. The stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy” from the 16 analysts covering it, and the mean price target of $213.23 suggests a 19.1% premium to its current price levels. 

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