100s of titles, one news app for just $10 a month.
Dive Deeper:
IPL 2022: DC's chances of qualification go up, RR still have an almost 92% chance - All playoffs possibilities in 12 points
With 12 matches now left to play in the league stage of IPL 2022, there still remain as many as…
IPL 2022: KKR's qualification chances go up to almost 19%, SRH's chances fall to under 13% - All playoffs possibilities in 11 points
With the penultimate week of IPL 2022 coming to an end there are now only 9 matches left to play…
IPL 2022: KKR's qualification chances less than 10%, Punjab's chances go up to almost 47% - All possibilities
With 10 matches now left to play in the league stage of IPL 2022, there remain 1,024 possible combinations of…
IPL 2022: GT now guaranteed top slot, 7 teams vying for 3 remaining spots - All playoffs possibilities in 11 points
With the IPL 2022 entering its last week there are seven remaining matches in the league stage now and 128…
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
IPL 2022: KKR's playoff chances go up, an almost 90% chance of RCB finishing in top 4: All playoff possibilities in 11 points
KKR's big 52 run win vs MI on Monday has boosted the two time champion's chances of making the final…
IPL 2022, RCB vs PBKS: Riding high on momentum, Royal Challengers Bangalore could be too strong for inconsistent Punjab Kings
MUMBAI: Royal Challengers Bangalore (RCB), who have found much-needed momentum towards the business end of IPL, will back themselves to…
Get all your news in one place
Latest Sport news:
Transfer news LIVE! Sadio Mane to Bayern Munich chances increase; Real Madrid weigh up Cristiano Ronaldo
Follow all the latest transfer news and rumours across the summer
Read news from The Economist, FT, Bloomberg and more, with one subscription
Learn More
CFMOTO To Release 700 CL-X Sport In Europe
Chinese motorcycle manufacturer CFMOTO is set to release its sportiest neo-retro roadster, the 700 CL-X Sport in Europe for 7,699…
Inside the SEC’s Debate Around a New Football Schedule
The conference appears split on a format ahead of welcoming Texas and Oklahoma and starting a new TV deal.
Albon "couldn't drive slow enough" in F1 Spanish GP with high tyre degradation
Alex Albon 'couldn't drive slow enough' to avoid high Formula 1 tyre degradation on his Williams in Spain that emerged…
The data that hints of an Alfa Romeo F1 surprise in Monaco
Alfa Romeo’s progress in Formula 1 this year has made it a Q3 regular – and occasional thorn in the…
From analysis to good news, read the world’s best news in one place
Schubert “found good steps” for Lausitz DTM double – van der Linde
DTM championship leader Sheldon van der Linde says that Schubert Motorsport 'found some very good steps” on its new BMW…
British Gear Manufacturer RST Releases Ambush Touring Jacket
RST has released a new adventure jacket called the Ambush. The new jacket is equipped with top-range protective and practical…

IPL 2022: MI and CSK out, 3 qualification spots still open - All playoffs possibilities in 11 points

By Atul Thakur | TNN

With 11 matches left to play in the league stage of IPL 2022 now, there still remain 2,048 possible combinations of results.

TOI looks at each of these possibilities to calculate the chances of individual teams making it to the playoffs. On Friday morning, May 13, CSK became the second team after MI to be officially knocked out of the playoffs race.

Except for three teams - GT which has qualified for the playoffs and MI and CSK (those who can’t)- the tournament is still open for the others. For some, the odds are more favorable while some might barely scrape through. Here is how the probabilities stand on the morning of May 13:

1) Despite the win vs CSK on Thursday, MI is out of the reckoning for a playoff spot.

2) Today’s loss means that CSK can also not qualify for the top four.

3) KKR’s chances of making the fourth spot remain at 7%, but the best it can hope for is tied third with four to six teams or a tied fourth position with two to five teams

4) DC’s chances of making it to the top four slots on points remain at 40.6% but they cannot top the points table

5) PBKS’ chances of a top-four finish have also remained at 26.6%, but like DC it can also no longer top the table

6) SRH’s chances of finishing in the top four spots on points remain at 23.4%% and it too cannot finish at the top of the points table after the league stage

7) RCB’s chances of making it to one of the top four slots also remain at 88.7%. At worst, they’ll finish sixth on points

8) RR has a 91.8% chance of finishing among the top four in terms of points. But they can still drop to as low as joint sixth if they lose their remaining games

9) LSG in its first IPL season is also certain to get to the top four slots on points. But it could lose out on the playoffs by ending up at 16 points in either a five-way tie for the second spot, a four-way tie for the third spot or a three-way tie for the fourth spot

10) GT, also in its first IPL season, has ensured qualification and can do no worse than a four-way tie for the top spot in which it ends up fourth on net run rate

11) In short, bet on LSG, RR and RCB joining GT in the playoffs, with PBKS and SRH having a relatively small chance of displacing RR or RCB in the playoffs race. Anything else would be a long shot.

How we calculate these probabilities: We looked at all 2,048 current possible combinations of results with 11 matches remaining. We assumed that for any given match the chances of either side winning are even. We then looked at how many of the combinations put each team in one of the top four slots by points. That gives us our probability number. To take a specific example, of the 2,048 current possible result combinations, RR finishes first to fourth on points in 1,880 combinations. That translates to a 91.8% chance. We do not take net run rates or “no results” into consideration because predicting those in advance is impossible.

What is inkl?
The world’s most important news, from 100+ trusted global sources, in one place.
Morning Edition
Your daily
news overview

Morning Edition ensures you start your day well informed.

No paywalls, no clickbait, no ads
Enjoy beautiful reading

Content is only half the story. The world's best news experience is free from distraction: ad-free, clickbait-free, and beautifully designed.

Expert Curation
The news you need to know

Stories are ranked by proprietary algorithms based on importance and curated by real news journalists to ensure that you receive the most important stories as they break.

Dive Deeper:
IPL 2022: DC's chances of qualification go up, RR still have an almost 92% chance - All playoffs possibilities in 12 points
With 12 matches now left to play in the league stage of IPL 2022, there still remain as many as…
IPL 2022: KKR's qualification chances go up to almost 19%, SRH's chances fall to under 13% - All playoffs possibilities in 11 points
With the penultimate week of IPL 2022 coming to an end there are now only 9 matches left to play…
IPL 2022: KKR's qualification chances less than 10%, Punjab's chances go up to almost 47% - All possibilities
With 10 matches now left to play in the league stage of IPL 2022, there remain 1,024 possible combinations of…
IPL 2022: GT now guaranteed top slot, 7 teams vying for 3 remaining spots - All playoffs possibilities in 11 points
With the IPL 2022 entering its last week there are seven remaining matches in the league stage now and 128…
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
IPL 2022: KKR's playoff chances go up, an almost 90% chance of RCB finishing in top 4: All playoff possibilities in 11 points
KKR's big 52 run win vs MI on Monday has boosted the two time champion's chances of making the final…
IPL 2022, RCB vs PBKS: Riding high on momentum, Royal Challengers Bangalore could be too strong for inconsistent Punjab Kings
MUMBAI: Royal Challengers Bangalore (RCB), who have found much-needed momentum towards the business end of IPL, will back themselves to…
Get all your news in one place