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Intel and AMD pose a competitive threat to Nvidia's AI dominance

Illustration shows Intel logo

The field of AI accelerators is heating up as competitors vie to challenge Nvidia's dominance in the market. Companies like AMD, Intel, Cerebras, Tenstorrent, Groq, D-Matrix, and various cloud service providers are all entering the race to capture a share of the lucrative AI market, which is projected to reach $119 billion in revenue by 2027, according to Gartner.

While Nvidia currently holds a significant lead in market share, hardware, software, and ecosystem, its competitors are making strides in generative AI, both in terms of inference and training. While there are many startups in this space, we will focus on the major players and explore their potential impact.

Nvidia continues to reinforce its position as the leader in AI, doubling its roadmap of new chips and preparing for the upcoming GTC event. AMD, on the other hand, has recently launched the competitive MI300, which is expected to perform well in the inference market for cloud and enterprises. With strong software and model offerings, AMD has a good chance of solidifying its position as the second-largest player in the market.

SambaNova and Groq have refocused their efforts on training and inference as a service, respectively. Groq's impressive inference performance for Llama2 70B, surpassing Nvidia's GPU platforms by a significant margin, is definitely worth noting. Meanwhile, SambaNova's SN40 next-gen chip shows promise, although its lack of transparency regarding benchmarks and customers raises questions.

Cerebras, known for its WSE integrated systems, continues to grow and expand, with its WSE-3 in the pipeline. Intel, however, is currently waiting for the release of Gaudi3, which will determine its position in the market. If Gaudi3 is delayed, Cerebras may secure the third spot by the end of 2024.

Qualcomm's Cloud AI100 inference engine has garnered attention with its new Ultra platform, delivering four times better performance for generative AI. AWS has also recognized the value of Qualcomm's technology, incorporating it into its smart edge servers. Although AWS has its own Inferentia accelerator, the addition of Qualcomm's solution speaks volumes about its capabilities.

The hyperscalers, particularly Google and Microsoft, present strong competition in the AI accelerator market. Google's TPU V5p and internal TPU ecosystem make it a leader in the field, while Microsoft's Maia, an alternative to Nvidia GPUs, shows promise. AWS, too, continues to improve its in-house inference and training platforms, Inferentia and Trainium.

The landscape of the AI accelerator market is evolving rapidly, with major players and startups all vying for a share of the AI gold rush. However, comparisons between these companies are challenging due to the lack of standardized benchmarks and the preference for opacity in the industry. MLPerf benchmarks may shed more light on performance in the coming months.

One interesting development to watch is Nvidia's partnership strategy, as it seeks to enable custom chips. This move could help Nvidia thrive even as hyperscalers and car companies develop their own in-house alternatives to Nvidia GPUs.

As the AI accelerator market intensifies, it's clear that Nvidia's dominance is not uncontested. Competitors like AMD, Intel, Cerebras, and others have positioned themselves to challenge Nvidia's stronghold, offering innovative solutions and targeting the growing demand for generative AI. It remains to be seen how the market will evolve, but one thing is certain: the race for AI supremacy is only just beginning.

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