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Wales Online
Wales Online
National
Cathy Owen

Infectious diseases expert says Wales should lift all Covid restrictions now

An expert on infectious diseases has said that it is now time for Wales to lift all coronavirus restrictions.

Professor John Watkins, a consultant epidemiologist at Cardiff University, believes that the link between cases and hospitalisations has "definitely" been broken.

He was speaking just days before the latest review of restrictions in Wales is set to be announced. First Minister Mark Drakeford will be making the announcement on Wednesday (July 14).

Read more: Latest coronavirus briefing for Wales - live

Prof Watkins, who is a Welsh and UK Government advisor, said that the success of the vaccination programme and general immunity levels meant it was safe to end lockdown.

He told BBC Wales: "We've got a considerable amount of the adult population now vaccinated and we know that vaccination reduces transmission as well as reduces adverse events.

"And we know that in young people, where the bulk of infections are occurring at the moment, that actually they have got far less chances of adverse events, so I think we're at a reasonably good place to start opening up society."

The latest cases for Wales show that Wales' infection rate has risen to 127 cases per 100,000 population based on the seven days between June 29 and July 5 - up on 122.8 on Friday. Fifteen of Wales' 22 local authorities are now reporting more than 100 positive cases per 100,00 people. Cases for your area here.

However there are fewer people in hospital with Covid-19 than was the case at the same point in either of the first or second waves of Covid in Wales. There were three intensive care beds occupied with a Covid-19 case in Wales on Thursday, July 8.

Prof Watkins said the latest health modelling suggested Wales was following a "positive trajectory" despite the recent rise in cases.

Meanwhile, Prime Minister Boris Johnson is expected to make a lockdown announcement for England today, Monday, July 12.

Boris Johnson has said “we are tantalisingly close” to lifting the final swathe of coronavirus restrictions.

Prof Watkins added: "In the words of the Prime Minister (Boris Johnson), when would be the right time?

"It's always going to be a balance of risk, and I think we've protected the most vulnerable to this virus, and we've got good evidence that a significant proportion of the UK population has been exposed to the virus, or has antibodies to the virus... so actually we have a population that is reasonably well protected.

"The whole idea about shutting down society originally was around protecting the NHS, and I think the NHS is protected, as far as you can. So there comes a point where we have to start living with the viral transmission, and I think now is the time to do that.

"We need to recognise that the elderly, by and large, are protected."

He also told the BBC: "In Wales, the numbers of deaths from people testing positive for the last 28 days have been no more than one or two a day, and many days without any [deaths] at all. Our hospitals are in a good place in terms of cases.

"Over the next couple of weeks, as we start to open up and this current surge of cases passes through, we'll see whether we're on the right course - but all the data suggests that we are."

Health minister Eluned Morgan and the head of the vaccination programme in Wales are due to give the latest briefing for Wales on Monday. You can follow it live here.

She has said in the past that we are going to have to learn to live with coronavirus.

To get the latest email updates from WalesOnline click here.

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