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Evening Standard
Evening Standard
Politics
Nicholas Cecil

Tax rises: Freeze on income tax thresholds for millions left on table by Treasury minister Darren Jones

Chancellor Rachel Reeves who is expected to announce tax rises later this year - (PA Wire)

Treasury minister Darren Jones left open the prospect of freezing the thresholds for paying income tax beyond 2028 as the Government scrambles to balance the public finances.

He stressed that the policy as of “today” was not to extend the freeze as pledged by Chancellor Rachel Reeves in the Budget last year.

He repeatedly emphasised that Labour’s election manifesto promised not to raise the “headline rates” of income tax, VAT and National Insurance on working people, leaving open the option of further freezing thresholds rather than increasing them in line with inflation.

In 2021, then Chancellor, Rishi Sunak announced the income tax personal allowance and higher rate threshold would be frozen from April 2022 until April 2026.

The following year, Jeremy Hunt who was now Chancellor announced the freeze would be extended for a further two years until 2028.

In the Budget last October, Ms Reeves said the freeze would be lifted from 2028-29.

“Extending the threshold freeze would hurt working people,” she said.

Chief Secretary to the Treasury Darren Jones (Aaron Chown/PA) (PA Wire)

But her deputy Mr Jones, Chief Secretary to the Treasury, declined to repeat her promise.

“That is Government policy today,” he told LBC Radio.

“But what I’m not going to do is speculate one way or the other about any form of tax policy.”

Earlier, he told Times Radio: “What our manifesto said is we are going to protect working people by not increasing the headline rates of income tax, VAT or National Insurance.”

People start paying the basic rate of income tax once they earn over £12,570 and the higher rate once their income goes above £50,270.

London’s median full-time salary is £41,866 so many senior health workers, police officers, teachers, and private sector employees are being hit by “fiscal drag” of the income tax threshold freeze, pulling them into paying the higher rate.

Extending the freeze would raise over £38 billion a year in 2029/30, according to the Office for Budget Responsibility.

The fiscal watchdog has warned that the UK’s state finances are on an “unsustainable” path due to a raft of public spending promises the Government “cannot afford” in the longer term.

Recently, the revolt by Labour MPs over welfare reforms blew a £5 billion hole in the public finances, on top of the £1 billion cost of the U-turn on winter fuel payment cuts.

Ms Reeves has declined to rule out looming tax rises.

But Mr Jones said he did not recognise a report that there was now a £20 billion black hole in the public finances.

Andrew Bailey has said the Bank of England could cut the base rate if the jobs market continues to slow down off the back of the rise in NICs for employers (Alastair Grant/PA) (PA Wire)

The Government claims it has made economic growth its No1 priority.

But Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey says companies had cut jobs and restricted pay rises as they “adjust” to having to pay the higher National Insurance contributions on employers announced by Ms Reeves.

In an interview with The Times, Mr Bailey said he believes the interest rate set by the Bank of England, currently 4.25%, would be lowered in future, after it was held in June.

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