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Investors Business Daily
Investors Business Daily
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MATT KRANTZ

If More Banks Crash — Here's How To Avoid Losing Money

Worried more banks will fall apart like Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank? ETFs can help protect you from the risk of such bum investments in the S&P 500.

But it takes effort to sidestep financials. After all, the financial sector is the third-largest part of the S&P 500 — accounting for 13.2% of the index. But there are both specialized ETFs that leave out the volatile financial sector and strategies that intentionally omit financial stocks.

"We believe investors should react to the (recent bank failure) developments with some caution as sentiment around bank conditions remains fragile and depositors in other banking institutions could react irrationally to the recent failures," said a report from LPL Financial.

How Financials Are Hurting You

Simply holding financial stocks is hurting your returns. Even Warren Buffett is losing billions on his bank stocks.

Specifically, from March 8 prior to the Silicon Valley collapse through March 20, the S&P 500 fell roughly 1%, says Howard Silverblatt of S&P Dow Jones Indices. That's entirely due to a more than 10% drop by financials. The S&P 500 would be up marginally if financials were removed.

Failures aren't the only risk to financials either. Rising interest rates are also stressing financial markets.

Bank and financial ETFs show the risks, too. A big 8.5% drop this year in the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF is dragging down the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust. Including financials, the S&P 500 is up just 3%. But if you remove financials, as does the ProShares S&P 500 Ex-Financials ETF, you'd be up 6%, an improvement of three percentage points.

Longer-term financials are laggards, too. The Financial Select Sector SPDR is up just 13% in the past five years. That lags the S&P 500's nearly 50% rise in that time.

How To Invest In Both Bull And Bear Markets

Removing Bank Stocks

The ProShares S&P 500 Ex-Financials is the purest way to own the S&P 500 without banks, insurance companies or brokers.

The ETF leaves out the roughly 100 financial stocks in the S&P 500. So while your top stocks are still Apple and Microsoft, just like the S&P 500, you skip on the 1.6% position in Berkshire Hathaway, considered a financial, and 1.1% position in JPMorgan Chase.

Some investors might simply own ProShares S&P 500 Ex-Financials if they want nothing to do with financials, says Todd Rosenbluth, head of research at VettaFi. But the ETF can be added to a portfolio with an S&P 500 ETF, too, "to reduce the exposure to the hard-hit sector," he said.

Financial-Free Strategies

Another option to bypass financials is the Invesco QQQ Trust. The ETF owns the 100 most valuable companies trading on the Nasdaq, but excluding all the financials. That leaves investors with a mostly tech-heavy portfolio.

Information technology accounts for nearly half the QQQ's portfolio. Tech is followed by a nearly 17% weight in communications services and nearly 15% position in consumer discretionary.

"QQQ is a good way to avoid financials as the large-cap growth ETF excludes financial and goes across traditional sectors like communications services, consumer discretionary, health care and information technology," Rosenbluth points out.

Additionally, there's a lower cost version, Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF. QQQM charges just 0.15% versus QQQ's 0.2% annual fee.

For investors looking to reduce, but not entirely eliminate financials, Rosenbluth says ETFs tied to growth indexes are worth considering. Vanguard Growth ETF, for instance, still maintains a 3% exposure to financials, he says.

Skipping financials might prove alarmist. Meanwhile, the government is aggressively trying to limit further bank blowups in this crisis. But some ETFs shield you from the sector's troubles no matter what.

Financials Hurt S&P 500 Performance

ETFs with more financial stocks lag

ETF Symbol 1-year % ch. Year-to-date % ch. % in financials
Invesco QQQ Trust -14.2% 15.0% 0%
ProShares S&P 500 Ex-Financials -9.8% 6.0% 0%
Invesco NASDAQ 100 -14.2% 15.0% 0%
SPDR S&P 500 -12.5% 2.9% 12.30%
Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund -20.7% -8.5% 94%
SPDR S&P Bank -34.2% -20.0% 100%
SPDR S&P Regional Banking -39.9% -25.9% 100%
Sources: IBD, S&P Global Market Intelligence, ETF.com

Follow Matt Krantz on Twitter @mattkrantz

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