We are closing down this live blog, but will continue our rolling coverage of Tropical Storm Florence as the east coast of the US wakes up to another day of ferocious wind and rain.
You can read our news story here, check out our interactive storm tracker here, and tell us about your experience of Florence here.
Thanks for reading.
Updated
What we know so far
-
Florence was downgraded to a tropical storm on Friday night, but there were still sustained winds of 70mph.
- The storm is moving slowly west-southwest over the east of South Carolina
- “Life-threatening storm surges and strong winds” were predicted
- Officials have warned that up to 50in of rain could lead to catastrophic flooding into next week.
- Residents of western North Carolina have been warned they could see flooding and landslides from Saturday night through to Monday.
- There were more than 775,000 power outages reported in North Carolina as of Friday midnight.
- Authorities have linked at least five deaths to Florence, including a mother and infant killed when a tree collapsed on their house, a woman who died of a heart attack and a man who was electrocuted.
- White House officials said Donald Trump would be visiting areas affected by Florence sometime next week.
- Overnight Trump repeated his claim that 3,000 people did not die in Puerto Rico from Hurricane Maria, saying the death toll had increased “like magic” and that the method for calculating the death toll “was never done with previous hurricanes”.
Concern about toxic waste sites
The Associated Press has this report about the polluted sites that may lie in the path of the storm
As Tropical Storm Florence spins inland, environmental regulators are monitoring more than three dozen toxic waste sites in the storm’s path, as well as scores of low-lying water- and sewage-treatment plants at risk of flooding.
EPA spokesman John Konkus said the agency is listening for any word of oil or hazardous substance spills from first responders, media reports and state and local emergency command posts. He said federal on-scene coordinators and equipment stand ready to deploy if needed.
The Environmental Protection Agency has identified 41 Superfund sites in threatened parts of the Carolinas, Virginia and Maryland and Georgia. Superfund sites are among the nation’s most highly polluted places. They often contain contaminated soil and toxic waste at risk of spreading if covered by floodwaters.
No toxic spills had been reported as of Friday afternoon, but the region’s rivers were not expected to crest for days. Forecasters predicted severe flooding for parts of southeastern North Carolina and northeastern South Carolina starting Sunday.
Among the Superfund sites most at risk from Florence is Horton Iron and Metal, a former shipbreaking operation and fertiliser manufacturing site in a low-lying floodplain along the Cape Fear River outside Wilmington, North Carolina. The 7.4-acre (3-hectare) site is heavily contaminated with pesticides, asbestos, toxic metals and cancer-causing PCBs.
In future disasters, US citizens may receive messages on their phones directly from Donald Trump, as the Federal Emergency Management Agency (Fema) begins its testing of a system that allows the president to send a message to most US mobile phones.
Next Thursday, Fema will conduct its first nationwide test of the Wireless Emergency Alerts (WEA), a system allowing a text message to be sent to mobile phones with warnings about dangerous weather, missing children or other critical situations.
“[This] is a national public warning system that provides the President with the communications capability to address the nation during a national emergency,” FEMA said in a statement.
During the test, people will receive a text with a header that reads “Presidential Alert” and text that says: “THIS IS A TEST of the National Wireless Emergency Alert System. No action is needed.”
More than 100 mobile carriers, including all the major wireless firms, are participating in the roll-out.
Of course, those people who follow President Trump on Twitter already get messages from the president straight to their phones, but unlike with Twitter, people are unable to opt out of receiving these alerts.
The WEA system was approved by Congress in 2015. Legislation surrounding the law warns that the “system shall not be used to transmit a message that does not relate to a natural disaster, act of terrorism, or other man-made disaster or threat to public safety.”
It is unclear how much personal input the president will have in the crafting of the alerts and whether they will be written in his characteristic style.
Updated
Residents of western North Carolina have been warned they could see flooding and landslides from Saturday night through to Monday, as rain continues as a result of the storm.
A 72-hour rainfall forecast for the state from 8pm Friday through to 8pm Monday, shows heavy rainfall and strong winds that could have “life-threatening impacts”.
Emergency Management North Carolina say these conditions will slowly improve, though did not say whether the improvement would begin without that 72-hour period, or after its conclusion.
Be #ReadyNC when it comes to #HurricaneFlorence! Threat of catastrophic flooding continues, w/heavy rain spreading westward thru weekend. WNC could see flooding, potential landslides Sat night-Monday. Life-threatening impacts from storm surge, gusty winds will slowly improve pic.twitter.com/cMcMmuqOj3
— NC Emergency Managem (@NCEmergency) September 15, 2018
Updated
773,000 without power
There are now more than 773,000 reported cases of power outages across North Carolina, according to the North Carolina department of public safety. The highest concentration of which are New Hanover, Brunswick, Wake, Onslow, Carteret, Pender, Robeson, and Wayne counties
The department of safety also have a great interactive map showing where evacuation orders are in place in different counties and a list of shelters.
Current evacuation orders in place in North Carolina. @NCPublicSafety Interactive map here: https://t.co/vKykdfWhm5 pic.twitter.com/sATcdKpWAd
— Kate Lyons (@MsKateLyons) September 15, 2018
Updated
'Life-threatening storm surge' and 'catastrophic flooding' to continue overnight
The National Weather Service have issued an update on the storm. The storm is moving slowly west-southwest over the east of South Carolina and storm surges, wind and rain were expected to continue overnight.
As of 11pm local time (about half an hour ago) the storm was about 15 miles (20km) west-northwest of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina and about 45 miles (70km) south-east of Florence, South Carolina.
Florence had maximum sustained winds of 65mph (100 km/h) and was moving west-southwest at a rate of 5 mph (7km/h).
The advisory notice said “life-threatening storm surges and strong winds” were set to continue overnight and “catastrophic freshwater flooding” was expected over portions of North and South Carolina.
Updated
Nasa have published this extraordinary video of the landfall of Hurricane Florence, as seen from the International Space Station.
Various agencies are tweeting safety warnings and advice, which we’ve collated here. The list is by no means exhaustive so feel free to tweet me if you see more, but they include:
- In the case of flash flooding: get to higher ground and don’t drive into the water
- Stay indoors, don’t venture out during the storm
- Don’t drive or walk through stagnant or moving floodwaters
- Don’t operate gas-powered generators or charcoal grills near your home
- Don’t use drones until emergency operations have ceased
- Stay away from downed power lines
- Stay away from sparking power lines and if you see them, call 911 and report them
- Don’t connect your generator directly to your home’s wiring or plug it into a regular household socket or outlet, instead use a power inlet box and transfer switch to connect to your home wiring or use extension cords to connect electrical devices such as a fridge to your generator
- Have multiple ways to get warnings of dangerous or changing conditions, including the internet, radio and TV
- If you have a private well, do not turn on electricity to the pump until flood waters recede. If extensive flooding has occurred, don’t drink the water, use bottled water until your well water can be tested.
Flash flooding is expected from #Florence throughout the Carolinas and southwest Virginia through early next week. Water levels and the rate at which the water is flowing can quickly change. Get to higher ground. Do not drive or walk into water. pic.twitter.com/YV9pvzQDQD
— NWS (@NWS) September 15, 2018
Important #Florence safety tips courtesy of @NCEmergency and @FEMA:
— NWS (@NWS) September 14, 2018
✅STAY INDOORS. Do not venture out during the storm.
✅Do NOT drive or walk through stagnant or moving floodwaters.
✅Do NOT operate gas powered generators or charcoal grills in or near your home.#ncwx #scwx pic.twitter.com/fi6aVVp4P7
Donald Trump has doubled down on his claim that 3,000 people did not die in Puerto Rico from Hurricane Maria.
Trump is on Twitter complaining about claims that the death toll exceeded 3,000 people in Puerto Rico. On Thursday he said that number had been made up by the Democratic party “to make me look as bad as possible”. Here’s what he’s been tweeting tonight:
“When Trump visited the island territory last October, OFFICIALS told him in a briefing 16 PEOPLE had died from Maria.” The Washington Post. This was long AFTER the hurricane took place. Over many months it went to 64 PEOPLE. Then, like magic, “3000 PEOPLE KILLED.” They hired....
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 15, 2018
....GWU Research to tell them how many people had died in Puerto Rico (how would they not know this?). This method was never done with previous hurricanes because other jurisdictions know how many people were killed. FIFTY TIMES LAST ORIGINAL NUMBER - NO WAY!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 15, 2018
This issue is clearly exercising the president, who also tweeted about it earlier in the evening, including quoting Fox News presenter Lou Dobbs calling the government of Puerto Rico “one of the most corrupt governments in our country”.
“The story of Puerto Rico is the rebuilding that has occurred. The President has done an extraordinary job of cleanup, rebuilding electrical stuff and everything else.” @EdRollins “The people of Puerto Rico have one of the most corrupt governments in our country.” @LouDobbs
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 15, 2018
This row kicked off earlier in the week, when Trump called the federal response last year in Puerto Rico an “incredible, unsung success” in comments from the White House on Tuesday.
His remarks sparked outrage, including from Senate minority leader Charles Schumer, who called Trump’s comment “offensive, hurtful and blatantly false” and Carmen Yulín Cruz, the mayor of San Juan who told CNN the comments were: “a stain on his presidency. He says he’s done a good job when 3,000 people have died?”
There’s more on that story here:
Updated
The Wall Street Journal is reporting that as Hurricane Florence was bearing down on North and South Carolina, the Trump administration was considering replacing the head of the Federal Emergency Management Agency.
The WSJ says FEMA administrator Brock Long is the subject of an internal investigation after allegations he misused resources traveling to his home in North Carolina and that the White House had been discussing potential replacements.
Donald Trump has repeatedly praised FEMA for their response to Florence, including just a few minutes ago when he tweeted: “America is proud of you. Keep it all going – finish strong!”
Great job FEMA, First Responders and Law Enforcement - not easy, very dangerous, tremendous talent. America is proud of you. Keep it all going - finish strong!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 15, 2018
Some people are sharing photographs highlighting the incongruity between the beauty that exists (and indeed, is caused) by Florence in areas on the edges of the storm’s path and the devastation it is wreaking on towns that are feeling the full force of the storm.
Lauren Visin, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service calls the the storm a “monster” but says in her area, where she says Florence is due to hit tomorrow, it has been preceded in her area by striking cloud formations.
#Florence is a monster, but these cirrus moving through before her arrival tomorrow are breathtaking. pic.twitter.com/XIbZMaOmRv
— Lauren Visin (@LaurenVisin) September 15, 2018
Jeff Dauler, a radio presenter in Atlanta Georgia, is in upstate South Carolina and comments that it is “remarkable how terrible storms are surrounded by such beauty”.
Upstate SC right now. It’s remarkable how terrible storms are surrounded by such beauty. cc: @BradNitzWSB pic.twitter.com/Fl2OTl27Dg
— Jeff Dauler (@JeffDauler) September 15, 2018
Updated
Can we still call it ‘Hurricane Florence’?
A question we have been discussing in the newsroom, which comes up frequently in reporting natural disasters like this one, is: can you still call Hurricane Florence, “Hurricane Florence” when it has been downgraded to a tropical storm?
Let me know what you think on Twitter, but our current thinking for this blog is:
- We will refer to the aftermath of Hurricane Florence
- Past articles about Florence when it was still a hurricane will still refer to Florence as “Hurricane Florence”
- But for any new developments we will refer to it as a tropical storm or “tropical storm Florence”, or just plain “Florence”; it is even acceptable to call Florence an ex-hurricane
Updated
This is Kate Lyons, back with you again. I’m taking over the blog from Sam Levin as we continue our rolling coverage of Florence.
If you have any news tips or questions you’d like us to address on the live blog, get in touch, I can be reached via kate.lyons@theguardian.com and on Twitter @mskatelyons
The National Weather Service Eastern Region have shared rainfall reports for towns across New Carolina (and a few in South Carolina), they warn that rain is continuing to fall heavily across the two states and these totals may be much higher by morning.
Some Hurricane Florence rainfall reports received as of 8:30 pm Friday evening. It continues to rain very heavily over parts of North and South Carolina, so some of these rainfall totals may increase considerably this evening and overnight. pic.twitter.com/NTupNTbyIg
— NWS Eastern Region (@NWSEastern) September 15, 2018
Updated
Summary
- Florence was downgraded to a tropical storm on Friday night, but there were still sustained winds of 70mph.
- Officials have warned that up to 50in of rain could lead to catastrophic flooding into next week.
- The center of the storm crossed into South Carolina on Friday and was heading for Myrtle Beach, a coastal city.
- There were more than 680,000 power outages reported in North Carolina as of Friday evening.
- Water teams have rescued hundreds stranded in the city of New Bern, but were struggling to reach more than 100 people impacted by the flooding.
- Authorities have linked at least five deaths to Florence, including a mother and infant killed when a tree collapsed on their house, a woman who died of a heart attack and a man who was electrocuted.
- In Jacksonville, more than 60 people staying in a motel were forced to evacuate as the building collapsed.
- White House officials said Donald Trump would be visiting areas affected by Florence sometime next week.
- In some low-income housing communities, residents reported being unable to evacuate due to financial burdens.
Updated
A few scenes from a hotel in Wilmington where Guardian reporter Khushbu Shah is spending time with evacuees:
Christian, 10, is celebrating his 10th birthday at a hotel without power as he waits out the storm with sisters Adilyn, 7 and a half and Nevaeh, 6. Everyone in the lobby sang happy birthday to him in Wilmington #FlorenceHurricane2018 pic.twitter.com/91fO7ZmdjI
— Khushbu Shah (@KhushbuOShea) September 14, 2018
An older woman in a wheelchair who evacuated her home didn’t bring any food with her to the hotel. She asked the hotel for food but they’ve run out and only had a banana. Someone overheard and went up to grab a plateful of food for her from their room. #FlorenceHurricane2018
— Khushbu Shah (@KhushbuOShea) September 14, 2018
Didn’t have to go far at all to see destruction. An entire tree was uprooted by the hurricane and underneath it is part of the hotel roof. #FlorenceHurricane2018 pic.twitter.com/VgoMAxiJ2y
— Khushbu Shah (@KhushbuOShea) September 14, 2018
Five deaths linked to Florence
Authorities have confirmed five deaths linked to Florence so far:
- A mother and her infant were killed when a tree fell on their house in Wilmington.
- In Kinston, a 78-year-old man was electrocuted, and a 77-year-old man was discovered dead after he went outside to check on his dogs, authorities said.
- A woman died of an apparent heart attack in Pender county, where EMS and emergency personnel struggled to respond due to dangerous conditions.
I’ve confirmed 5 fatalities with officials in NC state: 2 in New Hanover County, 2 in Lenoir County, and 1 in Pender County. #FlorenceHurricane2018
— Khushbu Shah (@KhushbuOShea) September 14, 2018
Climate scientist Michael Mann has published a comment piece in the Guardian about the “climate change triple threat” posed by Florence:
An early autumn ocean “heat wave” has brought sea surface temperatures in the western Atlantic to bathtub-level warmth. Just as summer heat waves on land are greatly increased in frequency and intensity by even modest overall warming, so too are these ocean heat waves becoming more frequent and more extreme as the oceans continue warm. All else being equal, warmer oceans mean more energy to intensify tropical storms and hurricanes.
But when it comes to coastal threat, it hardly matters how many tropical storms there are over the course of the season. A single landfalling hurricane can wreak havoc and destruction. Think Katrina in 2005, Irene in 2011, Sandy in 2012, either Harvey or Maria in 2017 and now Florence in 2018.
In this sense, the sometimes fractious debate about whether we’ll see more or fewer storms in a warmer world is somewhat misplaced. What matters is that there is a consensus we’ll see stronger and worse flood-producing storms – and, in fact, we’re seeing them already. That brings us to Hurricane Florence: a climatologically-amplified triple threat.
More here:
There is a new flash flood emergency warning for Goldsboro, Smithfield, Selma, Princeton and other municipalities in North Carolina. Avoid walking or driving through flood waters.
The flash flood threat is just beginning in some areas. As #Florence moves slowly, double-digit rain totals will become more widespread. Avoid flooded areas, especially roadways. #TurnAroundDontDrown https://t.co/dCubnd9CVa
— NWS (@NWS) September 14, 2018
Flash Flood Warning including Goldsboro NC, Smithfield NC, Selma NC until 10:00 PM EDT pic.twitter.com/QZkEwkJXsG
— NWS Raleigh (@NWSRaleigh) September 14, 2018
Some of the latest images of flooding and devastation from photographers on the ground:
And here is some footage of a rescue of two stranded dogs in Jacksonville:
Good Samaritans find two dogs stranded on porch amid rising floodwaters in Jacksonville, North Carolina, carry them onto their boat and bring them to safety https://t.co/3F9pcbVDDh pic.twitter.com/wbHW85ed7l
— ABC7 Eyewitness News (@ABC7) September 14, 2018
Some more details on two storm-related deaths in Kinston from Lenoir county emergency services director Roger Dail:
- A 78-year-old male was electrocuted at a residence on Silver Smith Circle in Kinston this morning when he was attempting to connect two extension cords outside in the rain. His body was discovered by family members.
- A 77-year-old male’s body was discovered at 8am today by his family at his residence on Middle Street in Kinston. It is believed his death was caused when he was blown down by the wind when he went outside to check on his hunting dogs.
Both deaths have been reported to the state medical examiner’s office.
Updated
Hundreds rescued in New Bern
Some new details from the Associated Press about the swift-water rescue teams assisting residents in New Bern, a community swamped by the storm:
New Bern spokeswoman Colleen Roberts said more than 360 people had been rescued by mid-afternoon Friday, but another 140 were still waiting for help.
She says crews from the city and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (Fema) were working with citizen volunteers to get people to dry ground.
Roberts says there is widespread damage and power outages in the city but so far no reports of deaths or injuries.
Updated
680,000 without power
The current statewide power outage total is 686,304, according to North Carolina officials. Details on the regions with the most problems here:
Current statewide power outage total is at 686,304, with the highest concentration in Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven, Cumberland, Duplin, Harnett, Johnston, New Hanover, Onslow, Pender, Robeson, Sampson, Wake and Wayne counties. Get updates: https://t.co/bg1ZzZckxT
— NC Emergency Managem (@NCEmergency) September 14, 2018
An update from Guardian reporter Khushbu Shah, who is continuing to report from Wilmington:
Officials have confirmed a “medical, storm-related fatality this morning as Hurricane Florence came ashore”. Details from Tammy Proctor, Pender county spokesperson:
At the height of the storm, EMS and emergency personnel attempted to respond. The roadway was blocked by trees and debris. A front loader was brought in to clear the roadway. A tree went into the windshield of the front loader. Due to the winds and dangerous conditions, operations had to cease at that time.
Details about the woman were not immediately available, and it appeared she died of a heart attack, Proctor said.
Updated
Some updates from Governor Roy Cooper’s latest press conference:
.@NC_Governor Cooper: UNC Chapel Hill has agreed to operate a mass shelter on their grounds. We are appreciative to all facilities that have opened their doors to operate as shelters. Efforts to get people long term housing after the storm are already underway.
— NC Emergency Managem (@NCEmergency) September 14, 2018
- The governor said there were three confirmed deaths and more under investigation, but didn’t have additional details to provide.
- There are 33 primary road locations and 30 secondary road locations that are experiencing flooding and over wash.
- Utility crews are coming in from other states to restore power, and the governor urged people not to return home until they receive an “all clear”.
- Water teams have rescued hundreds of people in New Bern.
- The highway patrol has responded to 80 collisions and 164 calls for service.
Tropical storms are not barrelling along as fast as they used to – and there are consequences. Guardian journalist Kate Ravilious has some useful background about the science and the implications:
Research published in Nature earlier this year showed that the average speed at which tropical storms track has slowed down by 10% since 1949. Over land, speeds have decreased even further; around 30% for western North Pacific storms and 20% for North Atlantic ones. Changes in atmospheric circulation, caused by global warming, are thought to be behind the decrease in pace.
Hurricanes that proceed at a trot instead of a canter are not good news.
Read her full report here:
Florence downgraded to tropical storm
Florence has officially been downgraded to a tropical storm, with winds now falling to 70mph. Surges and flooding will continue as the storm lashes South Carolina.
JUST IN: #Florence downgraded to a tropical storm as winds fall to 70 mph. https://t.co/MuLxSg3Qnz pic.twitter.com/Y8d1i4dJVA
— ABC News (@ABC) September 14, 2018
#Florence has weakend to a Tropical Storm, but still poses a multi-day storm surge, flood and tornado threat as it slowly moves inland. Feet of rain are expected, don't let your guard down. Our live 24/7 coverage continues. pic.twitter.com/uOZusit8kr
— The Weather Channel (@weatherchannel) September 14, 2018
Summary
Sam Levin here, continuing our live coverage of the hurricane. Here’s the latest:
-
Hurricane Florence has pounded the Carolinas coast with 90mph winds and a life-threatening storm surge.
- A mother and her infant child were killed by a tree that fell on their house in Wilmington, North Carolina.
- Another person was electrocuted trying to plug in a generator, according to the governor’s office.
- The storm has cut power to more than half a million households.
- Florence made landfall on Friday morning as a category one hurricane, just outside Wilmington.
- In Jacksonville, more than 60 occupants of a motel had to evacuate as a building crumbled.
- In the city of New Bern, authorities have said they were scrambling to reach roughly 150 people stranded by flooding.
- Some North Carolina jurisdictions are issuing curfews for Friday evening.
- Some models are now predicting over 50 inches of rain for swaths of North Carolina.
Many North Carolina jurisdictions are issuing curfews tonight, and pleading with residents to shelter in place and stay off the roads. So far they include:
Counties: Wayne, Lenoir, Columbia, Robeson
Cities and towns: Wilmington, Fayetteville, Goldsboro, Ayden, Jacksonville
NEW: Wayne County, NC under mandatory curfew effective at 9 p.m. Only people allowed past curfew are those headed to work or emergency personnel. Violators will be charged. #ABC11 #Goldsboro #HurricaneFlorence2018 #HurricaneFlorenceNC pic.twitter.com/nzuJwHRxCa
— Tim Pulliam (@TimABC11) September 14, 2018
Updated
Authorities have reported another two deaths in North Carolina, bringing the death toll from Florence to four.
One person was electrocuted in Lenoir county trying to plug in a generator, according to Governor Roy Cooper’s office.
Authorities in Pender county told NBC News that a woman with a medical condition called for assistance but first responders were unable to reach her in time due to large trees in the road blocking their route.
It was confirmed earlier in the day that a mother and infant were killed in Wilmington when a tree fell on their house.
Updated
Watch the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s rainfall predictions swell through Friday afternoon.
Between July 2016 and July 2017 only one metro area in the US saw a bigger population increase than the Myrtle Beach, South Carolina region currently being lashed by Hurricane Florence. That rapid expansion of both businesses and housing in the costal community has put many more people in Florence’s path than would have been there years ago.
It’s also a direct driver of flooding during a potentially catastrophic rainfall event like Florence is shaping up to be. All that development means more non-porous concrete, and less soft ground for water to absorb.
One of the reasons Houston, Texas, flooded so badly during tropical storm Harvey last year was the city’s rapid expansion – with hundreds of square miles of pavement and tens of thousands of houses added in just a few decades on land prone to flooding.
Adam Gabbatt explains more here.
Updated
Florence claims two lives in Wilmington
Authorities in Wilmington, North Carolina have confirmed what are believed to be the first two fatalities of Hurricane Florence in Wilmington. A mother and infant were killed when a tree fell on their house. The father was transported to a local hospital with injuries.
WPD can confirm the first two fatalities of Hurricane #Florence in Wilmington. A mother and infant were killed when a tree fell on their house. The father was transported to NHRMC with injuries. https://t.co/FC5PAhuxig
— Wilmington Police (@WilmingtonPD) September 14, 2018
Nearly 2,100 flights have been canceled because of the hurricane. This is the view from flight trackers:
#Florence certainly making its mark on aviation traffic today. https://t.co/gjLSNAyz2T pic.twitter.com/Fd0imZ2DQ0
— Andy Cox (@InfoVizard) September 14, 2018
The National Weather Service in Wilmington, North Carolina tweets that it’s “not immune” to storm damage. The headquarters lost a tree out front thanks to high winds and rain-saturated soil.
The National Weather Service is not immune to storm damage either.... No property damage, luckily, just some downed limbs and trees! #Florence #ILMFlorence pic.twitter.com/Hu9HdVISSU
— NWS Wilmington NC (@NWSWilmingtonNC) September 14, 2018
NC governor: 'It's going to get worse'
North Carolina governor Roy Cooper said at a news conference in Raleigh that citizens were still in danger.
“The sun rose this morning on an extremely dangerous situation and it’s going to get worse,” Cooper said. “To those in the storm’s path, if you can hear me, please stay sheltered in place.”
Cooper said Florence would “continue its violent grind across the state for days”.
Updated
Florence is practically flying by at 6mph, after slowing down to 3mph earlier this morning.
Maximum sustained winds of 75mph leave it just above the minimum threshold to still be considered a hurricane, which is 74mph.
Florence is expected to weaken into a tropical storm at some point Friday afternoon.
At 1 pm, Hurricane Florence was centered about 30 mi west-southwest of Wilmington NC, or about 35 mi northeast of Myrtle Beach SC. Florence has maximum sustained winds of 75 mph, and is moving to the west at 6 mph. pic.twitter.com/6AEQYM6xFk
— NWS Eastern Region (@NWSEastern) September 14, 2018
Updated
Fox News correspondent Rick Leventhal reports that much of Wrightville Beach is currently under water, which is not surprising. The low-lying beach town, at an elevation of just 7 feet above sea level, was where Florence official made landfall Friday morning.
Big stretches of Wrightsville Beach NC now underwater #HurricaneFlorence pic.twitter.com/vd0fwL0DEA
— RickLeventhalFoxNews (@RickLeventhal) September 14, 2018
Myrtle Beach, with its pristine shoreline, fairground attraction and immaculate golf courses, is known as a major holiday destination in the US south. But for the city’s poorest residents – 23% of people here live below the poverty line – the prospect of a direct hit from Hurricane Florence served only as a reminder of the city’s economic and racial inequality.
For many, evacuating from the path of Hurricane Florence is simply too expense.
“If anything happens to my home I just have to stay right where I am,” said 52-year-old Angela Smith, an African American resident of the Sandygate Village housing project in Myrtle Beach.
“I can’t afford to own a car, so I literally can’t leave,” said Smith, who is also disabled and unemployed.
Instead, she said, she would rely on the tight bonds she had forged with other members of the community. “We all get along here. We all support each other in times like this.”
Read more from Myrtle Beach here.
Updated
Updated
Some models now predicting over 50 inches of rain for swaths of North Carolina
Last year Hurricane Harvey became the most significant tropical rainfall event in recorded US history, topping out at 60.58in. Latest HD modeling now showing Florence could come close.
40-50" rainfall totals beginning to show up in higher-res guidance as the event begins to unfold. Reminds me of how guidance began to respond in Harvey. Regardless of exact totals, rainfall will be exceptional and flooding catastrophic. pic.twitter.com/y7gv3HTh4R
— Taylor Trogdon (@TTrogdon) September 14, 2018
Updated
Information from the National Weather Service about what the key dangers are in times of heavy rainfall. Up to 50in could hit south-east North Carolina between now and Sunday.
What are the impacts of 15 to 25 inches of rainfall in a short amount of time? Catastrophic flooding is likely across portions of southern/eastern #NCwx. Have a plan, monitor the forecast, and be ready to implement your plan! pic.twitter.com/2hrT53Jekf
— NWS Raleigh (@NWSRaleigh) September 14, 2018
High resolution model suggesting 50 inches of rain could fall in southeast North Carolina between now and Sunday. This is Harvey. #HurricaneFlorence pic.twitter.com/45CEgOdkrY
— Angela Fritz (@angelafritz) September 14, 2018
Updated
From the Associated Press, Florence by the numbers:
- About 400 miles (645 kilometers) wide, with hurricane-force winds stretching across a 140-mile (255-kilometer) span
- Heavy rains: up to 18 trillion gallons falling on seven states over seven days, as much water as there is the entire Chesapeake Bay
- Storm surge: up to 13 feet (nearly 4 meters), and seawaters could push inland 2 miles (more than 3 kilometers), depending on how long Florence lingers
- Stalled: Florence was nearly at a standstill Friday afternoon, moving at just 3 mph (6ph)
- Fatal hazards: historically, 49% of U.S. hurricane deaths come from storm surge, 27% from rain, 8% from wind, 6% from surf, 6% were offshore and 3% from tornadoes
- Intensity: Florence came ashore with top winds of 90 mph (145 kph), below the 111 mph (178 kph) threshold for a “major” hurricane but still extremely dangerous
- In the dark: more than 645,000 outages, mostly in North Carolina, as of Friday morning, with Duke Energy anticipating 1m to 3m homes and businesses losing power
- Protected: 12,000 people in shelters in North Carolina, 4,000 in South Carolina and 400 in Virginia
- Populated coastline: 11m Americans live in areas under storm watches and warnings
- Grounded: nearly 2,100 flights canceled
- Potential losses: estimated $10bn to $60bn in economic damages
Search and rescue dogs were deployed to North Carolina on Wednesday to help find storm survivors.
Those deployed include three teams of one dog, one human from the National Disaster Search Dog Foundation.
Also deployed was Morty, who was in Puerto Rico last year for Hurricane Maria. Morty has been popular with reporters.
Morty kept snuggling up next to me as I stood there talking to different people. It just hit me that he probably sensed my stress and anxiety. I’m 12 hours into my #HurricaneFlorence shift and there’s 4 more hours before my shift ends. He definitely helped me out. https://t.co/6ybrwsVOIF
— Holden Kurwicki (@HoldenCBS17) September 14, 2018
SAY HI TO MORTY! He’s with the Disaster Response Canine Unit. @DWilsonABC11 caught up with him in Wilmington and Wrightsville Beach. He's ready to help in #Florence. He's a good boy! pic.twitter.com/crC69fpAfq
— ABC11 EyewitnessNews (@ABC11_WTVD) September 14, 2018
Dramatic scenes from North Carolina, where the south-eastern part of the state is under flash flood warnings.
This is not a scene that you want to see at the end of your street.
— Bryan Bennett (@weatherbryan) September 14, 2018
Massive waves & storm surge overtaking this neighborhood in coastal NC.
(Courtesy: Don Bowers & LeeAnn0252) pic.twitter.com/oNuPnvGAC6
Harborview Nursing home in Morehead City, NC
— Jonne Godwin (@PurdomGodwin) September 14, 2018
I worked here for about 2 years. It is right on the water and as you can see, the first floor is under water and it's close to getting 2nd floor.
Laundry, front office, beauty shop, kitchen all on 1st floor. pic.twitter.com/7qSsqegydW
Carolina Beach is flooding. #HurricaneFlorerence pic.twitter.com/MxMYzu6BfB
— Anthony Farnell (@AnthonyFarnell) September 14, 2018
Updated
"A remarkably touching scene in Wilmington, North Carolina as firefighters huddle in prayer for two victims in partial house collapse." - @LesterHoltNBC pic.twitter.com/Cjp1xHi5y9
— NBC Nightly News with Lester Holt (@NBCNightlyNews) September 14, 2018
ProPublica is reporting that if Florence causes massive damage, North Carolina’s coastal insurance policy may not have the cash to foot the bill. Those costs could wind up being passed along to property tax payers statewide.
“According to the most recent totals available, from 2017, the state-created insurance plan had access to about $3 billion in reserves, reinsurance, and contributions from insurance companies to repair and rebuild damaged homes and properties,” according to ProPublica.
The policy is insuring $74 billion in potential liability.
For scale of hurricane damage costs, consider that the total payout from claims related to Hurricane Harvey are expected to approach $20 billion.
All aboard.
More #HurricaneFlorence storm damage - viewer Sheannon Lilley sent us this shot of a boat from her hotel room window at Courtyard Marriott in New Bern: pic.twitter.com/8TFxe9uKZY
— NewsChannel 12 (@wcti12) September 14, 2018
The National Weather Service is warning people in the Carolina inland about an increased threat of landslides and debris flows across the mountains and foothills this weekend.
Florence will bring heavy rain to the western Carolinas Saturday through Monday. The heavy rain is expected to result in significant flooding along creeks and streams.
Landslides, including fast-moving debris flows consisting of water, mud, falling rocks, trees, and other large debris, are most likely within small valleys that drain steep slopes.
Landslides are powerful and potentially deadly, capable of washing out roads, bridges, and homes. People living in areas prone to landslides should be aware of the danger and be prepared to act.
The National Weather service advises people to “move away from steep slopes and small streams in steep valleys and to seek refuge on higher ground away from streams, preferably in a sturdy shelter.”
Stay alert. Many landslide fatalities occur when people are sleeping. Be aware that short intense bursts of rainfall are most likely to cause landslides.
Updated
In a new conference, North Carolina governor Roy Cooper says Hurricane Florence is so widespread, “you will find it hard to find a NC resident who has not been impacted. It has just come ashore and will be here for a long time. This is going to be a bad storm.”
At the same conference, Maj Gen Gregory Lusk said over 500 activated North Carolina guard soldiers and airmen “are already responding to calls over the state. We are standing up a joint task force that has a dual status commander that will be coordinating response efforts.”
.@NC_Governor Cooper: The Federal Disaster Declaration is under review at this time, but we expect it to be approved. The request has been expedited. It will be for recovery efforts. #FlorenceNC #HurricaneFlorence #ncwx
— NC Emergency Managem (@NCEmergency) September 14, 2018
Officials also said they had responded to 108 calls for service and 30 collisions on North Carolina highways and advised: “Do not drive through barricades or drive through floodwaters and look out for debris in the road.”
Cooper asked residents not to fly drones after the winds die down, which some presumably would have thought to do to survey damage with cameras from above. “The FAA may issue an order to tell people not to fly drones. So do not fly drones, as it can cause significant problems with rescue efforts. This is an important message now, before the storm passes,” he said.
Updated
In Conway North Carolina, about eight miles north of Myrtle Beach, Rocky Session spent the morning checking on his home, making some last minute adjustments to the wood he has fixed over the windows.
“I feel a little bit better,” Session said as he drilled the last piece of wood diagonally across his doorway.
“But this will probably be all flooded later today,” he added, looking at the grassy land around his 50ft by 12ft trailer.
“I’m pretty sure my trailers not gonna blow away – it’s strapped down – but I’m worried about flooding. Last time it did.”
Session and his wife, Holly Dew, evacuated their single story home on Thursday and are staying in a nearby hotel. They would have moved further, but Dew’s mother, Deborah, is in intensive care in the Conway Medical Center hospital. Deborah has been in hospital, in a critical condition, for a month and is too sick to move.
“She died once, she came back to life through CPR,” Dew said.
“Now she’s on dialysis, but she really can’t do nothing. She needs to do physical therapy, she’s been in the bed so long she can’t walk.
“I’m worried because she’s on oxygen. I know they have a generator but…” Dew said, tailing off.
Dew normally visits her mother twice a day but is unlikely to be able to visit for the next few days. She and Session toyed with sleeping on the hospital floor, but the hospital was crowded and uncomfortable. They opted for the hotel instead, along with scores of others from the area.
Session was also back home to check on his two dogs. He was concerned about leaving them in the trailer, but said he could not afford to pay the extra money needed to keep them at the hotel. The dogs greeted Session gleefully upon his arrival, and took a stroll while he refilled water and food.
On Friday morning rain was beginning to lash the hotel, flooding the carpark, and wind could be heard screeching outside. For Dew and Session, it will be an anxious few days.
Updated
Tell us: have you been affected by Hurricane Florence?
If you have been affected by evacuation orders or by the weather directly you can share your experiences at the link below – one of our journalists may contact you to discuss further.
You can also contact the Guardian via WhatsApp by adding the contact +44(0)7867825056.
Though we’d like to hear from you, your safety and security is most important. When responding please make sure you put your safety and the safety of others first. Extreme weather events can be very unpredictable and carry very real risks.
Got a minute? Watch Hurricane Florence from its formation on the coast of West Africa, through it’s 4,000 mile journey across the Atlantic, all the way to its collision with the mid-Atlantic coast.
4,000 miles.
— Dakota Smith (@weatherdak) September 14, 2018
16 days.
Florence's incredible journey from Africa to North America. (https://t.co/PVJEzdVNdg) pic.twitter.com/GyditETvuL
The latest update from the National Hurricane Center reports that Florence has slowed off its already sluggish 5mph pace to 3mph. That’s the average speed a person walks.
Maximum sustained winds are down to below 80 mph which is significant because 74mph is the minimum sustained threshold for a category 1 hurricane.
NHC reports that rainfall totals exceeding 14in thus far have been reported at several locations across south-eastern North Carolina.
Updated
Worth 1,000 words
Photographs now emerging from the Florence-battered Carolinas paint a scene of devastation, rescue and whole lot of hard work.
Some parts of New Bern could be flooded with a possible 9ft storm surge as the category 2 hurricane approaches the United States. Photograph: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
See more here.
Updated
Fun name, serious consequences.
Florence appears to be shifting in track slightly to the south, a movement that forecasters call a “wobble”. That sounds innocent enough, but it appears likely to bring the storm back over sea causing it to strengthen and reorganize before making a SECOND landfall over South Carolina.
#Florence has started the jog SW and the westward movement will bring SE NC an additional 10-20”. It’s just starting for people inland and the next 24hrs will have stronger winds, especially just south of Harnett Co. Wind map valid 6pm. pic.twitter.com/A8Eu7c7utv
— Jonathan Wall (@_jwall) September 14, 2018
Throughout Florence’s approach and landfall, weather experts have desperately been trying to hammer home the point that storm category isn’t an effective measurement of the total risk of a tropical system.
“The reality is that these impacts are independent of that category,” said National Weather Service Director Ken Graham on Fox News Friday. “A slow large storm is our nemesis because what it does is it keeps pushing the water ... inland.”
Forecasters have continued to stress: “It cannot be emphasized enough that the most serious hazard associated with slow-moving Florence is extremely heavy rainfall, which will cause disastrous flooding that will be spreading inland.”
Like recent slow moving, rain dumping storms Harvey and Sandy, Florence has inspired robust conversations about the actual usefulness of the wind-based Saffir-Simpson category system which Forbes contributor Marshall Shepherd notes “often misses significant impacts of a hurricane”.
Shepherd continued:
Even before landfall, many of us were concerned about a tendency that we notice with the public during these storms. Many of the models projected a Category 4 hurricane to make landfall earlier in the week.
As it got closer to land, it was classified as Category 2. Intensity forecasts still lag track forecasts but that is a different article. This change caused some people to make statements like “it’s just a Category 2 storm” or “it’s not going to be that bad.” It even caused some fringe elements to start hyperventilating and whining about over-hype.
Take for example, this tweet from Pennsylvania congressman Rick Saccone:
Alarmist media at it again. Overhyped Florence. Down two notches to Cat 2 already. Soon be Cat 1. They are still trying to hype it
— Rick Saccone (@RickSaccone4PA) September 13, 2018
Updated
I'm going to Disney World
This is one way to ride out a storm, from the AP:
With Hurricane Florence barreling toward their home near Wilmington, North Carolina, Allison Hales Jordan and her husband boarded up their house, packed up their car and headed to Walt Disney World in Florida with their two teenage children.
“When we decided where to go, everybody was going west, but we decided we should go as far south as possible, which is weird since Florida gets hurricanes,” said Jordan who works as a preschool director in Burgaw, North Carolina.
Long accustomed to its residents evacuating north or to other parts of the state when hurricanes threaten, Florida was in the unusual position this week of accommodating diverted cruise ships and hotel-room seekers hoping to escape the wrath of Hurricane Florence, which made landfall Friday morning in North Carolina.
State emergency officials said Thursday they had no way of tracking how many residents from the Carolinas had escaped to Florida this week. But Florida hotels were offering special discounts for hurricane evacuees and Florida ports were opening their terminals to cruise ships making unexpected ports of call.
“I feel guilty but we’re trying to make the best of the situation,” Jordan said. “We’re trying to find some Disney magic, even when we don’t know what we are going to find when we go back and we don’t know when we will go back home. We’re here even though are hearts are in North Carolina.”
With power outages now affecting more than 475,000 customers in North Carolina and 32,000 in South Carolina, thats over a half million in the dark, and Florence still has plenty more wind and rain to dish out.
Duke Energy, the primary provider in the region has said no technicians will be sent out to restore power until the storm passes.
Even though it leaves you exposed to the elements, experts say that people caught in flood emergencies are safer on the roof than in attics or crawlspaces, where they can more easily become trapped.
For those sheltering in place from #Florence, know what to do if flood waters reach your location. Never enter attics or crawl spaces. Preliminary analysis shows that storm surge is approximately 2 feet higher in @CityofNewBern than during Hurricane Irene. pic.twitter.com/nu7iNn1NCY
— NWS Newport/Morehead (@NWSMoreheadCity) September 14, 2018
With Florence moving at a snail’s pace of 5mph, we’re still waiting to feel the force of the storm here in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.
Nonetheless, the rain and wind is lashing at my hotel window with reports of minor damage to property a little further up the road.
The centre is only around 65 miles away, but we’re going to be waiting until after midday before it crosses the state line down into South Carolina.
By around that time we’re expecting wind gusts of around 65mph. The centre of the storm is not due to reach us here until the early hours of Saturday morning, at the point forecasters still project Florence will be a category one hurricane.
Updated
Florence from 250 miles above
Check out these stunning images from German astronaut Alexander Gerst looking down on Florence’s eye from the International Space Station.
Donald Trump’s Twitter is, for the moment, all business as it relates to Hurricane Florence.
Incredible job being done by FEMA, First Responders, Law Enforcement and all. Thank you!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 14, 2018
We have created a rumor control page for Hurricane #Florence that will be updated regularly. During disasters, it’s critical to avoid spreading false information. Always check with official sources before sharing. https://t.co/PAjGQZJ1Nt pic.twitter.com/z4L0r1YjAT
— FEMA (@fema) September 12, 2018
Hoy es el último día para desalojar. Si está en la ruta de #Florence, escuche a las autoridades locales para órdenes de desalojo. Si necesita encontrar un refugio, envíe un mensaje de texto con la palabra REFUGIO y su código postal a 43362(4FEMA). pic.twitter.com/PRlsueYD2b
— FEMA en español (@FEMAespanol) September 12, 2018
Earlier this week Trump responded to discussions about Florence and the administration’s response to storms last year to falsely claim that studies on the death toll from Hurricane Maria were inflated by Democrats to make him look bad.
62 people, including an infant and many children were safely relocated from a hotel in Jacksonville, North Carolina after officials found potentially fatal structural damage to the building.
About 12:45 AM, Jacksonville 9-1-1 received a call about damage to the Triangle Motor Inn at 246 Wilmington Hwy. A basketball sized hole was found in a corner room by an Officer. Firefighters later found life-threatening damage to the structure. Cinder blocks that were part of the structure were crumbling in some places and residents were still in many of the rooms.
Hurricane force winds were a challenge, and Police and Fire had to force their way into some rooms.
Portions of the roof were collapsed, allowing rain to flood some of the rooms.
Using a host of vehicles, Jacksonville Fire and Emergency Services transported many residents of the facility. Some drove their own vehicles with police escorts.
The occupants have been placed in a temporary space in the Center for Public Safety while work is underway to find shelter for the residents.
Updated
The latest update from the National Weather Service says maximum sustained winds remain near 90 mph with higher gusts. It predicts a gradual weakening later today and tonight. Other notable observations:
Track: “The center of Florence will move further inland across extreme southeastern North Carolina and extreme eastern South Carolina today and Saturday. Florence will then move generally northward across the western Carolinas and the central Appalachian Mountains early next week.”
Storm Surge: The water has the potential to reach 7-11 ft from Cape Fear to Cape Lookout with locally higher amounts.
Rainfall: For Southeastern coastal North Carolina into far northeastern South Carolina, an additional 20 to 25 inches, with isolated storm totals of 30 to 40 inches.
For the remainder of South Carolina and North Carolina into southwest Virginia...5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches.
Tornados: A few tornadoes are possible in eastern North Carolina today.
A tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina until 5 PM EDT pic.twitter.com/Dhqokv5syW
— NWS Tornado (@NWStornado) September 14, 2018
One thing to remember with large tropical events like Florence is that they are typically multi-stage flooding events. The initial storm surge and rainfall flooding is often followed by swelling rivers and streams in the days ahead as inland inundation eventually finds its way to the lowest ground.
In North Carolina, Cape Fear River now is predicted to experience record flooding Monday or Tuesday, long after Florence has passed over.
Record river stage flooding is predicted in Cape Fear River, with river levels forecast to rise to 24.5ft early next week. This is well after #Florence pushes out of the area, but impacts are likely still be felt. pic.twitter.com/vtwPQoB26x
— Michael Ventrice (@MJVentrice) September 14, 2018
Wilmington has recorded a wind gust of 105 mph, its highest in 60 years and second highest ever observed.
Wilmington officially recorded its second highest wind gust ever: 105 mph. (135 mph Hurricane Helene, 9 / 27 / 1958)
— Gannon Medwick WECT (@medwick) September 14, 2018
Khushbu Shah is in Wilmington where Florence’s powerful eye wall is making landfall.
She says windows are rattling and rain is pounding in 2-3 minute increments at the hotel windows.
Nearby, Waffle House employees are putting on rain boots, lighting up the hotel lobby with flashlights and are heading out to serve limited menu breakfasts as Florence makes landfall. They’re saying the one downtown is opening soon.
2:09a.m. the power went out in the hotel. Around 4:30a.m. A loud pop and the street lights went off. The sign next from Picasso Pawns flew off in the middle of the night.
Plants are flying out of pots outside. Only cars on the road are news crews and police.”
Hurricane #Florence rips off gas station canopy in Wilmington, North Carolina, as tropical-storm-force winds extending almost 200 miles pound the Carolina coastline. https://t.co/oOidzZKS4K pic.twitter.com/uV1sAoIQZN
— ABC News (@ABC) September 14, 2018
Wilmington mayor Bill Saffo moments ago speaking to CNN by phone:
The entire city’s out of power ... I’ve lived here all my life. I have never seen a hurricane that is literally going to be with us for two days.”
Florence makes landfall
The storm officially made landfall near Wrightsville Beach, NC at 7:15AM this morning with gusts near 90mph recorded.
Half of the eye is onshore, so it's official: #HurricaneFlorence has made landfall. pic.twitter.com/YK0vOndxxH
— Paul Heggen (@PaulHeggenWX) September 14, 2018
There are now nearly 380,000 without power in North Carolina now according to the state Department of Public Safety, a number which could skyrocket in to the millions by days end.
BAM! 380,000+ with no power in North Carolina. And #Florence has much more ahead. @wsbtv #StormWatchon2 pic.twitter.com/51QZBnfBGf
— Linda Stouffer (@LindaWSB) September 14, 2018
The South East Regional Climate Centre says Wilmington, North Carolina, where Florence will shortly make landfall, has experienced winds of 92mph, the highest recorded there since 1960.
It’s way too early to assess the dollar damage of Florence, but with the current levels of rainfall and storm surge, it won’t be surprising if Florence ends up among the most expensive US hurricanes ever.
Updated
The number of homes without power appears to be rising every minute, according to a constantly updated ticker from North Carolina Department of Public Safety.
It is now more than 370,000.
We’re currently in a record stretch for “above normal” hurricane seasons. Due to the intense strength and lengthy duration of Florence, 2018 is already worse than initial expectations.
There’s more here.
Updated
Buddy Martinette, Wilmington fire chief has, urged people trapped in their homes in nearby New Bern to stay as high as possible.
Speaking to CNN he said his advice to those people was to “go high, stay there and we will get to you as quick as we can”.
He added:
Most of the firefighters right now are hunkered down trying to wait this out till they can get back out of the streets.
But if there is a life to be saved we go do it. When people stay back in a storm they have to have a very low expectation that somebody is going to be able to come and help them. It is very difficult ...
It will be a few days before the storm is over but recovery will be weeks and months.
The National Weather Service reminds us that landfall occurs when the centre of the eye crosses land.
We're seeing some erroneous info this AM. #Florence has NOT officially made landfall. A part of the eye wall has made it on land, but landfall is based on when the CENTER of the eye crosses onto land. Official landfall confirmation must & will come from @NHC_Atlantic #ncwx #scwx
— NWS GSP (@NWSGSP) September 14, 2018
More than 320,000 homes are without power in North Carolina, according to the latest stats from North Carolina Department of Public Safety.
Several flash flood warnings are in place in North Carolina.
Flash Flood Warning continues for Washington NC, River Bend NC, Vanceboro NC until 6:45 AM EDT pic.twitter.com/tE7FxF5Hhd
— NWS Newport/Morehead (@NWSMoreheadCity) September 14, 2018
Flash Flood Warning continues for Jacksonville NC, Piney Green NC, Half Moon NC until 8:15 AM EDT pic.twitter.com/XWuwZ0Ce8R
— NWS Newport/Morehead (@NWSMoreheadCity) September 14, 2018
We've just issued warnings for 3 locations in the Cape Fear River basin in response to expected heavy rainfall from #Florence. All sites including Fayetteville can expect at least moderate flooding, with serious impacts possible over the next few days. Stay tuned. #ncwx pic.twitter.com/F6eTzeTi3S
— NWS Raleigh (@NWSRaleigh) September 14, 2018
Are hurricanes getting worse? Long-term climate trends paint a worrying picture as Daniel Levitt and Niko Kommenda explain.
Updated
The eyewall of Florence is now onshore, and landfall is expected very soon, according to the latest update from the National Hurricane Center.
Gusts of up to 79mph have been reported and water levels are up to 9ft higher than normal in some parts.
Hurricane #Florence 6 am Update. Florence is about to make landfall near Wilmington, North Carolina. pic.twitter.com/BNdr2sHY0S
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) September 14, 2018
Peggy Perry, one of the estimated 150 people trapped in their homes New Bern, North Carolina, has speaking to CNN.
In a matter of seconds my house was flooded up to the waist. And we’re stuck in the attic. There’s four of us.
We’ve been up here for like three or four hours. There’s a little window here that we might have to break up (to get out).
She said she had heard no word from the emergency services about when help will come.
The National Weather Service in Charleston says Florence is about to make landfall in North Carolina near Wilmington.
5am advisory on #Florence still has a high probability of tropical storm winds in the Charleston tri-county area this afternoon through Saturday. Florence is about to make landfall in NC near Wilmington. For the latest go to https://t.co/2xMTnC68op and https://t.co/PwjSyXiS3Z pic.twitter.com/nEZEAfC2SM
— NWS Charleston, SC (@NWSCharlestonSC) September 14, 2018
Footage purportedly from New Bern, North Carolina, where authorities are attempting to rescue 150 people.
P R A Y 🙏🏾 F O R 🙏🏾 N E W B E R N #NewBern #HurricaneFlorence pic.twitter.com/UEhny4xvue
— YEIWAYY 👅🧚🏽♀️ (@doseofyei) September 14, 2018
Strong winds are hitting the North Carolina port city of Wilmington.
Wilmington, NC is now getting the eastern eye wall of Hurricane #Florence. The strongest winds are occurring now A 71 mph gust was just recorded within the past 15 minutes @StephanieAbrams pic.twitter.com/dHt7Xfk05r
— Greg Diamond (@gdimeweather) September 14, 2018
Florence has already inundated coastal streets with ocean water and left tens of thousands without power. The onslaught could last for days with large areas flooded by a combination of rising seas and heavy rains.
The coastal city of New Bern is meanwhile attempting to evacuate 150 people trapped by floodwaters and advising them to move higher in their houses.
Currently ~150 awaiting rescue in New Bern. We have 2 out-of-state FEMA teams here for swift water rescue. More are on the way to help us. WE ARE COMING TO GET YOU. You may need to move up to the second story, or to your attic, but WE ARE COMING TO GET YOU. #FlorenceNC
— City of New Bern (@CityofNewBern) September 14, 2018
Updated
A tornado warning has been issued for parts of inland North Carolina
Tornado Warning including Hollister NC, Centerville NC until 3:30 AM EDT pic.twitter.com/mypV1WRDy1
— NWS Raleigh (@NWSRaleigh) September 14, 2018
'Catastrophic' flood warnings
The US National Hurricane Center has posted its most recent update. Florence has sustained winds of 75mph and gusts of up to 90mph with coastal storm surges reported.
Hurricane #Florence pounding the North Carolina coast. Here is the 3 AM EDT Update. pic.twitter.com/FjGijTcUa9
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) September 14, 2018
The NHC has warned of “catastrophic” freshwater flooding expected over portions of the Carolinas as Florence inches closer to the US east coast.
North Carolina governor Roy Cooper has warned of an impending disaster. “The worst of the storm is not yet here but these are early warnings of the days to come,” he said. “Surviving this storm will be a test of endurance, teamwork, common sense and patience.”
Forecasters say the combination of a life-threatening storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland.
Updated
- At about 2am east coast time, Hurricane Florence is bearing down on the east coat of the US.
- The hurricane has been downgraded to a category 1 storm – earlier this week it was a category 4.
- More significant weakening was expected over the weekend and into early next week while Florence moves inland
- However the slow progress means the hurricane is hovering over the edge of the country, which is experiencing torrential rainfall and life-threatening storm surges
- The threat of flooding is set to increase over the next few days
- Florence is about 60 miles (95 km) east-southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph (150 kph)
- The National Weather Service said that between 20 and 40 inches of rainfall was predicted to fall in some areas, and warned that they “cannot overstate the threat of catastrophic flooding this storm will bring”
- The number of people affected by power outages in North Carolina has increased to more than 102,000, according to Emergency Management North Carolina
- More than 130 shelters currently operating in North Carolina
The National Weather Service (NWS) has been warning people that Florence will not just affect coastal communities, as warnings come that very few parts of North Carolina will escape torrential rainfall, and that surges will occur along rivers and other bodies of water.
An example of the impact on inland communities is seen in this tweet from the NWS in Greenville, which is in the north-west corner of South Carolina, about as far from the coast as you can get in the state.
They are starting to see outer bands of cloud spinning across their area as a result of Florence, with raining beginning tomorrow as a result of the hurricane.
While the rain from #Florence remains to our east, its outer bands of high cloud have begun to spin across our area. You can see one such band over us right now in this infrared satellite imagery from #GOES16. Rain from #Florence could begin late tomorrow in the Charlotte area. pic.twitter.com/bXDsd3NAQq
— NWS GSP (@NWSGSP) September 14, 2018
Updated
What sort of water levels might we see?
A buoy off the North Carolina coast has recorded waves nearly 30 feet (9 meters) high as Florence churned toward shore.
Forecasters said conditions will deteriorate as the storm pushes ashore early Friday near the North Carolina-South Carolina line and makes its way slowly inland.
Its surge could cover all but a sliver of the Carolina coast under as much as 11 feet (3.4m) of ocean water, and days of downpours could unload more than 3 feet (0.9m) of rain, causing severe flooding.
Striking images from the Weather Channel show the impact of the storm surge on a town in North Carolina.
Despite the fact the storm has been downgraded to category 1, catastrophic rainfall is still expected.
Significant storm-surge flooding is already inundating New Bern, North Carolina, as of this evening. Here's the latest on #Florence: https://t.co/fo9dYfhUD2 pic.twitter.com/kiuwURvXhn
— The Weather Channel (@weatherchannel) September 13, 2018
What we know so far
- Hurricane Florence has weakened to a Category 1 storm
-
Little change in strength expected before it moves inland on Friday, according to the US national hurricane center
-
Florence is about 60 miles (95 km) east-southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph (150 kph)
-
More significant weakening was expected over the weekend and into early next week while Florence moves inland
-
Despite the slowing of the storm, life-threatening storm surges and hurricane-force winds are occurring along the North Carolina coast, with the threat of freshwater flooding seen increasing over the next several days
- The National Weather Service said that between 20 and 40 inches of rainfall was predicted to fall in some areas, and warned that they “cannot overstate the threat of catastrophic flooding this storm will bring”
- The number of people affected by power outages in North Carolina has increased to more than 102,000, according to Emergency Management North Carolina.
- More than 130 shelters currently operating in North Carolina
Updated
Our reporters Oliver Laughland and Adam Gabbatt are in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, where they have been speaking to people who have evacuated their homes.
We’re still a few hours from feeling the full force of #florence here in Myrtle Beach, so @adamgabbatt and me spoke to Rocky & David, some evacuated residents staying at our hotel: (cc @MsKateLyons) pic.twitter.com/8rIOeTUt3T
— Oliver Laughland (@oliverlaughland) September 14, 2018
The east coast braces for Florence – in pictures
Florence downgraded to category 1 storm
Hurricane Florence has been downgraded to a category 1 storm off the North Carolina coast, with maximum sustained winds dropping to 90 mph (150km/h), according to the National Hurricane Center.
Well, this is catchy.
We know it's been a long night and will likely be a long weekend for a lot of you. So we wanted to pass along an important safety message - one that will be very important for you in the coming days - in a fun way. Enjoy. 🎶🎶🎵🎵🎶#HurricaneFlorence pic.twitter.com/Xo6uIefC53
— NWS (@NWS) September 14, 2018
A North Carolina TV news station has evacuated its building due to rising waters from Hurricane Florence.
New Bern’s WCTI-TV NewsChannel 12 posted on Facebook on Thursday night that employees had to abandon the studio for the “first time in history.”
A spokesperson for the ABC affiliate said that roads around the building were flooding.
New Bern is a city along the Neuse River and is near the Atlantic coast, about 90 miles (145 kilometers) northeast of Wilmington.
The station said on Facebook that it was broadcasting its sister station WPDE-TV’s coverage of the storm.
On air meteorologists in New Bern casually explaining the building has been evacuated due to Florence’s storm surge but they’re sticking around to stay on air and inform the public pic.twitter.com/bOaaM8eP8n
— Brian L Kahn (@blkahn) September 13, 2018
The National Weather Service branch in Newport/Morehead City, which is on the coast of North Carolina and bracing for the full impact of the hurricane, has shared a video of furious rain outside their office early tonight.
Outside the NWS Newport/Morehead City at 930 pm. pic.twitter.com/tErYVLRYQd
— NWS Newport/Morehead (@NWSMoreheadCity) September 14, 2018
The North Carolina Division of Adult Correction and Juvenile Justice has evacuated several thousand adult and juvenile offenders and staff from facilities threatened by the effects of Hurricane Florence.
More than 3,000 offenders have been relocated from facilities in the path of Hurricane Florence. Four county jails have also been evacuated with more than 300 offenders housed temporarily in state facilities.
A news release from the division Wednesday said all adult offenders affected by the move will be allowed to make a free phone call to a family member over the weekend.
The division said leaders made the decision earlier in the week to evacuate three juvenile detention centers and relocate inmates to inland facilities within the system. Officials said 26 youth were moved and their families notified.
The news release said all offenders will be moved back to the affected facilities once the storm subsides and it’s deemed safe for operations to continue.
The number of people affected by power outages in North Carolina has increased to more than 102,000, according to Emergency Management North Carolina.
The areas most affected are Beaufort, Carteret, Craven, Onslow and Pamlico.
More information about power outages, as well as road conditions and evacuation routes can be found here.
The governor of North Carolina, Roy Cooper, has urged people to share a list of shelters that are open across the state. There are more than 130 shelters currently operating in North Carolina, most of which have been set up in schools. That list can be seen here.
RETWEET THIS: Shelters are continuing to open across North Carolina. An updated list of shelters can be found here: https://t.co/QbQMXXCFYh pic.twitter.com/du2sVnpjp3
— Governor Roy Cooper (@NC_Governor) September 13, 2018
The Weather Channel has put green screen to pretty extraordinary use, as they attempt to show what it could look like for people who encounter floodwater reaching nine feet, as is predicted in some areas.
The good stuff begins 40 seconds into the video, skip ahead to that.
Storm surge will be a huge factor for Hurricane #Florence Check out what it might look like with @TWCErikaNavarro: pic.twitter.com/TPqTZTmiAM
— The Weather Channel (@weatherchannel) September 13, 2018
A tornado warning has been issued for parts of North Carolina until 7am EDT Friday.
A tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina until 7 AM EDT pic.twitter.com/i3efeVAbCy
— NWS Newport/Morehead (@NWSMoreheadCity) September 14, 2018
“We cannot overstate the threat of catastrophic flooding this storm will bring!” warns NWS
This is Kate Lyons, taking over from Sam Levin.
The National Weather Service are reporting that, as was the case with Hurricane Harvey last year, so much rain is predicted to fall as a result of Florence that they have to use an updated colour scheme in their rainfall graphic.
Last year, so much rain fell during Hurricane Harvey, which caused catastrophic flooding across Houston, that the NWS had to update their colour charts in their graphics to map it effectively, adding a bright purple to show 20-30 inches of rainfall, and a lilac colour to indicate greater than 30 inches.
Previously, the top band of rainfall shown in their graphics was 15-20 inches, represented by a dark purple.
The NWS have said that they have been forced to use this updated colour scheme again as “Florence is forecast to bring a large area of rainfall of 20-40 inches” to both North and South Carolina. They add that the threat of catastrophic flooding from Florence cannot be overstated.
(The top image in the tweet below is forecast rainfall as a result of Florence, the bottom two images are rainfall from Harvey last year.)
Last year, we tweeted this: https://t.co/NkOqn3JkRS
— NWS (@NWS) September 14, 2018
It's alarming that it's become relevant again, but #Florence is forecast to bring a large area of rainfall of 20-40" to parts of NC/SC. We cannot overstate the threat of catastrophic flooding this storm will bring! pic.twitter.com/4obR151kFp
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Summary
- Hurricane Florence is expected to bring a life-threatening storm surge to North Carolina and South Carolina.
- Florence began battering the Carolina coast on Thursday, with the storm closing in at 100 mph (155 kph) winds.
- Historic river flooding is expected in North Carolina, which could potentially cause a dump containing mercury, arsenic and lead to flow into a local water supply.
- Florence’s winds weakened as it approached land, and the hurricane was downgraded from a Category 4 to a 2.
- There have been power outages for more than 80,000 people in North Carolina.
- There are more than more than 12,000 people in 126 shelters in the state, and officials are preparing to open more shelters.
- The governor of Virginia advised residents to shelter in place and stay off the roads on Thursday.
- Nearly 2m coastal residents have faced evacuation orders.
- The hurricane has sparked fears of potential environmental disasters, with waste from hog manure pits, coal ash dumps and other industrial sites possibly washing into homes and water supplies.
Florence is expected to cause historic river flooding and could cause problems for days in parts of North Carolina, according to estimates from local news station WECT.
The Northeast Cape Fear river at Burgaw has a forecast crest of 24ft, which could surpass the previous record of 22.5ft.
The Cape Fear river at Elizabethtown has a forecast crest of 29.6ft, and flooding is also expected at the Waccamaw river in Pireway, though the amount there is still unknown.
The forecast crest is 19.2ft for the Lumber river in Lumberton. Guardian reporter Oliver Laughland has some background on what’s at stake in Lumberton, where rains could cause a dump containing mercury, arsenic and lead to overflow into the water supply:
Here are a few images from photographers on the ground:
Power outages for 80,000
More than 80,000 customers are without power in North Carolina, according to the major electric utilities in the state. Duke Energy estimated that 1m to 3m of its 4m customers in the Carolinas could lose power due to Florence, the AP reports.
There are now more than 12,000 people in 126 shelters in North Carolina, according to governor Roy Cooper. He said the demand is expected to increase and the state is in the process of opening more shelters.
Cooper has also requested a presidential disaster declaration to expedite the process of receiving federal aid for recovery and cleanup:
Gov. Cooper has requested a presidential disaster declaration to expedite the process of receiving federal aid for cleanup and recovery. https://t.co/aDGlTRdexs pic.twitter.com/HEoXr9oZnB
— Governor Roy Cooper (@NC_Governor) September 13, 2018
From the governor’s office:
The added disaster declaration would go beyond the federal action already in effect, which is already providing Federal Emergency Management Agency funds and assistance as we prepare for the hurricane. The additional declaration would provide federal help with debris removal as well as FEMA search and rescue teams, disaster medical teams, hazardous material clean up assistance, meals, generators, fuel and more.
Virginia governor: shelter in place
Gov. Northam advises Virginians to stay off the road as Hurricane Florence approaches landfall https://t.co/YU0bmID7ga pic.twitter.com/z37ft7UAJw
— Daily Press (@Daily_Press) September 13, 2018
The governor of Virginia has now advised residents to stay off the road and stay in place as Florence approaches landfall. From the AP:
He says parts of Virginia will likely see tropical storm-force winds, flooding and several inches (centimeters) of rain.
Although the forecast for Virginia is less severe than earlier in the week, Northam says “now is not the time to let down our guard.”
He notes that forecasts for the weekend show a continued threat to southwest Virginia as the storm is expected to make a gradual northerly turn.
There are now 400 people in shelters across the state, officials said.
Sam Levin here, continuing our live coverage. Here’s a new alert from the National Weather Service, which has noted that the storm surge is also expected to occur in inlets and rivers, in some cases in excess of 9ft.
Important note as #Florence continues to close in on the Carolina coastline, storm surge is not just an "ocean" problem tonight. Significant surge is expected to occur in the NC inlets and rivers, some areas in excess of 9 feet! pic.twitter.com/dz5OFR3M4B
— NWS (@NWS) September 13, 2018
And an image of the storm surge in New Bern, a riverfront city in North Carolina:
I think this speaks for itself. Union point in New Bern, North Carolina. pic.twitter.com/1LxtrdCJgY
— Mark Sudduth (@hurricanetrack) September 13, 2018
Our freelancer Khushbu Shah is in Wilmington North Carolina where she found a number of folks ready to ride the storm out despite the mandatory evacuation order.
Even with an increasingly windy rainfall, neighbors Diane Brown and Bruce Pryor we’re sharing a drink and smoke on Pryor’s from porch a street away from the police HQ. Two pubs and the Waffle House are still open in historic downtown Wilmington. Cape Fear’s co-owner Lector Bennett says he’ll stay open to the dozen people outside drinking until he has to go home and feed his dog. Down the block, an Irish pub, Slainte, will have revelers out front all night.
A steady stream of police have been circling these main roads, and a few people are still taking leisurely strolls.
Rain started coming down in Wilmington – hard for a while, now slow and steady – around 3pm.
Wilmington Police Public Affairs Officer says nearly 300 family members of police officers, along with their dogs, cats, and birds, are sheltering inside the police headquarters.
The river behind the Waffle House and bars is moving quicker now, flowing faster.
Bruce and Diane are neighbors and they’re not afraid of Florence as they share a smoke and drink on Bruce’s patio. He says, “I’m not worried. This isn’t my first rodeo.” #HurricanceFlorence pic.twitter.com/REoR2TRJLf
— Khushbu Shah (@KhushbuOShea) September 13, 2018
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"Stay … on the lowest level of your home"
It might seem like counter-intuitive device during a storm when floodwaters are expected, but Fema calls this “critical advice” for those in the storm’s path noting that the combination of soggy, water-saturated ground and hurricane force winds can easily topple even massive trees. Staying in interior rooms on the ground floor reduce the risk that a tree falling on a home will cause injury or death.
.@NC_Governor Cooper: Stay in a secure space, especially when the wind is high, and on the lowest level of your home (especially when you sleep), as trees can fall. #FlorenceNC #ncwx
— NC Emergency Managem (@NCEmergency) September 13, 2018
Updated
This video from Weather Nation is a frightening demonstration of how powerful even a few inches of storm surge can be, as it knocks a wall in North Carolina off its frame.
Storm surge is the deadliest consequence of hurricanes and we're already seeing some effects from Florence. Watch as an interior wall is ripped off a frame from a beach house near the coastline as captured by our field correspondents. pic.twitter.com/nc5MyC9ckN
— WeatherNation (@WeatherNation) September 13, 2018
FEMA reminds that, whether its storm surge or inland flash flooding, it takes just 6in of floodwater to knock a person down, and two feet worth to carry away a vehicle.
Don’t focus on the category of the storm. Hurricane #Florence will slow down as it approaches the coast & moves inland. This will cause extremely dangerous flooding.
— FEMA (@fema) September 13, 2018
Make sure you have multiple ways to get local weather alerts— through your phone 📱, weather radio 📻, and TV 📺. pic.twitter.com/CqX98wH2Lv
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NHC says not to expect any weakening before landfall
It its most recent update the National Hurricane Center is advising that “little change in strength is expected before the eye of Florence reaches the coast”.
This means that in all likelihood, the costal Carolinas will receive the full brunt of category 2-force, 100mph winds.
The NHC suggests that storms with that wind power will typically lead to the following:
Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads. Near-total power loss is expected with outages that could last from several days to weeks.
According to NHC, Hurricane-force winds currently extend outward up to 80 miles from the center of Florence, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles.
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By the numbers
Currently Florence is pushing out maximum sustained winds of 100mph and moving WNW at a sluggish 5mph – which could inflate rainfall totals and increase the number of areas that experience catastrophic flooding.
The storm is 100 miles ESE of Wilmington, North Carolina, and 155 miles east of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.
Latest WPC guidance has expanded the coverage area for extreme rainfall/flooding as #Florence slows down. 15-30" rainfall amounts now likely to expand into parts of SC. A catastrophic event is unfolding. pic.twitter.com/PBUjOynpmY
— John Kassell (@JPKassell) September 13, 2018
Updated
I’m here in Myrtle Beach with my colleague Adam Gabbatt.
The winds here are not yet as strong as they are a few hundred miles north, outside of Wilmington, North Carolina. The latest forecast suggests that the strongest winds will arrive here early tomorrow morning, with rain and serious flooding forecast throughout the area.
I just got back from the coast where all the city’s fairground rides have been closed off. Although there were still a few revelers taking a stroll along the beach. Almost every petrol station here has shut down – bar one garage a few miles from our hotel where the line for gas and supplies snaked around the building.
Every gas station I’ve passed from Wilmington to Myrtle Beach is completely dry. #Florence pic.twitter.com/g6lcnHZDis
— Oliver Laughland (@oliverlaughland) September 13, 2018
Updated
At this point forecasters are expecting at least 9ft of costal storm surge with some estimates as high as 13ft.
In case you’re having trouble visualizing what 9ft of storm surge looks like, The Weather Channel’s Erika Navarro has this virtual look of what some in Florence’s path could be up against.
Storm surge will be a huge factor for Hurricane #Florence Check out what it might look like with @TWCErikaNavarro: pic.twitter.com/TPqTZTmiAM
— The Weather Channel (@weatherchannel) September 13, 2018
Storm surge is the swelling mass of water from the ocean that is pushed toward the shore by the force of the winds swirling around the the storm.
Updated
The steady battering power of Florence’s winds are well illustrated in video footage from atop a decommissioned lighthouse off the North Carolina coast. An NBC periscope feed from the Frying Pan Tower showed the winds steadily picking up over the course of four hours, eventually shearing an American flag.
Florence approaches Carolinas as a category 2 storm
Hurricane Florence is continuing to push towards a landfall around the North Carolina/South Carolina border, and is beginning to lash the central Atlantic seaboard with damaging winds and storm surge. As of Thursday afternoon the storm was generating sustained winds of 105mph, as storm surge water has begun to rush into homes and streets along beachside communities.
Breaking Weather: Storm Surge North Topsail Beach. Sand dunes gone storm surge 4’ into house knocking down walls first floor. #HurricaneFlorence #ncwx @NWSWilmingtonNC pic.twitter.com/HTADNMPSeY
— Jeff Piotrowski (@Jeff_Piotrowski) September 13, 2018
Nearly 2 million coastal residents are now under mandatory evacuation orders, although it remains unclear how many have actually done so. Officials from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (Fema) have warned that failure to do so could be potentially deadly. Another 8 million people live in areas covered by hurricane and tropical storm warnings.
Storm surge is deadly. Anyone in an evacuation zone in the Carolinas and Virginia must leave NOW if they haven't yet. #Florence https://t.co/m3BKPoX5q4
— FEMA (@fema) September 13, 2018
Preceded first by the storm surge and the winds, heavy rains were picking up as of late Thursday afternoon, the beginning of an onslaught that for some areas may not relent for days. Forecasters are predicting as much as 40in of rain in some localized areas.
We’ll be tracking developments on this blog overnight and into tomorrow morning when the hurricane’s eyewall, the most damaging part, is expected to make landfall.
Updated