The largest public service delivery department in the UK is using cutting-edge simulation technology to predict outcomes in complex policy areas.
In partnership with SAS, the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) has developed Genesis, a program that takes a sample of the population and simulates likely changes in circumstances during a given time period.
The technology is used to create a long-term simulation of pensioner income distributions and forecasting benefit expenditure. It is also increasingly used to experiment with 'what if' scenarios and different policies, enabling DWP to find out, for example, the likely impacts on particular groups, types of individuals in the community and public expenditure if the government raised the state pension age by a given amount.
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