Get all your news in one place.
100’s of premium titles.
One app.
Start reading
Chronicle Live
Chronicle Live
Sport
Stuart Jamieson

How Sunderland's promotion bid will pan out according to latest supercomputer predictions

Sunderland have a big chance to bring silverware to Wearside this month - but promotion is the only game in town.

While the Papa John's Trophy Final at Wembley will bring a welcome distraction from the League One slog, getting out of the division is the only goal for Lee Johnson and Co.

His Black Cats side are in form, winning four of their last give league games to put themselves firmly in the promotion picture.

A place in the top two is the ultimate target, but they have to at least ensure they are in the play-off picture come May.

Throughout the season, the statisticians at FiveThirtyEight update their predicted league tables. Based on a complex series of calculated odds, they produce a table of where they think each side will finish.

They currently have Sunderland finishing just outside the top two places, with Peterborough and Hull City claiming the automatic promotion places.

The Black Cats would have a play-off semi-final with Portsmouth, just as they did in the 2018-19 season, before a Wembley final with either Doncaster or Lincoln City.

How the League One table could finish according to FiveThirtyEight's analysis (fivethirtyeight.com)

Of course anything could happen between now and the end of the season, but Sunderland fans will note there is only predicted to be three points between themselves and Hull.

The promotion race is set to go down to the wire, no matter what, and what it does underline is how little scope there is for slipping up.

With just four points predicted to separate third and eighth, there really is no margin for error.

Sign up to read this article
Read news from 100’s of titles, curated specifically for you.
Already a member? Sign in here
Related Stories
Top stories on inkl right now
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
Already a member? Sign in here
Our Picks
Fourteen days free
Download the app
One app. One membership.
100+ trusted global sources.