Get all your news in one place.
100’s of premium titles.
One app.
Start reading
The Independent UK
The Independent UK
Travel
Doug Bolton

Global warming could see tourists skip Spain and go to Latvia

Crowds sunbathe at Levante beach in Benidorm, Spain (David Ramos/Getty Images)

The tourism industry in southern European countries like Spain and Italy could be under threat due to climate change, an EU report has warned.

In a study, entitled 'Time is of the essence: adaptation of tourism demand to climate change in Europe', it has been found that changing climate conditions could make sunny southern tourist destinations less attractive.

Hotter and drier summers in southern countries like Spain and Bulgaria could potentially lead to higher rates of droughts, forest fires, and the death of some wildlife.

This temperature rise could also make it simply too hot to comfortably visit Mediterranean countries in the height of summer.

GettyImages-149969724.jpg Things like forest fires, made worse by climate change, could impact tourism in places like Bulgaria (AFP/Getty) These factors could potentially make these countries less enticing to tourists, but fortunately, the report also said that countries further north, with more temperate summers, could experience a resulting rise in tourist income.

While the paper says that Spain and Bulgaria would be the biggest losers, northern Baltic states like Latvia, Estonia, Slovenia and Slovakia could see their tourism industries boom.

Read more: These are the countries at most risk from climate change
A healther lifestyle could help fight climate change, says study
Forget France and Spain - Kent is top spot for a family holiday

However, tourists shouldn't go cancelling their Spanish holidays - the report's predictions are focused on the year 2100. It seems a long way off now, but researchers are keen to plan ahead.

It is estimated that the southern Mediterranean countries could lose tourism revenues worth up to 0.45 per cent of GDP every year.

In pictures: European villa holidays  

In the case of Spain, that could mean a loss of up to €5.6 billion (£4 billion) a year.

On the other hand, tourism revenues could go up further north - but only to the tune of around 0.32 per cent of GDP a year for these countries, meaning the continent would lose out overall.

The study, authored by Salvador Barrios and Juan Ibanez Rivas, said that changing 'comfort zone' temperature levels could also result in a change in when and how often we take our holidays in the future.

It said that tourists might begin distributing their holiday pattern "more evenly during the year and take shorter holidays in order to benefit, for instance, from more clement weather conditions during the other seasons."

Sign up to read this article
Read news from 100’s of titles, curated specifically for you.
Already a member? Sign in here
Related Stories
Top stories on inkl right now
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
Already a member? Sign in here
Our Picks
Fourteen days free
Download the app
One app. One membership.
100+ trusted global sources.