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The Economic Times
The Economic Times
Joydeep Sen

Global investing: Should you invest 15% or 50% abroad? Here's what experts say

For a long time, global investing was seen as a niche pursuit in India, relevant mainly for high net-worth individuals (HNIs). That has changed. With mutual funds offering global investment products, GIFT City opening up as an investment route, and the LRS (Liberalised Remittance Scheme) window well established, an Indian investor today can build genuine exposure to global markets. The question is no longer whether to invest globally, but how much.

Why it matters

The core argument for global investing is diversification. An Indian equity portfolio is a bet on one economy, one currency, and a specific mix of sectors. Global investing should not be viewed as a substitute for investing in India. Rather, it should complement an Indian portfolio. The objective is not to shift wealth away from India but to diversify across economies, sectors and currencies.

There is a currency angle as well. Over long periods, the rupee has depreciated against the United States dollar. This is not a prediction or a view; it is simply the historical pattern. When an Indian investor holds a dollar-denominated asset, rupee depreciation adds to returns in rupee terms, over and above what the underlying asset itself delivers. It works as a quiet, structural tail wind for the global portion of a portfolio. For example, if a global investment generates an annual return of 8% in dollar terms and the rupee depreciates by around 3% over the same period, the investor’s return in rupee terms becomes higher, subject, of course, to exchange rate fluctuations.

How much should you allocate?

This is where the debate gets noisy. Different advisers and asset managers put out very different numbers. Some recommend al locating 15% of the equity portfolio to global assets as a diversification sleeve. Others go so far as to suggest 50%, treating Indian and global equity as near-equal legs of the portfolio. Neither number, on its own, is wrong or right—the appropriate figure depends on the investor’s risk appetite, and there ought to be a logical basis for it, not just a round number picked because it sounds balanced.

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Note where the aggressive bucket lands— well short of the 50% some commentators suggest. The reasoning is straightforward: India is currently the fastest-growing major economy in the world. An aggressive investor is someone seeking growth, and a large part of that growth opportunity is sitting at home. Recommending that such an investor park half the portfolio abroad needs a strong justification. Unless there is a specific case for a particular global market or theme, a 50% allocation looks more like a talking point than a considered strategy. A lower fig ure, in the 20-25% range, is more defensible for most aggressive investors, with the balance continuing to ride India’s growth story.

The nation continues to enjoy favourable long-term structural drivers that support growth: a young population, increasing for malisation of the economy, rising consump tion, infrastructure investment, manufac turing growth and digital adoption. It is also widely expected to remain the fastest-grow ing major economy for the foreseeable future.

The theme-chasing trap

One risk that deserves specific mention is theme-based global investing. Artificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductor-linked stocks have had a strong run globally over the past couple of years, and a fair number of Indian investors have chased this trend through thematic international funds. The issue is that a large part of the re-rating in these sectors has already happened. Valuations in several AI and semiconductor names are elevated by historical standards.

This is not to say the themes lack merit— the underlying technology shift is real. But investing after a theme has already run up, purely because it has been in the news, is a different exercise from investing early with a long horizon. Indian investors new to global markets should be cautious about investing in concentrated thematic funds at elevated valuations. A broader, diversified global al location is a more prudent starting point than a single-theme bet.

Take your allocation pick

A structured approach works better than a single blanket figure. Here is a broad framework:

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