Where does New York Giants second-year quarterback Daniel Jones rank among the rest of the players in the NFL at his position?
It’s difficult to gauge, but the folks at Pro Football Focus, who are always coming up with new methods to rate and rank, have turned to using Bayesian Updating.
According to PFF, “using Bayesian Updating as the basis of our analysis, which yields a career posterior mean and a posterior distribution (which describes the uncertainty) for each quarterback. This helps us to get better predictions compared to using just the data from last season.”
Jones fared as well in the study as he did last year statistically — 23rd to be exact — wedged in between two well-traveled players in Tyrod Taylor and Teddy Bridgewater.
Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes was the top name on the chart with an overwhelming 29.6% chance of the being the best quarterback in the NFL. He was followed by Seattle’s Russell Wilson (10.6%) and New Orleans’ Drew Brees (7.5%).
Jones was given just a 1.1% chance of being the best and an 8% chance of landing in the Top 5. He also was given a 19% chance of being one the league’s five worst quarterbacks.
The one thing Giant fans can revel in is that Jones fared better than Jets quarterback Sam Darnold, who ranked 31st and given an 0.2% chance of landing in the Top 5 and an 33% shot an finishing in the bottom five.
