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Liverpool Echo
Liverpool Echo
National
Liam Thorp

General Election 2019: Can exit polls be wrong?

The shock numbers released at 10pm will leave many people now asking one question, can exit polls be wrong?

Well the answer is unlikely.

While pre-election polls got a bad rap in 2017, the actual exit poll was pretty much spot on.

It suggested 314 Tory seats and 266 for Labour - the actual result was 317 and 266.

And in fact it’s almost always been pretty reliable.

Follow all our live election coverage here

There was a bit of a blip in 2015, but even that wasn’t too far out.

In the previous three elections (2001, 2005 and 2010) the exit poll was never more than 11 seats off the final Conservative, and never more than four seats off the Labour total.

These previous results suggest that tonight could be a historically bad night for Labour based on the numbers predicted in the 10pm poll.

That exit poll suggests the Tories could romp home with an 87 seat majority - and that Labour could achieve their worst performance since the second world war.

We will be continuing to bring you live coverage from election counts across Merseyside through the night.

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