I've just been sent numbers for some of the key states (the New Republic has seen them too) that I'd urge you to consume with extreme caution, especially if you're an excitable Democratic supporter. They show Democrats leading in eight of ten key states: Virginia, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, Ohio, New Jersey, Montana, Missouri and Maryland. (They show Republicans ahead in Tennessee and Arizona.) By my rapid calculations, those figures, if replicated in Senate results, would hand the Senate to the Democrats. Take it or leave it as you wish...
UPDATE: Decoding the impenetrable monotone of CNN's Wolf Blitzer, it seems the channel is predicting a first House scalp for the Democrats in Kentucky. The only two Senate seats they're confident enough to call are Richard Lugar, the shoo-in Indiana Republican, and the Vermont socialist Bernie Sanders. Which, as my colleague Richard Adams points out, means that socialists currently hold the balance of power in the United States. Sort of.
