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The Economic Times
The Economic Times
Rounak Khare

Filatex India shares can rally to Rs 118? Why Equirus Prive initiated coverage on the stock

Polyester filament yarn (PFY) producer Filatex India has been assigned a Buy rating by domestic brokerage firm Equirus Prive,with a target price of Rs 118. The brokerage sees a 53% upside on the stock, and expects multiple earnings drivers to support the re-rating. It expects revenue to grow at 9%, EBITDA at 24% and Profit after Tax at 26% CAGR over FY26-29E.

A structurally stronger earnings cycle

The company is undertaking a Rs 235 crore brownfield expansion at its Dahej facility, adding 55,000 MTPA (+13%) of capacity and taking total installed capacity to 472,240 MTPA by September 2026. Unlike a conventional capacity addition, the project is strategically skewed towards higher-margin products, with FDY accounting for >50% of the new capacity, increasing its share in the overall portfolio from ~31% to ~34%.

The company expects the expansion to generate Rs 450–500 crore of incremental revenue and Rs ~6 crore of EBITDA annually, implying superior returns driven by a richer product mix and operating leverage. The brokerage expects volumes to accelerate to ~6% CAGR over FY26-29E as capacity constraints ease and demand tailwinds strengthen.

Cost optimization initiatives could permanently improve margins

The company is investing Rs 155 crore across three initiatives: Rs 85 crore in steam distribution, Rs 30 crore in renewable energy and Rs 40 crore in packaging automation. These projects are scheduled to be commissioned in a phased manner between Jul’26 and Sep’26, with benefits gradually ramping up through FY27. At steady state, these initiatives are expected to generate annual savings of Rs 60–65 crore, Rs 18–20 crore, and Rs 6 crore, respectively, implying cumulative annual savings of approximately Rs 84 crore.

Combined with operating leverage from higher capacity utilization and an improved product mix, the brokerage expects EBITDA margins in the existing PFY business to expand from ~8% in FY26 to ~10% by FY29E.

Ecosis opens a new high-margin growth engine

Filatex's wholly owned textile-to-textile chemical recycling subsidiary, Ecosis, is set to commission its maiden 26,750 MTPA facility at Dahej by October 2026. Ecosis targets ~30% EBITDA margins, nearly four times the legacy PFY business, driven by Rs 30–40/kg of value addition and low-cost textile waste feedstock.

Unlike Polyester, Ecosis benefits from both a pricing premium and a cost advantage, allowing management to target sustainable >30% EBITDA margins. The subsidiary has the potential to materially improve Filatex's earnings mix by adding a structurally higher-margin business with stronger entry barriers and lower dependence on the cyclical polyester spread.

Large scaling opportunity supported by favorable industry tailwinds

The legacy business is likely to benefit from significant domestic PTA capacity additions by GAIL (1.2 MMTPA; commissioning expected in 2QFY27), IOCL (1.2 MMTPA; 3QFY27) and Reliance Industries (3.2 MMTPA; end-CY27). The company also aims to expand recycling capacity >1,00,000 MTPA, with a longer-term ambition of building recycled capacity comparable to its existing virgin polyester operations.The opportunity is supported by increasing global demand for recycled textiles, stricter sustainability regulations and partnerships already initiated with Decathlon India and American & Efird.

These additions should reduce India's import dependence, improve supply security and lower input cost volatility for a business where PTA and MEG account for >80% of raw material costs. According to Equirus Prive, the company expects the new capacities to narrow India's cost disadvantage vs China, supporting a structural EBITDA margin improvement of >1% over time.

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