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Federal Reserve likely to delay rate cuts, seeking more certainty

The Federal Reserve building is seen in Washington, DC

In a move that surprised some investors, the Federal Reserve announced yesterday that it would be maintaining the current interest rates, which are at a 23-year high, for the fourth time in a row. This decision comes after the central bank raised rates 11 times since March of 2022 in an effort to combat record high inflation.

Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, expressed confidence that inflation is now moving towards the target of 2%. However, he made it clear that he wants to see more certainty and sustained progress before considering any rate cuts. This announcement has left investors pondering when the central bank will eventually begin reducing interest rates.

Some officials had projected that rate cuts would take place as early as the first quarter of this year. However, Powell pushed back against these expectations during the recent meeting. He indicated that it is unlikely the committee will have enough confidence by the time of the March meeting to warrant a rate cut. He added that while it remains to be seen, March is probably not the most likely timeframe for such a decision.

Powell emphasized that the Federal Reserve is now focused on collecting and analyzing better data, rather than looking for immediate improvements. He mentioned that lower rental costs may aid in bolstering the case for rate cuts.

The decision to maintain interest rates at their current levels reflects the cautious approach the Federal Reserve is taking towards the ongoing battle against inflation. The central bank is treading carefully to ensure that any future actions are based on solid evidence and indications of sustained improvement.

The market reaction to this announcement was mixed, with some investors hoping for a rate cut to boost economic growth, while others appreciated the Federal Reserve's prudence in taking calculated steps. The decision to hold rates steady also reflects the central bank's desire to avoid any hasty moves that could jeopardize the progress made in curbing inflation.

With inflation being a key concern for the Federal Reserve, the decision to maintain interest rates underscores the importance of ensuring stability and monitoring the economy closely. It remains to be seen when the central bank will feel confident enough to implement rate cuts, but for now, it appears that they are focused on gathering additional data and assessing the overall economic landscape before making any further adjustments.

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