Bristol City's two frustrating draws in a row could cost them a place in the play-offs according to a data model created to predict the Championship finish.
The Robins have dropped four points in two matches, drawing 2-2 against both Wigan Athletic and Barnsley.
Whilst Lee Johnson's men are still in a healthy position, sat sixth in the Championship and just three points off leaders Preston North End, a data model created by Nate Silver's Five Thirty Eight website does not fancy their chances of making the play-offs.
The model is based on how teams are performing in defence and attack, combined with their current form and remaining fixtures.
City's two draws have left them with a 22 per cent chance of making the play-offs, an 11 per cent chance of winning promotion, and just a two per cent chance of winning the title.
The Robins are predicted to finish eighth in the division with 67 points, four points off sixth-placed Swansea City.
Elsewhere, Leeds United are predicted to stroll to the title ahead of West Brom in second.
Marcelo Bielsa's side have a 40 per cent chance of winning the title and a 68 per cent likelihood of going up.
Fulham, Preston, Brentford and Swansea are all tipped for the play-offs, with Nottingham Forest missing out by a point.
At the other end of the division, Barnsley, Luton Town and Middlesbrough are all predicted to go down.
Get lots more news, opinion and transfer updates on our Bristol City FC page and add a bookmark to find it quickly next time.
